US Government Shutdown Ending: TGA 953 Billion, Fed QT Ending in December, SEC Back — Crypto Liquidity Tailwinds and Altcoin ETF Momentum | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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11/10/2025 6:12:00 AM

US Government Shutdown Ending: TGA 953 Billion, Fed QT Ending in December, SEC Back — Crypto Liquidity Tailwinds and Altcoin ETF Momentum

US Government Shutdown Ending: TGA 953 Billion, Fed QT Ending in December, SEC Back — Crypto Liquidity Tailwinds and Altcoin ETF Momentum

According to @BullTheoryio, the US Senate voted 60-40 to end the government shutdown, implying federal operations could resume within days. According to @BullTheoryio, the Treasury General Account balance near 953 billion dollars could begin flowing into markets after reopening, aligning with the Federal Reserve’s plan to end quantitative tightening in December. According to @BullTheoryio, prior instances when TGA outflows coincided with Fed easing have been associated with rallies in risk assets. According to @BullTheoryio, the SEC’s return to normal operations may allow pending altcoin ETF applications to progress and speed crypto-related rulemaking. According to @BullTheoryio, traders may monitor fiscal outflows, the QT wind-down, and SEC timelines as potential near-term catalysts for crypto market liquidity, altcoin performance, and trading volumes.

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Analysis

US Government Shutdown Ends: Major Liquidity Boost for Crypto and Stock Markets

The US Senate's recent 60-40 vote to end the government shutdown marks a pivotal moment for financial markets, particularly in the cryptocurrency sector. According to Bull Theory on Twitter, this development means the US government will reopen within days, unleashing significant liquidity that could propel risk-on assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) higher. The Treasury General Account (TGA) balance is currently hovering near $953 billion, and with the shutdown's resolution, Treasury spending is expected to inject this liquidity directly into the economy. This aligns perfectly with the Federal Reserve's plans to end quantitative tightening (QT) in December, creating a powerful confluence of fiscal and monetary support that has historically triggered rallies in volatile assets. For crypto traders, this signals a potential shift from recent market consolidation to renewed upward momentum, especially as pro-crypto legislation resumes progress in Congress.

In terms of trading implications, the end of the shutdown could accelerate the approval process for pending altcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) once the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) returns to full operations. Altcoins such as Solana (SOL) and Chainlink (LINK) stand to benefit, with increased institutional interest likely driving higher trading volumes and price discovery. Historically, when TGA spending coincides with Fed easing, we've seen substantial rallies in risk assets; for instance, similar alignments in past cycles have led to double-digit percentage gains in BTC within weeks. Traders should monitor key support levels for BTC around $90,000 and resistance at $100,000, as this liquidity influx could push prices toward all-time highs. On the stock market side, this development correlates strongly with broader indices like the S&P 500, where crypto-exposed stocks such as those in blockchain technology firms may see amplified gains. Institutional flows into crypto could mirror stock market recoveries, with hedge funds reallocating capital from safe havens like bonds to high-growth assets, potentially increasing on-chain metrics like transaction volumes and wallet activations for major cryptocurrencies.

Historical Patterns and Trading Strategies Amid Liquidity Surge

Diving deeper into historical patterns, every instance where TGA drawdowns have aligned with the end of monetary tightening has resulted in a risk-on environment favorable for cryptocurrencies. According to market analysts, this setup often leads to increased volatility, with trading volumes spiking as liquidity floods the system. For example, in previous cycles, Ethereum's price has surged by over 20% in the month following such events, driven by heightened DeFi activity and NFT market revivals. Crypto traders might consider long positions in ETH/USD pairs, targeting breakouts above $4,000, while keeping an eye on cross-market correlations with Nasdaq-listed tech stocks, which often move in tandem with crypto sentiment. The resumption of legislative operations also paves the way for pro-crypto bills to pass, potentially clarifying regulations around stablecoins and decentralized finance (DeFi), which could reduce uncertainty and attract more retail and institutional investors. This regulatory acceleration is crucial, as it might lead to greater adoption of tokens like Ripple (XRP) in cross-border payments, boosting their market caps and trading opportunities.

From a broader market perspective, the reopening of fiscal taps and the cessation of monetary tightening suggest a bullish outlook for the entire crypto ecosystem. Risk-on assets are poised to rally, with potential for altcoin seasons where smaller-cap tokens outperform majors like BTC. Traders should watch for on-chain indicators such as rising gas fees on Ethereum or increased staking rewards on proof-of-stake networks, which often precede price pumps. In stock markets, this liquidity could fuel gains in AI-related equities, indirectly benefiting AI tokens like Fetch.ai (FET) through sentiment spillover. To optimize trading strategies, consider dollar-cost averaging into diversified crypto portfolios during dips, while using technical indicators like RSI and MACD to time entries. Overall, this government resolution eliminates a key overhang, setting the stage for sustained market growth into year-end, with liquidity acting as the primary catalyst for both crypto and traditional asset classes.

Looking ahead, the implications extend to global markets, where US liquidity often influences international flows into emerging crypto sectors. For instance, Asian trading desks may ramp up activity in BTC futures, leading to higher 24-hour volumes on exchanges. As the Fed winds down QT, bond yields could stabilize, encouraging risk-taking in volatile assets. Crypto enthusiasts should prepare for potential volatility spikes, hedging with options on platforms like Deribit. In summary, the end of the US government shutdown is a game-changer, promising accelerated crypto regulation, ETF approvals, and a liquidity-driven rally that savvy traders can capitalize on for substantial gains.

Bull Theory

@BullTheoryio

Research, Trades, onchain plays and all other crypto stuff simplified.Publishes institutional-grade cryptocurrency research and blockchain market intelligence. Delivers in-depth analysis of on-chain metrics, tokenomics, and decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystems. Features proprietary data models, investment thesis breakdowns, and macro-level crypto trend forecasts. Provides strategic insights for sophisticated investors navigating digital asset markets. Maintains rigorous methodology in fundamental and technical analysis across crypto assets.