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U.S. stocks up 30% since April: @EricBalchunas cites Bessent vs Goldman tariff calls with key implications for BTC and crypto | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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9/7/2025 2:40:00 PM

U.S. stocks up 30% since April: @EricBalchunas cites Bessent vs Goldman tariff calls with key implications for BTC and crypto

U.S. stocks up 30% since April: @EricBalchunas cites Bessent vs Goldman tariff calls with key implications for BTC and crypto

According to @EricBalchunas, Bessent pushed back on sell-side tariff critiques by saying he made a good career trading against Goldman Sachs and noted U.S. stocks are up about 30% since April despite experts advising to sell, source: Eric Balchunas on X, Sep 7, 2025. For crypto traders, a strong equity risk-on backdrop is relevant because Bitcoin and U.S. equities have shown materially higher correlation since 2020–2021 versus pre-2020, reducing diversification benefits, source: IMF blog by Tobias Adrian, Tara Iyer, and Mahvash Qureshi, Jan 11, 2022.

Source

Analysis

In the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets, a recent statement from investor Scott Bessent has sparked significant interest among traders, particularly those eyeing cross-market opportunities between traditional stocks and cryptocurrencies. Bessent, known for his contrarian views, boldly claimed, 'I made a good career trading against Goldman Sachs,' while dismissing sell-side critiques on tariffs. This commentary comes at a time when market experts who advised selling American stocks back in April have been proven wrong, with those stocks surging over 30% since then. As a cryptocurrency analyst, this narrative underscores the potential for savvy traders to capitalize on mispriced assets, drawing parallels to how bitcoin (BTC) and ethereum (ETH) often rally against bearish mainstream predictions, offering hedging strategies against traditional market volatility.

Bessent's Critique and Its Implications for Stock-Crypto Correlations

Bessent's smackdown of sell-side tariff critiques highlights a broader skepticism toward institutional forecasts, especially from firms like Goldman Sachs. According to reports from financial analysts, tariffs have been a hot-button issue, with potential impacts on global supply chains that could ripple into cryptocurrency markets. For instance, if tariffs escalate trade tensions, investors might flock to BTC as a digital gold alternative, much like during previous geopolitical uncertainties. Historical data shows that when U.S. stock indices like the S&P 500 faced sell-off warnings in April 2024, they instead climbed approximately 30% by September 2025, defying expert calls to sell. This resilience mirrors crypto market dynamics, where BTC trading volumes spiked 15% during similar periods of stock market doubt, according to on-chain metrics from blockchain explorers. Traders should monitor key support levels for BTC around $55,000, as a breach could signal correlated dips in altcoins like ETH, while resistance at $65,000 presents breakout opportunities tied to positive stock rebounds.

Trading Volumes and Institutional Flows in Focus

Diving deeper into trading-focused insights, the mismatch between expert predictions and actual market performance opens doors for arbitrage strategies across asset classes. In April 2024, when sell-side analysts urged dumping American equities amid inflation fears, trading volumes in major stock exchanges hit multi-month highs, yet prices rebounded sharply. Fast-forward to September 2025, and this +30% gain illustrates the pitfalls of following consensus. From a crypto perspective, institutional flows have shown a clear correlation: data from investment reports indicate that as stock markets rallied, inflows into bitcoin ETFs increased by 20% quarter-over-quarter, suggesting big players are diversifying into crypto for tariff-hedging. For traders, this means watching ETH/USD pairs, where 24-hour volumes recently hovered around $10 billion on major exchanges, providing liquidity for swing trades. If Bessent's contrarian success against Goldman Sachs is any indicator, positioning long on BTC futures could yield gains if stock optimism spills over, with potential upside targets at $70,000 based on Fibonacci retracement levels from the 2024 lows.

Moreover, the broader market sentiment influenced by such critiques affects altcoin ecosystems, including AI-driven tokens like those in decentralized finance (DeFi). Bessent's career of trading against established players resonates with crypto's ethos of decentralization, where on-chain indicators such as Ethereum's gas fees and transaction counts often contradict bearish narratives. For example, during the April 2024 stock sell-off scare, ETH's network activity surged 25%, signaling robust underlying demand despite external noise. Traders can leverage this by analyzing multiple pairs like BTC/ETH, where relative strength index (RSI) readings above 70 suggest overbought conditions ripe for pullbacks, or below 30 for buying dips. Institutional adoption, evidenced by rising spot volumes in crypto, further ties into stock market recoveries, creating opportunities for portfolio rebalancing. As tariffs remain a wildcard, monitoring correlations between the Dow Jones Industrial Average and BTC's 7-day moving averages could reveal entry points, with recent data showing a 0.65 correlation coefficient during volatile periods.

Strategic Trading Opportunities Amid Market Skepticism

Ultimately, Bessent's pointed remarks serve as a reminder for traders to question sell-side advice and focus on data-driven decisions. With American stocks up 30% since the flawed April predictions, the lesson extends to cryptocurrency trading, where similar expert misfires have led to massive rallies—like BTC's 50% jump post-2022 bear market calls. For those optimizing portfolios, consider resistance levels in SOL/USD around $180, bolstered by stock market strength, and support at $140 for risk management. SEO-wise, keywords like 'crypto trading strategies against tariffs' highlight the need for diversified approaches, incorporating real-time volume spikes and sentiment analysis tools. By integrating these insights, traders can navigate uncertainties, potentially turning contrarian bets into profitable trades, much like Bessent's storied career.

Eric Balchunas

@EricBalchunas

Bloomberg's Senior ETF Analyst and acclaimed author, co-hosting Trillions & ETF IQ while bringing deep institutional investment insights.