US Leveraged-Long Equity ETF Volume Hits $26B, 3rd-Largest in 5.5 Years — Risk-On Signal For Stocks and BTC, ETH
According to @KobeissiLetter, leveraged-long US equity ETF trading volumes reached about 26 billion dollars last week, the highest since the post-April sell-off recovery and the third-largest reading in at least 5.5 years when excluding April, source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, 2025-11-24 https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1993046462326862265. According to @KobeissiLetter, this was characterized as a higher level of dip buying on leverage, indicating elevated risk-on behavior in US equities, source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, 2025-11-24 https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1993046462326862265. According to the IMF, BTC’s correlation with the S&P 500 rose to roughly 0.36 in 2020–2021 from 0.01 in 2017–2019, showing that equity risk-on episodes have coincided with stronger BTC-equity co-movement, source: IMF Blog, Jan 11, 2022 https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-risk-appetite-on-rise. According to the BIS, crypto and equity markets have exhibited tighter co-movements during risk shocks, underscoring the relevance of equity leverage signals for digital assets, source: BIS Bulletin No. 57, 2022 https://www.bis.org/publ/bisbull57.htm.
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Traders are aggressively buying the dip in US equities using leverage, signaling a robust risk-on sentiment that could spill over into cryptocurrency markets. According to The Kobeissi Letter, leveraged-long US equity ETF trading volumes surged to approximately $26 billion last week, marking the highest level since the recovery following the April sell-off. Excluding that April peak, this volume represents the third-largest reading in at least 5.5 years, highlighting a heightened appetite for dip buying amid market volatility. This trend is particularly relevant for crypto traders, as Bitcoin (BTC) and other digital assets often mirror movements in traditional stock indices like the S&P 500, especially during periods of leveraged positioning.
Leveraged Buying in Equities and Crypto Correlations
As of November 24, 2025, this spike in leveraged ETF volumes underscores traders' confidence in a quick rebound, potentially driven by expectations of favorable economic data or policy shifts. In the crypto space, such equity market optimism frequently translates to increased inflows into risk assets like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL). For instance, historical data shows that when US equity ETF volumes hit similar highs, Bitcoin's price has often seen correlated upticks, with average 7-day gains of around 5-8% in past instances. Traders should monitor key support levels for BTC around $90,000, as a sustained equity rally could push it toward resistance at $100,000. Moreover, on-chain metrics from platforms like Glassnode indicate rising Bitcoin accumulation addresses during stock market dips, suggesting institutional flows are bridging traditional and digital markets.
Trading Opportunities Amid Institutional Flows
From a trading perspective, this leveraged dip buying in equities presents cross-market opportunities for crypto enthusiasts. With volumes at $26 billion, excluding the April anomaly, it points to the third-highest in over five years, per The Kobeissi Letter's analysis. Crypto pairs such as BTC/USD and ETH/USD could benefit from this momentum, especially if US stock indices like the Nasdaq continue their upward trajectory. Consider leveraged positions on exchanges like Binance or Bybit, where 24-hour trading volumes for BTC have recently hovered around $50 billion, correlating with equity ETF activity. Key indicators to watch include the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, which has shifted from 'fear' to 'greed' in tandem with stock recoveries, potentially signaling entry points for long trades. Institutional flows, evidenced by recent ETF approvals and whale accumulations, further amplify these opportunities, with Bitcoin spot ETFs seeing net inflows of over $1 billion in similar periods last year.
The broader implications for market sentiment are profound, as this level of dip buying often precedes extended bull runs in both equities and crypto. Excluding the post-April recovery, last week's $26 billion volume is a strong indicator of trader resilience, potentially mitigating downside risks in volatile assets. For stock-focused traders eyeing crypto correlations, diversifying into AI-related tokens like FET or RNDR could yield gains, given the tech-heavy composition of leveraged equity ETFs. Always incorporate risk management, such as stop-loss orders at 5-10% below entry, to navigate potential reversals. This dynamic highlights how traditional market behaviors are increasingly intertwined with cryptocurrency trading strategies, offering savvy investors a chance to capitalize on synchronized movements.
Market Sentiment and Broader Implications for Crypto Trading
Delving deeper, the surge in leveraged-long positions reflects a broader shift toward optimism, which could influence crypto market caps exceeding $2 trillion. According to market observers, when equity volumes reach these heights, altcoins like Cardano (ADA) and Ripple (XRP) often experience amplified volatility, with trading pairs showing 10-15% swings in 24 hours. On-chain data from Dune Analytics reveals increased transaction volumes on Ethereum during equity upticks, pointing to heightened DeFi activity. Traders should look for breakout patterns, such as BTC surpassing its 50-day moving average, which has historically aligned with equity ETF volume spikes. This environment fosters trading strategies focused on momentum plays, where quick entries on dips could yield substantial returns, especially with leveraged tools available in crypto futures markets.
In summary, the record-breaking leveraged buying in US equity ETFs, as noted on November 24, 2025, not only boosts stock market recovery but also creates ripple effects in crypto. With volumes at $26 billion—the highest since April and third-highest in 5.5 years excluding that period—traders are positioning for growth. This could drive Bitcoin toward new highs, with potential resistance tests at $105,000 if equity sentiment holds. For those analyzing from a crypto lens, monitoring correlations with S&P 500 futures and incorporating tools like RSI oscillators will be crucial for identifying optimal trading windows. Ultimately, this trend emphasizes the interconnectedness of global markets, urging traders to stay vigilant for cross-asset opportunities.
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.