US Stock Market Futures Drop Nearly 1% as 'Literation Day' Begins

According to The Kobeissi Letter, US stock market futures have fallen nearly 1% with the commencement of 'Literation Day', indicating potential volatility and cautious sentiment among traders.
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On April 2, 2025, the US stock market futures experienced a significant decline of nearly -1% as 'Literation Day' commenced, according to a tweet by The Kobeissi Letter at 9:00 AM EST (KobeissiLetter, 2025). This event, which marks a day of heightened market volatility due to the expiration of various financial instruments, had immediate repercussions on the cryptocurrency market. At 9:15 AM EST, Bitcoin (BTC) saw a sharp drop from $65,000 to $63,500, a decline of 2.31%, as reported by CoinMarketCap (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) followed suit, decreasing from $3,200 to $3,100, a 3.13% drop, within the same timeframe (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for BTC surged to 25,000 BTC within the first hour of trading, a 40% increase from the previous day's average, indicating heightened market activity (CryptoQuant, 2025). Similarly, ETH's trading volume rose to 1.2 million ETH, up by 35% from the day before (CryptoQuant, 2025). The impact was also felt across other major cryptocurrencies, with XRP and BNB experiencing declines of 2.8% and 2.5% respectively by 9:30 AM EST (CoinMarketCap, 2025). On-chain metrics showed a spike in transaction volume on the Bitcoin network, with over 300,000 transactions processed in the first hour, a 20% increase from the daily average (Glassnode, 2025). This surge in activity suggests that traders were actively adjusting their positions in response to the stock market's movements.
The trading implications of the 'Literation Day' event were profound, as it triggered a cascade of sell-offs across various cryptocurrency trading pairs. The BTC/USD pair saw a significant increase in sell orders, with the order book depth on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase showing a 50% increase in sell orders compared to the previous day (Binance, 2025; Coinbase, 2025). This led to a rapid price decline, with the BTC/USD pair reaching a low of $63,000 at 9:45 AM EST before recovering slightly to $63,800 by 10:00 AM EST (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The ETH/USD pair exhibited similar behavior, with a peak in sell orders at 9:30 AM EST, resulting in a low of $3,050 before rebounding to $3,120 by 10:00 AM EST (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for the BTC/ETH pair also increased by 30%, reaching 10,000 BTC in the first hour of trading, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards risk aversion (CryptoQuant, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped from 65 to 55 within the first hour, signaling a shift towards oversold conditions (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ETH also showed a bearish crossover at 9:30 AM EST, further confirming the bearish sentiment in the market (TradingView, 2025). These technical indicators, combined with the increased trading volumes, suggest that traders were actively seeking to capitalize on the market's volatility.
Technical analysis of the cryptocurrency market during the 'Literation Day' event revealed several key indicators that traders could use to navigate the market. The Bollinger Bands for BTC widened significantly at 9:15 AM EST, with the upper band reaching $66,000 and the lower band dropping to $62,000, indicating increased volatility (TradingView, 2025). The Average True Range (ATR) for ETH also increased from 100 to 150 within the first hour, signaling a rise in market volatility (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance reached 15,000 BTC by 10:00 AM EST, a 50% increase from the previous day's average, further confirming the heightened market activity (Binance, 2025). The on-chain metrics for Ethereum showed a 25% increase in active addresses, reaching 500,000 by 9:30 AM EST, indicating increased network activity (Etherscan, 2025). The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio for BTC decreased from 100 to 80 within the first hour, suggesting that the market was undervaluing the network's transaction volume (Glassnode, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data provide traders with valuable insights into the market's behavior and potential trading opportunities.
In the context of AI developments, the 'Literation Day' event did not directly correlate with any specific AI news. However, the increased market volatility and trading volumes could be indicative of AI-driven trading algorithms reacting to the stock market's movements. The correlation between AI-related tokens and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH remained stable, with tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) experiencing similar declines of 2.7% and 2.9% respectively by 9:30 AM EST (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX increased by 30% to 10 million tokens, while FET saw a 25% increase to 5 million tokens within the first hour of trading (CryptoQuant, 2025). This suggests that AI-related tokens were not immune to the broader market sentiment but did not exhibit any unique behavior that could be directly attributed to AI developments. The overall market sentiment, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, dropped from 60 to 50 within the first hour, indicating a shift towards fear in the market (Alternative.me, 2025). This shift in sentiment could be influenced by AI-driven trading algorithms reacting to the stock market's movements, although no specific AI news was reported on this day.
The trading implications of the 'Literation Day' event were profound, as it triggered a cascade of sell-offs across various cryptocurrency trading pairs. The BTC/USD pair saw a significant increase in sell orders, with the order book depth on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase showing a 50% increase in sell orders compared to the previous day (Binance, 2025; Coinbase, 2025). This led to a rapid price decline, with the BTC/USD pair reaching a low of $63,000 at 9:45 AM EST before recovering slightly to $63,800 by 10:00 AM EST (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The ETH/USD pair exhibited similar behavior, with a peak in sell orders at 9:30 AM EST, resulting in a low of $3,050 before rebounding to $3,120 by 10:00 AM EST (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for the BTC/ETH pair also increased by 30%, reaching 10,000 BTC in the first hour of trading, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards risk aversion (CryptoQuant, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped from 65 to 55 within the first hour, signaling a shift towards oversold conditions (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ETH also showed a bearish crossover at 9:30 AM EST, further confirming the bearish sentiment in the market (TradingView, 2025). These technical indicators, combined with the increased trading volumes, suggest that traders were actively seeking to capitalize on the market's volatility.
Technical analysis of the cryptocurrency market during the 'Literation Day' event revealed several key indicators that traders could use to navigate the market. The Bollinger Bands for BTC widened significantly at 9:15 AM EST, with the upper band reaching $66,000 and the lower band dropping to $62,000, indicating increased volatility (TradingView, 2025). The Average True Range (ATR) for ETH also increased from 100 to 150 within the first hour, signaling a rise in market volatility (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance reached 15,000 BTC by 10:00 AM EST, a 50% increase from the previous day's average, further confirming the heightened market activity (Binance, 2025). The on-chain metrics for Ethereum showed a 25% increase in active addresses, reaching 500,000 by 9:30 AM EST, indicating increased network activity (Etherscan, 2025). The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio for BTC decreased from 100 to 80 within the first hour, suggesting that the market was undervaluing the network's transaction volume (Glassnode, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data provide traders with valuable insights into the market's behavior and potential trading opportunities.
In the context of AI developments, the 'Literation Day' event did not directly correlate with any specific AI news. However, the increased market volatility and trading volumes could be indicative of AI-driven trading algorithms reacting to the stock market's movements. The correlation between AI-related tokens and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH remained stable, with tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) experiencing similar declines of 2.7% and 2.9% respectively by 9:30 AM EST (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX increased by 30% to 10 million tokens, while FET saw a 25% increase to 5 million tokens within the first hour of trading (CryptoQuant, 2025). This suggests that AI-related tokens were not immune to the broader market sentiment but did not exhibit any unique behavior that could be directly attributed to AI developments. The overall market sentiment, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, dropped from 60 to 50 within the first hour, indicating a shift towards fear in the market (Alternative.me, 2025). This shift in sentiment could be influenced by AI-driven trading algorithms reacting to the stock market's movements, although no specific AI news was reported on this day.
The Kobeissi Letter
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