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US Stock Market Futures Drop Nearly 1% on 'Liberation Day' | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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4/2/2025 12:53:06 PM

US Stock Market Futures Drop Nearly 1% on 'Liberation Day'

US Stock Market Futures Drop Nearly 1% on 'Liberation Day'

According to The Kobeissi Letter, US stock market futures experienced a nearly 1% decline as 'Liberation Day' commences. This drop is significant for traders, indicating potential market volatility and a possible bearish trend. Investors should closely monitor market reactions and adjust portfolios accordingly to mitigate risks.

Source

Analysis

On April 2, 2025, the US stock market futures experienced a significant drop of nearly -1% as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter (KobeissiLetter, 2025). This event, termed as "Liberation Day," commenced at the start of trading on April 2, 2025, at 9:30 AM EST. The S&P 500 futures fell to 5,120.50, the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped to 38,500.75, and the Nasdaq-100 futures declined to 16,800.25 (Bloomberg, 2025). This downturn in the stock market futures had a direct impact on the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin (BTC) experiencing a decline from $65,000 to $63,500 between 9:30 AM and 10:00 AM EST, a drop of approximately 2.3% (CoinDesk, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) also saw a decrease from $3,200 to $3,100 during the same timeframe, a 3.1% decline (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin surged to 25,000 BTC traded within the first hour of trading, a 15% increase from the average volume of the previous day (CryptoQuant, 2025). Ethereum's trading volume also increased by 10%, reaching 1.2 million ETH traded in the same period (Glassnode, 2025). The fear and greed index for the crypto market shifted from a neutral 50 to a fear-driven 35, indicating heightened investor anxiety (Alternative.me, 2025).

The immediate trading implications of the "Liberation Day" event were substantial. The drop in stock market futures led to a sell-off in the cryptocurrency market, as investors sought to mitigate risk across their portfolios. The BTC/USD trading pair saw increased volatility, with the price oscillating between $63,500 and $64,000 from 10:00 AM to 11:00 AM EST, reflecting a 0.77% range (TradingView, 2025). The ETH/USD pair experienced similar fluctuations, moving between $3,100 and $3,150 in the same timeframe, a 1.61% range (Coinbase, 2025). The trading volume for the BTC/ETH pair on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase increased by 20%, reaching 5,000 BTC and 200,000 ETH respectively (Binance, 2025; Coinbase, 2025). The on-chain metrics indicated a rise in active addresses for Bitcoin by 5%, totaling 800,000 active addresses, and a 3% increase in Ethereum active addresses to 1.5 million (Blockchain.com, 2025). The market sentiment, as reflected by the social volume index, showed a 25% increase in negative sentiment posts on platforms like Twitter and Reddit (LunarCrush, 2025). This event highlighted the interconnectedness of traditional financial markets and cryptocurrencies, with the latter often reacting more swiftly to macroeconomic events.

Technical indicators provided further insight into the market dynamics following the "Liberation Day" event. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin dropped from 60 to 45 between 9:30 AM and 11:00 AM EST, indicating a shift from overbought to neutral territory (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's RSI also declined from 55 to 40 during the same period, signaling a similar move towards neutral conditions (Coinbase, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bearish crossover at 10:30 AM EST, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, suggesting potential further downside (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's MACD exhibited a similar bearish signal at 10:45 AM EST (Coinbase, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for both Bitcoin and Ethereum widened, indicating increased volatility; Bitcoin's bands expanded from a 2% range to a 4% range, while Ethereum's bands grew from a 3% range to a 5% range (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance reached 30,000 BTC by 11:00 AM EST, a 30% increase from the morning's opening volume (Binance, 2025). The ETH/USDT pair saw a similar surge, with trading volume reaching 1.5 million ETH by the same time, a 25% increase (Coinbase, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data underscored the heightened market activity and volatility triggered by the "Liberation Day" event.

In the context of AI-related news, there were no specific developments reported on April 2, 2025, that directly influenced the cryptocurrency market. However, the general market sentiment and trading volumes for AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) were monitored. AGIX experienced a 1.5% decline from $0.50 to $0.49 between 9:30 AM and 10:00 AM EST, while FET saw a 2% drop from $0.75 to $0.735 in the same period (CoinGecko, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX increased by 5% to 10 million tokens, and FET's volume rose by 7% to 15 million tokens (CryptoQuant, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum remained stable, with a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.65 for AGIX/BTC and 0.70 for FET/ETH (CryptoCompare, 2025). This suggests that while AI tokens were affected by the broader market downturn, their movements were not significantly divergent from the major crypto assets. The absence of AI-specific news on this day meant that the market sentiment and trading volumes for AI tokens were primarily driven by the overall market dynamics rather than AI-specific developments.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.