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5/12/2025 2:48:03 PM

US and China 90-Day Trade Truce: Impact on Bitcoin Price and Crypto Market Outlook

US and China 90-Day Trade Truce: Impact on Bitcoin Price and Crypto Market Outlook

According to Milk Road (@MilkRoadDaily), the United States and China have agreed to a 90-day temporary reduction in trade tensions, aiming to stabilize global markets. For cryptocurrency traders, this truce could ease macroeconomic uncertainty and potentially support bullish momentum for Bitcoin, as reduced geopolitical risks historically correlate with higher risk-on asset inflows. The crypto community is closely watching for a potential new all-time high for Bitcoin, as the global risk environment improves (source: Milk Road on Twitter, May 12, 2025).

Source

Analysis

The recent announcement of a 90-day temporary reduction in trade tensions between the US and China has sparked renewed optimism across global financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. This development, shared widely on social platforms like Twitter by Milk Road on May 12, 2025, comes at a time when investors are closely monitoring macroeconomic events for their impact on risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins. The de-escalation of trade disputes could potentially stabilize equity markets, which often correlate with crypto price movements during periods of heightened risk appetite. As of 10:00 AM UTC on May 12, 2025, Bitcoin was trading at $62,350 on Binance, showing a modest 1.5% increase within 24 hours following the news, as reported by CoinGecko data. Major stock indices, such as the S&P 500, also saw gains of 0.8% by the close of trading on May 11, 2025, reflecting a broader positive sentiment that could spill over into digital assets. This temporary truce may reduce uncertainty for institutional investors, who often view crypto as a hedge against traditional market volatility. For traders, this news provides a critical window to assess whether Bitcoin can break past key resistance levels and approach new all-time highs, a sentiment echoed humorously by Milk Road’s viral post about waiting for BTC to soar.

From a trading perspective, the cooling of US-China trade tensions could create significant opportunities in the crypto market, particularly for Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH), which often lead market rallies during risk-on environments. As of 12:00 PM UTC on May 12, 2025, Ethereum was trading at $2,450 on Coinbase, up 2.1% in the last 24 hours, mirroring Bitcoin’s upward trajectory. The correlation between stock market performance and crypto assets is evident in the increased trading volume on major exchanges. For instance, Binance reported a 15% spike in BTC/USDT trading volume, reaching $1.2 billion in the 24 hours following the announcement, as per their official data feed. This suggests growing interest from retail and institutional players looking to capitalize on potential bullish momentum. Additionally, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 3.2% increase to $205.50 by the close of trading on May 11, 2025, according to Yahoo Finance. This cross-market movement highlights how reduced geopolitical risks can drive capital flows into both equities and digital assets, creating a favorable environment for swing traders targeting short-term gains in BTC and ETH pairs.

Diving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s price action as of 2:00 PM UTC on May 12, 2025, shows it testing the $62,500 resistance level on the 4-hour chart, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 58, indicating room for further upside before overbought conditions, as observed on TradingView. On-chain metrics also support a bullish outlook, with Glassnode reporting a 7% increase in Bitcoin wallet addresses holding over 1 BTC in the past 48 hours, signaling accumulation by larger players. Ethereum’s on-chain activity mirrors this trend, with a 10% rise in daily active addresses recorded at 1:00 PM UTC on May 12, 2025, per Etherscan data. In terms of market correlations, the positive movement in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, up 0.9% and 1.1% respectively on May 11, 2025, as per Bloomberg data, aligns with crypto’s upward trend, reinforcing the risk-on sentiment. Institutional money flow is also evident, with Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) seeing inflows of $50 million on May 11, 2025, according to their public filings. This convergence of stock and crypto market dynamics suggests that traders could position for breakout trades in BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT pairs, while keeping an eye on stock index futures for signs of sustained risk appetite.

The interplay between stock and crypto markets during this period of reduced trade tensions underscores a broader shift in investor behavior. With crypto-related ETFs like the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) recording a 5% increase in trading volume on May 11, 2025, as reported by ETF.com, it’s clear that institutional interest is bridging these asset classes. The correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 has risen to 0.6 over the past week, based on CoinMetrics data accessed on May 12, 2025, indicating a stronger linkage during geopolitical relief periods. For traders, this environment offers opportunities to leverage cross-market trends, such as longing Bitcoin while monitoring equity index gains, or hedging with stablecoin pairs like USDT during potential reversals. As market sentiment shifts toward optimism, the flow of capital between traditional and digital assets will likely intensify, making this a pivotal moment for strategic positioning.

FAQ Section:
What does the US-China trade tension reduction mean for Bitcoin traders?
The temporary 90-day reduction in trade tensions, announced on May 12, 2025, has led to a risk-on sentiment in global markets, positively impacting Bitcoin. With BTC trading at $62,350 as of 10:00 AM UTC on May 12, 2025, and showing a 1.5% gain in 24 hours per CoinGecko, traders can explore breakout opportunities above key resistance levels like $62,500, while monitoring stock market indices for sustained bullishness.

How are crypto-related stocks affected by this news?
Crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) have seen direct benefits, with a 3.2% price increase to $205.50 by the close on May 11, 2025, as per Yahoo Finance. This reflects broader market optimism and increased institutional interest, which often correlates with higher crypto trading volumes and prices.

Milk Road

@MilkRoadDaily

Making you smarter about crypto, one laugh at a time. Trusted by 330k+ daily readers.