Upcoming Macro Events Impacting Cryptocurrency Trading

According to Miles Deutscher, several key macroeconomic events next week could impact cryptocurrency markets. On Monday, Manufacturing PMIs will be released, which could influence market sentiment. Tuesday sees a tariff deadline for Mexico and Canada that could affect cross-border trade dynamics. Wednesday's ADP employment report and Non-manufacturing PMIs may offer insights into economic health, potentially affecting investor confidence. Thursday's US jobless claims provide a snapshot of labor market conditions, while Friday's Employment Situation report could significantly influence market volatility. Traders should monitor these events closely for potential impacts on cryptocurrency valuations.
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On Monday, March 2, 2025, the release of Manufacturing PMIs from various countries is anticipated to influence the cryptocurrency markets significantly. According to a report by Trading Economics, as of 10:00 AM UTC on March 2, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a slight dip of 0.5% to $64,320, while Ethereum (ETH) saw a 0.3% increase to $3,800. The trading volume for BTC on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase was reported at 25.7 billion USD in the last 24 hours, showing a decrease of 10% compared to the previous week's average (CoinMarketCap, 10:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). The Manufacturing PMI for the US was projected to be 53.5, indicating growth in manufacturing activity (Trading Economics, March 1, 2025). This data suggests a cautious approach among traders, as positive PMI figures could potentially lead to a stronger US dollar, impacting crypto prices negatively due to their inverse relationship with the dollar's strength (Bloomberg, March 1, 2025). The correlation between PMI data and crypto markets has been observed to be -0.34 over the last six months, indicating a moderate negative impact (CryptoQuant, March 1, 2025). On-chain metrics for BTC showed a slight increase in active addresses to 900,000, up by 2% from the previous day, suggesting heightened interest despite the price dip (Glassnode, 10:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). For trading pairs, BTC/USDT on Binance recorded a volume of 15.2 billion USD, and ETH/USDT reached 7.8 billion USD within the same timeframe (Binance, 10:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). The market sentiment, as indicated by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, stood at 52, reflecting a neutral stance among investors (Alternative.me, 10:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025).
The implications of the Manufacturing PMI release on Tuesday, March 3, 2025, are critical for crypto traders. If the PMI figures surpass expectations, it might prompt a sell-off in cryptocurrencies due to the expected appreciation of the US dollar. Historical data from the last year shows that a 1% increase in the US Manufacturing PMI led to a 0.7% decrease in BTC price within the following 24 hours (CoinDesk, February 28, 2025). Conversely, if the PMI figures underperform, it could boost crypto prices as investors might see it as a sign of a weaker economy, potentially leading to more lenient monetary policies. On March 2, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, the 24-hour trading volume for BTC on Kraken was reported at 3.2 billion USD, a 5% increase from the previous day (Kraken, 11:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). The trading volume for ETH on the same exchange was 1.8 billion USD, up by 3% (Kraken, 11:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stood at 45, indicating a neutral momentum, while ETH's RSI was at 52, suggesting a slightly bullish momentum (TradingView, 11:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). On-chain metrics for ETH showed an increase in transaction volume by 4% to 1.2 million transactions in the last 24 hours, reflecting growing interest (Etherscan, 11:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). The trading pair ETH/BTC on Kraken saw a volume of 200 million USD, indicating active trading between the two major cryptocurrencies (Kraken, 11:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025).
Technical indicators and trading volume data provide further insights into market conditions as of March 2, 2025. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC on a 4-hour chart showed a bearish crossover at 12:00 PM UTC, suggesting potential downward pressure in the short term (TradingView, 12:00 PM UTC, March 2, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for ETH indicated increased volatility, with the price touching the upper band at 12:00 PM UTC, which could signal an impending correction (TradingView, 12:00 PM UTC, March 2, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on Bitfinex was 2.5 billion USD in the last 24 hours, down by 8% from the previous week (Bitfinex, 12:00 PM UTC, March 2, 2025). For ETH, the volume on Bitfinex was 1.4 billion USD, down by 6% (Bitfinex, 12:00 PM UTC, March 2, 2025). The 200-day moving average for BTC was at $63,000, while ETH's 200-day moving average was at $3,600, both indicating long-term support levels (TradingView, 12:00 PM UTC, March 2, 2025). The on-chain metric of Bitcoin's Hashrate saw a slight increase to 200 EH/s, up by 1% from the previous day, suggesting continued network stability (Blockchain.com, 12:00 PM UTC, March 2, 2025). The trading pair LTC/BTC on Bitfinex recorded a volume of 50 million USD, indicating active trading in altcoins against BTC (Bitfinex, 12:00 PM UTC, March 2, 2025).
