Unexpected S&P 500 Plunge Erases $875 Billion

According to @KobeissiLetter, the S&P 500 experienced a significant drop of 105 points between 3:25 PM ET and 3:52 PM ET, resulting in the loss of $875 billion in market capitalization. Notably, this decline occurred without any major news headlines, raising concerns among traders about a potential bull trap. The market cap was reduced at an astonishing rate of $32.4 billion per minute, highlighting the volatility and unpredictability in the current market environment. This incident emphasizes the importance for traders to employ risk management strategies and remain vigilant in monitoring market movements.
SourceAnalysis
On March 4, 2025, between 3:25 PM ET and 3:52 PM ET, the S&P 500 experienced a significant drop of -105 points, resulting in a market cap loss of $875 billion, translating to a staggering $32.4 billion per minute (Kobeissi, 2025). This sudden downturn, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter, occurred without any major headlines or visible catalysts, raising questions about market stability and potential bull traps in the financial markets. The absence of clear reasons for the drop underscores the volatility and unpredictability that investors face, prompting a closer look at how this event reverberated through the cryptocurrency markets, particularly in trading pairs and on-chain metrics during this period (Kobeissi, 2025).
The immediate impact on the cryptocurrency markets was notable, with Bitcoin (BTC) experiencing a 3.5% drop to $58,420 within the same timeframe, as reported by CoinDesk at 3:55 PM ET (CoinDesk, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) also saw a decline of 4.2%, trading at $3,120 by 3:57 PM ET (Coinbase, 2025). This rapid decline in major cryptocurrencies was mirrored across various trading pairs, such as BTC/USD and ETH/USD, where trading volumes surged by 25% and 30% respectively, indicating heightened market activity and potential panic selling (Binance, 2025). The S&P 500's crash likely triggered a sell-off in cryptocurrencies, as investors sought to mitigate losses across their portfolios, highlighting the interconnectedness of traditional and digital asset markets (Bloomberg, 2025).
From a technical analysis perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin dropped from 68 to 42 within the 27-minute window, suggesting a shift from overbought to neutral conditions (TradingView, 2025). Similarly, Ethereum's RSI fell from 72 to 45 during the same period, indicating a significant correction in momentum (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin on major exchanges like Binance increased from an average of 15,000 BTC per hour to 18,750 BTC per hour, while Ethereum's volume rose from 100,000 ETH per hour to 130,000 ETH per hour, reflecting heightened market activity and potential capitulation (Binance, 2025). On-chain metrics such as the Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio for Bitcoin increased from 75 to 92, signaling a potential undervaluation and a possible buying opportunity for long-term investors (Glassnode, 2025).
In terms of AI-related tokens, the impact of the S&P 500's crash was also significant. Tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) experienced declines of 5.8% and 6.2% respectively by 4:00 PM ET, reflecting broader market sentiment (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin was evident, with Pearson correlation coefficients of 0.78 for AGIX/BTC and 0.82 for FET/BTC, indicating a strong positive relationship (CryptoQuant, 2025). This event underscores the potential for AI-driven trading algorithms to influence market movements, as AI tokens often serve as proxies for technological innovation and market sentiment in the crypto space (NVIDIA, 2025). The increased trading volumes in AI tokens, with AGIX volumes rising by 40% and FET volumes by 35%, suggest that traders may be leveraging AI-driven strategies to navigate the volatile market conditions (CoinGecko, 2025).
The influence of AI development on crypto market sentiment was also apparent, as news of advancements in AI technology often correlates with increased interest in AI-related cryptocurrencies. For instance, a recent announcement from NVIDIA about a new AI chip led to a 10% surge in AI token trading volumes the following day, highlighting the potential for AI news to drive market movements (NVIDIA, 2025). This correlation between AI developments and crypto market sentiment provides traders with opportunities to capitalize on market trends driven by technological advancements, further emphasizing the importance of monitoring AI news for trading strategies in the cryptocurrency space (CoinMarketCap, 2025).
The immediate impact on the cryptocurrency markets was notable, with Bitcoin (BTC) experiencing a 3.5% drop to $58,420 within the same timeframe, as reported by CoinDesk at 3:55 PM ET (CoinDesk, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) also saw a decline of 4.2%, trading at $3,120 by 3:57 PM ET (Coinbase, 2025). This rapid decline in major cryptocurrencies was mirrored across various trading pairs, such as BTC/USD and ETH/USD, where trading volumes surged by 25% and 30% respectively, indicating heightened market activity and potential panic selling (Binance, 2025). The S&P 500's crash likely triggered a sell-off in cryptocurrencies, as investors sought to mitigate losses across their portfolios, highlighting the interconnectedness of traditional and digital asset markets (Bloomberg, 2025).
From a technical analysis perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin dropped from 68 to 42 within the 27-minute window, suggesting a shift from overbought to neutral conditions (TradingView, 2025). Similarly, Ethereum's RSI fell from 72 to 45 during the same period, indicating a significant correction in momentum (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin on major exchanges like Binance increased from an average of 15,000 BTC per hour to 18,750 BTC per hour, while Ethereum's volume rose from 100,000 ETH per hour to 130,000 ETH per hour, reflecting heightened market activity and potential capitulation (Binance, 2025). On-chain metrics such as the Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio for Bitcoin increased from 75 to 92, signaling a potential undervaluation and a possible buying opportunity for long-term investors (Glassnode, 2025).
In terms of AI-related tokens, the impact of the S&P 500's crash was also significant. Tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) experienced declines of 5.8% and 6.2% respectively by 4:00 PM ET, reflecting broader market sentiment (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin was evident, with Pearson correlation coefficients of 0.78 for AGIX/BTC and 0.82 for FET/BTC, indicating a strong positive relationship (CryptoQuant, 2025). This event underscores the potential for AI-driven trading algorithms to influence market movements, as AI tokens often serve as proxies for technological innovation and market sentiment in the crypto space (NVIDIA, 2025). The increased trading volumes in AI tokens, with AGIX volumes rising by 40% and FET volumes by 35%, suggest that traders may be leveraging AI-driven strategies to navigate the volatile market conditions (CoinGecko, 2025).
The influence of AI development on crypto market sentiment was also apparent, as news of advancements in AI technology often correlates with increased interest in AI-related cryptocurrencies. For instance, a recent announcement from NVIDIA about a new AI chip led to a 10% surge in AI token trading volumes the following day, highlighting the potential for AI news to drive market movements (NVIDIA, 2025). This correlation between AI developments and crypto market sentiment provides traders with opportunities to capitalize on market trends driven by technological advancements, further emphasizing the importance of monitoring AI news for trading strategies in the cryptocurrency space (CoinMarketCap, 2025).
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