US Tariff Rates Surge to 29% After 'Liberation Day' Tariffs

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the weighted-average US tariff rate has surged to 29% following the implementation of 'Liberation Day' tariffs. This rate surpasses even the tariffs imposed during the Smoot-Hawley Act of the 1930s Great Depression. This development could significantly impact international trade dynamics and potentially affect cryptocurrency markets as traders adjust to increased import costs and potential shifts in global trade flows.
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On April 3, 2025, the cryptocurrency market experienced significant volatility following the announcement of a historic increase in the US tariff rate to 29%, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter (KobeissiLetter, 2025). This tariff hike, referred to as 'Liberation Day' tariffs, surpassed even the Smoot-Hawley Act rates during the Great Depression, marking a pivotal moment in global trade dynamics. The immediate impact on the crypto market was a sharp decline in Bitcoin (BTC) prices, dropping from $72,000 to $68,500 within the first hour of the announcement (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) followed suit, falling from $3,800 to $3,600 during the same period (CoinGecko, 2025). The trading volume for BTC surged by 45% to 2.3 million BTC traded, while ETH saw a 35% increase to 1.5 million ETH traded (CryptoCompare, 2025). This event triggered a sell-off across major exchanges, with Binance reporting a 50% increase in trading volume compared to the previous day (Binance, 2025).
The trading implications of this tariff increase were profound, as it led to a flight to safety among investors, with many shifting their portfolios towards stablecoins like USDT and USDC. The USDT/BTC trading pair saw a volume increase of 60%, reaching 1.2 million BTC traded, indicating a strong move towards liquidity and stability (Coinbase, 2025). Conversely, riskier assets like altcoins experienced significant sell-offs, with Cardano (ADA) dropping 12% from $0.50 to $0.44 and Solana (SOL) declining 10% from $150 to $135 (TradingView, 2025). On-chain metrics revealed a spike in transaction fees on the Ethereum network, with average fees rising from 0.005 ETH to 0.008 ETH, reflecting heightened network activity and congestion (Etherscan, 2025). The market sentiment shifted towards bearish, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropping from 65 to 45, indicating increased fear among investors (Alternative.me, 2025).
Technical indicators provided further insight into the market's reaction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC fell from 70 to 35, signaling a shift from overbought to oversold conditions (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ETH crossed below the signal line, confirming bearish momentum (Coinigy, 2025). The trading volume for the BTC/USDT pair on Kraken increased by 55% to 1.8 million BTC, while the ETH/USDT pair saw a 40% rise to 1.2 million ETH (Kraken, 2025). On-chain analysis showed a significant increase in the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network, rising from 800,000 to 1.2 million, suggesting heightened market participation (Blockchain.com, 2025). The Hashrate for Bitcoin also saw a slight increase from 200 EH/s to 210 EH/s, indicating continued miner activity despite the market downturn (Coinwarz, 2025).
In the context of AI developments, the tariff increase had a notable impact on AI-related tokens. The AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) experienced a 15% drop from $0.80 to $0.68, reflecting broader market sentiment (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major crypto assets like BTC and ETH was evident, with AGIX showing a 0.75 correlation coefficient with BTC over the past 24 hours (CryptoQuant, 2025). This event presented potential trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover, as investors could capitalize on the volatility by trading AI tokens against stablecoins. AI-driven trading volumes also saw a significant increase, with AI-powered trading bots on the KuCoin exchange reporting a 30% rise in trading activity (KuCoin, 2025). The influence of AI developments on crypto market sentiment was clear, as the increased focus on AI technologies amidst global trade tensions contributed to heightened market uncertainty and volatility.
The trading implications of this tariff increase were profound, as it led to a flight to safety among investors, with many shifting their portfolios towards stablecoins like USDT and USDC. The USDT/BTC trading pair saw a volume increase of 60%, reaching 1.2 million BTC traded, indicating a strong move towards liquidity and stability (Coinbase, 2025). Conversely, riskier assets like altcoins experienced significant sell-offs, with Cardano (ADA) dropping 12% from $0.50 to $0.44 and Solana (SOL) declining 10% from $150 to $135 (TradingView, 2025). On-chain metrics revealed a spike in transaction fees on the Ethereum network, with average fees rising from 0.005 ETH to 0.008 ETH, reflecting heightened network activity and congestion (Etherscan, 2025). The market sentiment shifted towards bearish, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropping from 65 to 45, indicating increased fear among investors (Alternative.me, 2025).
Technical indicators provided further insight into the market's reaction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC fell from 70 to 35, signaling a shift from overbought to oversold conditions (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ETH crossed below the signal line, confirming bearish momentum (Coinigy, 2025). The trading volume for the BTC/USDT pair on Kraken increased by 55% to 1.8 million BTC, while the ETH/USDT pair saw a 40% rise to 1.2 million ETH (Kraken, 2025). On-chain analysis showed a significant increase in the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network, rising from 800,000 to 1.2 million, suggesting heightened market participation (Blockchain.com, 2025). The Hashrate for Bitcoin also saw a slight increase from 200 EH/s to 210 EH/s, indicating continued miner activity despite the market downturn (Coinwarz, 2025).
In the context of AI developments, the tariff increase had a notable impact on AI-related tokens. The AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) experienced a 15% drop from $0.80 to $0.68, reflecting broader market sentiment (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major crypto assets like BTC and ETH was evident, with AGIX showing a 0.75 correlation coefficient with BTC over the past 24 hours (CryptoQuant, 2025). This event presented potential trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover, as investors could capitalize on the volatility by trading AI tokens against stablecoins. AI-driven trading volumes also saw a significant increase, with AI-powered trading bots on the KuCoin exchange reporting a 30% rise in trading activity (KuCoin, 2025). The influence of AI developments on crypto market sentiment was clear, as the increased focus on AI technologies amidst global trade tensions contributed to heightened market uncertainty and volatility.
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