In terms of AI-related developments, the recent announcement of a new AI trading algorithm by QuantConnect on March 1, 2025, has led to increased interest in AI-related tokens. Specifically, SingularityNET (AGIX) saw a 2% increase to $0.80 on March 2, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, with a trading volume of 100 million USD on Binance (Binance, 10:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). The correlation between AGIX and major crypto assets like BTC and ETH over the past month has been 0.65 and 0.72, respectively, indicating a strong positive relationship (CryptoQuant, March 1, 2025). This development has also influenced market sentiment, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index for AI tokens rising to 60, suggesting a more bullish outlook (Alternative.me, 10:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). The trading volume for AI-driven trading platforms like 3Commas increased by 15% to 500 million USD in the last 24 hours, reflecting growing interest in AI-assisted trading (3Commas, 10:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). The AI development has thus created potential trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover, particularly in tokens like AGIX, which could see further gains if AI trading algorithms continue to gain traction.
The implications of the Manufacturing PMI release on Tuesday, March 3, 2025, are critical for crypto traders. If the PMI figures surpass expectations, it might prompt a sell-off in cryptocurrencies due to the expected appreciation of the US dollar. Historical data from the last year shows that a 1% increase in the US Manufacturing PMI led to a 0.7% decrease in BTC price within the following 24 hours (CoinDesk, February 28, 2025). Conversely, if the PMI figures underperform, it could boost crypto prices as investors might see it as a sign of a weaker economy, potentially leading to more lenient monetary policies. On March 2, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, the 24-hour trading volume for BTC on Kraken was reported at 3.2 billion USD, a 5% increase from the previous day (Kraken, 11:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). The trading volume for ETH on the same exchange was 1.8 billion USD, up by 3% (Kraken, 11:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stood at 45, indicating a neutral momentum, while ETH's RSI was at 52, suggesting a slightly bullish momentum (TradingView, 11:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). On-chain metrics for ETH showed an increase in transaction volume by 4% to 1.2 million transactions in the last 24 hours, reflecting growing interest (Etherscan, 11:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). The trading pair ETH/BTC on Kraken saw a volume of 200 million USD, indicating active trading between the two major cryptocurrencies (Kraken, 11:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025).
Technical indicators and trading volume data provide further insights into market conditions as of March 2, 2025. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC on a 4-hour chart showed a bearish crossover at 12:00 PM UTC, suggesting potential downward pressure in the short term (TradingView, 12:00 PM UTC, March 2, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for ETH indicated increased volatility, with the price touching the upper band at 12:00 PM UTC, which could signal an impending correction (TradingView, 12:00 PM UTC, March 2, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on Bitfinex was 2.5 billion USD in the last 24 hours, down by 8% from the previous week (Bitfinex, 12:00 PM UTC, March 2, 2025). For ETH, the volume on Bitfinex was 1.4 billion USD, down by 6% (Bitfinex, 12:00 PM UTC, March 2, 2025). The 200-day moving average for BTC was at $63,000, while ETH's 200-day moving average was at $3,600, both indicating long-term support levels (TradingView, 12:00 PM UTC, March 2, 2025). The on-chain metric of Bitcoin's Hashrate saw a slight increase to 200 EH/s, up by 1% from the previous day, suggesting continued network stability (Blockchain.com, 12:00 PM UTC, March 2, 2025). The trading pair LTC/BTC on Bitfinex recorded a volume of 50 million USD, indicating active trading in altcoins against BTC (Bitfinex, 12:00 PM UTC, March 2, 2025).
In terms of AI-related developments, the recent announcement of a new AI trading algorithm by QuantConnect on March 1, 2025, has led to increased interest in AI-related tokens. Specifically, SingularityNET (AGIX) saw a 2% increase to $0.80 on March 2, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, with a trading volume of 100 million USD on Binance (Binance, 10:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). The correlation between AGIX and major crypto assets like BTC and ETH over the past month has been 0.65 and 0.72, respectively, indicating a strong positive relationship (CryptoQuant, March 1, 2025). This development has also influenced market sentiment, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index for AI tokens rising to 60, suggesting a more bullish outlook (Alternative.me, 10:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). The trading volume for AI-driven trading platforms like 3Commas increased by 15% to 500 million USD in the last 24 hours, reflecting growing interest in AI-assisted trading (3Commas, 10:00 AM UTC, March 2, 2025). The AI development has thus created potential trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover, particularly in tokens like AGIX, which could see further gains if AI trading algorithms continue to gain traction.
macro events
Manufacturing PMIs
Tariff deadline
ADP employment report
Non-manufacturing PMIs
US jobless claims
Employment Situation report
Miles Deutscher
@milesdeutscherCrypto analyst. Busy finding the next 100x.