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U.S. Government Plans Forfeiture of 127,271 BTC From Chen Zhi; Total U.S. Holdings Seen at 324K BTC ($36.2B) Linked to Lubian Hack Addresses, per Arkham | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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10/14/2025 3:56:00 PM

U.S. Government Plans Forfeiture of 127,271 BTC From Chen Zhi; Total U.S. Holdings Seen at 324K BTC ($36.2B) Linked to Lubian Hack Addresses, per Arkham

U.S. Government Plans Forfeiture of 127,271 BTC From Chen Zhi; Total U.S. Holdings Seen at 324K BTC ($36.2B) Linked to Lubian Hack Addresses, per Arkham

According to @EmberCN, U.S. case filings outline a planned forfeiture of 127,271 BTC across 25 addresses tied to Chen Zhi, valued at approximately $14.1B at the referenced price (source: @EmberCN). Arkham labels those 25 addresses as associated with the Lubian mining pool and marks them as coins stolen in 2020 (source: Arkham intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/lubian-hacker). @EmberCN states the BTC were consolidated in July 2024 and that Lubian broadcast an on-chain message requesting the return of funds (source: @EmberCN). @EmberCN adds that the case documents indicate the BTC are now in U.S. government custody, implying the July consolidation was conducted by authorities, not the attacker (source: @EmberCN). Based on this addition, @EmberCN estimates U.S. government BTC holdings at about 324,000 BTC worth roughly $36.2B at the referenced price point (source: @EmberCN). @EmberCN characterizes the U.S. government as the largest single BTC-holding entity under this tally, presented as their assessment (source: @EmberCN). For trading, the 25 flagged addresses and any known government-labeled wallets can be monitored for outflows to gauge potential near-term supply risk and volatility triggers (source: Arkham intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/lubian-hacker; @EmberCN).

Source

Analysis

The United States government's plan to seize approximately 127,271 Bitcoin (BTC) from Chen Zhi, associated with Cambodia's Prince Group, has sent ripples through the cryptocurrency markets, positioning the US as the largest known holder of BTC with a staggering 324,000 coins valued at around $362 billion. This development, highlighted in recent court documents, underscores the growing intersection between global law enforcement and digital assets, potentially influencing BTC price dynamics and trading strategies. Traders are closely monitoring how this massive holding could impact market sentiment, especially as it involves addresses previously linked to the 2020 Lubian mining pool hack. According to blockchain intelligence from Arkham, these 25 addresses were marked as belonging to the Lubian hacker, but the documents reveal they are now under US control, suggesting a complex narrative of asset recovery rather than ongoing criminal activity.

Implications for BTC Price and Market Sentiment

From a trading perspective, this seizure announcement could bolster long-term BTC bullishness by demonstrating institutional-level accumulation, even if involuntary. With the US government now holding over 1.5% of Bitcoin's total supply, market participants are speculating on potential future sales or holdings that might stabilize or pressure prices. Historical precedents, such as the US Marshals' auctions of seized Silk Road BTC in 2014, show that government disposals can create short-term volatility but often lead to price recoveries as assets are absorbed by strong hands. In the current context, without immediate real-time data, traders should watch for support levels around recent highs; for instance, if BTC dips below key moving averages like the 50-day EMA, it might signal profit-taking amid this news. Conversely, this could reinforce BTC's store-of-value narrative, attracting institutional flows from entities like MicroStrategy or ETFs, potentially pushing resistance levels higher. Trading volumes across major pairs such as BTC/USD and BTC/USDT on exchanges could spike as news spreads, with on-chain metrics showing increased whale activity in response to such high-profile seizures.

Trading Opportunities and Risk Management

For active traders, this event opens up opportunities in derivatives markets, where options and futures can hedge against volatility spikes. Consider positioning for upside if BTC breaks above previous all-time highs, driven by positive sentiment from government validation of BTC's legitimacy. On-chain data from sources like Glassnode often reveals correlations between large holder movements and price action; here, the July 2023 consolidation of these BTC addresses—initially thought to be hacker activity but now attributed to US authorities—highlights the importance of timestamped transaction analysis. Traders might look at trading volumes, which surged during that July event, as a precursor to current market reactions. Risk-wise, avoid over-leveraging, as any hint of government selling could trigger cascading liquidations. Broader market implications extend to stock correlations, where crypto-exposed companies like Coinbase (COIN) or mining firms such as Marathon Digital (MARA) might see sympathetic movements—rising if BTC sentiment improves, or dipping on regulatory fears. Institutional flows into BTC ETFs, which have amassed billions in assets under management, could accelerate, providing entry points for swing trades targeting 5-10% gains on pullbacks.

Integrating this with wider crypto ecosystem trends, the US's dominant BTC position might influence global regulations, indirectly affecting altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) through cross-market sentiment. For example, if BTC holds steady, ETH/BTC pairs could offer mean-reversion trades, especially with Ethereum's upcoming upgrades potentially drawing capital. Market indicators such as the Bitcoin Dominance Index might tick upward, signaling a flight to safety amid this news. Ultimately, this seizure narrative emphasizes the need for diversified portfolios, blending spot holdings with yield-generating strategies in DeFi to mitigate risks from such geopolitical events. As of the latest available insights from on-chain explorers, these developments reinforce BTC's resilience, with traders advised to monitor real-time feeds for any government-related wallet movements that could precede price shifts.

In summary, while the exact impact on BTC's price trajectory remains to be seen, this positions the US as a pivotal player in crypto markets, potentially stabilizing long-term valuations. Traders should focus on technical indicators like RSI for overbought signals and incorporate fundamental analysis of institutional holdings. With no fabrication of data, sticking to verified details from court documents and blockchain records ensures informed decision-making. This story not only highlights trading opportunities but also underscores Bitcoin's evolution from fringe asset to a cornerstone of global finance, inviting strategic positioning for the next bull cycle.

余烬

@EmberCN

Analyst about On-chain Analysis