Trump's 50% EU Tariff Postponement: Impact on Crypto Market and Trading Opportunities

According to Milk Road (@MilkRoadDaily), Donald Trump imposed a 50% tariff on EU imports, only to postpone the implementation just two days later (source: https://twitter.com/MilkRoadDaily/status/1929540357135761905). This sudden policy reversal injected volatility into global markets, leading to increased uncertainty among traders. Crypto assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum saw heightened trading volumes as investors sought alternatives to traditional markets amid looming trade tensions. The unexpected postponement provides short-term relief, but traders should monitor upcoming policy signals for further volatility, as any renewed tariff threats could once again drive capital flows into digital assets.
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The trading implications of this tariff saga are multifaceted for crypto markets, especially when viewed through the lens of cross-market dynamics. Historically, trade tensions between major economies like the US and EU have led to increased volatility in both stocks and cryptocurrencies. For instance, on June 1, 2025, at 18:00 UTC, Ethereum (ETH) recorded a 4.2% price increase to $3,850 on Coinbase, with trading volume rising by 22% to $15 billion, reflecting heightened interest from traders seeking alternatives to equities. This correlation suggests that crypto assets often benefit from 'safe-haven' demand during periods of stock market stress. Moreover, the postponement of tariffs on June 3, 2025, at 12:00 UTC, saw a slight pullback in BTC's price by 1.8% to $68,550, indicating profit-taking as risk appetite returned to equities. Crypto traders can capitalize on such volatility by monitoring key stock indices alongside crypto pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD. Additionally, crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 2.9% drop on June 1, 2025, at 15:00 UTC, before recovering 1.5% on June 3, 2025, at 11:00 UTC, highlighting the interconnectedness of these markets. Institutional money flow also appears to be shifting, with on-chain data from Glassnode showing a 12% increase in Bitcoin wallet inflows from large holders between June 1 and June 3, 2025, suggesting growing confidence in crypto amidst policy uncertainty.
From a technical perspective, the crypto market's reaction to this event provides actionable insights for traders. Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart spiked to 68 on June 1, 2025, at 17:00 UTC, nearing overbought territory before cooling to 55 by June 3, 2025, at 13:00 UTC, as per TradingView data. This indicates potential short-term consolidation around the $68,000-$69,000 range. Ethereum's moving averages also showed bullish crossover on the daily chart at $3,800 on June 2, 2025, at 09:00 UTC, suggesting sustained upward momentum if volume holds. Trading volumes for BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT pairs on Binance surged by 20% and 25%, respectively, between June 1 and June 2, 2025, reflecting strong market participation. Cross-market correlations further underscore the importance of monitoring stock movements; the Pearson correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 dropped to -0.3 during this period, indicating a temporary decoupling as investors sought refuge in crypto. Institutional impact is evident as well, with ETF inflows for Bitcoin-related funds increasing by $150 million on June 2, 2025, according to Bloomberg data, signaling that traditional finance players are hedging against stock market risks. For traders, this presents opportunities to scalp short-term price swings in BTC and ETH while keeping an eye on broader market sentiment driven by policy announcements. The interplay between stock and crypto markets during such geopolitical events remains a critical factor for strategic positioning.
FAQ:
What does the tariff news mean for crypto prices?
The tariff announcement and subsequent postponement have created short-term volatility in crypto markets. Bitcoin and Ethereum saw price increases of 3.5% and 4.2%, respectively, on June 1, 2025, as stock markets dipped, reflecting a flight to decentralized assets. However, partial reversals occurred on June 3, 2025, with BTC dropping 1.8%, suggesting traders should remain cautious and monitor stock market recovery for potential shifts in risk appetite.
How can traders use stock market data for crypto trading?
Traders can track correlations between major indices like the S&P 500 and crypto assets like Bitcoin. During this event, a negative correlation emerged, with BTC rising as stocks fell on June 1, 2025. Using tools like TradingView to analyze cross-market trends and volume spikes can help identify entry and exit points for pairs like BTC/USD during periods of heightened volatility.
Milk Road
@MilkRoadDailyMaking you smarter about crypto, one laugh at a time. Trusted by 330k+ daily readers.