List of Flash News about valuation
| Time | Details |
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2026-02-01 16:55 |
TSLA SpaceX Merger Math: Gary Black Warns 35% Dilution and P/E Mismatch Could Hurt Tesla Shareholders
According to @garyblack00, a TSLA and SpaceX merger makes little sense for Tesla shareholders without major cost or revenue synergies due to heavy dilution and valuation differences (source: @garyblack00). He calculates that with Tesla at a $1.5T market cap on a 200x P/E and SpaceX at $800B on a 400x P/E, the combined value would be $2.3T, requiring Tesla to issue roughly 35% new shares and producing about $8B in adjusted net income ($6B Tesla, $2B SpaceX) (source: @garyblack00). He adds that many institutional holders could balk if around 25% of profits come from space travel and communications and might sell, while the industrial logic is weak and Tesla could end up funding SpaceX’s negative cash flows (source: @garyblack00). He also notes Tesla has underperformed the Nasdaq over one- and five-year periods, reinforcing his caution on such a deal (source: @garyblack00). |
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2026-01-30 21:34 |
SpaceX IPO: Reuters Reports $50B Raise Target at $1.5 Trillion Valuation as 2025 Revenue Reaches $15B–$16B and EBITDA Near $8B
According to @StockMKTNewz, citing Reuters, SpaceX reportedly generated between $15 billion and $16 billion in revenue in 2025 with approximately $8 billion in EBITDA, and is seeking to raise $50 billion in a June IPO at a $1.5 trillion valuation (source: Reuters). |
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2026-01-28 00:54 |
SoftBank to Invest Additional $30B in OpenAI as ChatGPT Maker Seeks Up to $100B at $830B Valuation: AI Funding Megadeal Watch
According to @StockMKTNewz, SoftBank is reportedly in talks to invest an additional $30 billion into OpenAI, source: The Wall Street Journal via @StockMKTNewz. The report adds that OpenAI is seeking up to $100 billion in new capital in a round that could value the company at as much as $830 billion, source: The Wall Street Journal via @StockMKTNewz. For traders, the prospective raise size and implied valuation signal strong investor appetite for large scale AI deployment and reinforce AI as a core investment theme across public and private assets, source: The Wall Street Journal via @StockMKTNewz. |
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2026-01-19 10:56 |
AI Bubble Warning from DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis: Ten-Figure Seed Valuations Signal Risk for Traders
According to @FuSheng_0306, DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis says current AI enthusiasm is a compensatory surge after a decade of underestimation, but overcompensation has created a bubble (source: @FuSheng_0306). According to @FuSheng_0306, Hassabis highlighted that some seed-stage startups are securing ten-figure valuations that will be unsustainable without real, shipped products (source: @FuSheng_0306). For trading, this implies heightened downside risk for AI-exposed equities and AI-themed tokens without demonstrable product traction, favoring names with deployed products and validated unit economics (source: @FuSheng_0306). Positioning based on this view points to tighter risk limits on momentum narratives, deeper diligence on adoption metrics, and selective exposure to proven AI infrastructure over narrative-only assets (source: @FuSheng_0306). |
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2025-12-25 13:12 |
Palantir PLTR Valuation Divide in 2025: Wall Street Cautious as Retail Buying Persists, CNBC Reports
According to @CNBC, Wall Street wrote off Palantir as too expensive while retail investors continue buying the stock, highlighting a clear valuation divide relevant to short-term PLTR trading; the CNBC post does not mention any cryptocurrency market impact or digital assets, source @CNBC on December 25, 2025. |
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2025-12-21 17:04 |
Security Analysis by Graham and Dodd: 3 Must-Know Lessons for Stock Traders on Income Statements, Balance Sheets, and Valuations
According to QCompounding, Security Analysis by Graham and Dodd is dense but essential, serving as a blueprint for analyzing businesses via income statements, balance sheets, and valuations to elevate stock assessment workflows, source: QCompounding. The author states that readers who master the book will never look at a stock the same way again, highlighting its practical impact on equity analysis for traders, source: QCompounding. |
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2025-12-18 15:11 |
TSLA Robotaxi Catalyst: Austin Safety Monitor Removal Targeted by Year-End 2025; Valuation Keeps Gary Black on Sidelines
According to @garyblack00, his fund does not currently own TSLA and is neither bullish nor bearish, remaining on the sidelines due to what he views as a stretched valuation that already discounts success in unsupervised autonomy (source: @garyblack00 on X, Dec 18, 2025). He identifies the next major TSLA trading catalyst as the removal of safety monitors in Robotaxis, which would signal an imminent scale-up and is targeted by Elon Musk in Austin by year-end (source: @garyblack00 on X, Dec 18, 2025). He adds that despite the extended valuation, he does not view TSLA as a short candidate and does not short great companies; he cites assets under management above $300M and notes that not owning TSLA has not hurt performance this year (source: @garyblack00 on X, Dec 18, 2025). He also references other autonomy efforts from GOOG, BIDU, PONY, WRD, and AMZN as part of the competitive landscape already reflected in valuations, reinforcing his neutral stance (source: @garyblack00 on X, Dec 18, 2025). No direct cryptocurrency market implications were mentioned in the post (source: @garyblack00 on X, Dec 18, 2025). |
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2025-11-21 15:16 |
MercadoLibre MELI Valuation Alert: Forward EBIT at 25x All-Time Low as FCF Skewed by Credit Funding and FX
According to @StockMarketNerd, MercadoLibre includes credit funding within free cash flow which is a current drag while the company is in growth mode, creating misleading FCF multiples for traders who rely on third-party screens, source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Nov 21, 2025. The post states many services show Q1 to Q2 FCF around 3.3 billion dollars, while the company reported about 440 million dollars, which can distort valuation if FCF is used, source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Nov 21, 2025. The author argues EBIT is the cleaner metric once credit funding and foreign exchange noise are removed, and adds that MELI trades at an all-time low forward EBIT multiple of 25 times, source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Nov 21, 2025. For trading and valuation screens, the takeaway is to anchor on EBIT rather than FCF and to adjust for FX effects cited in the post, source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Nov 21, 2025. The post does not reference any cryptocurrency exposure or market impact, source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Nov 21, 2025. |
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2025-11-14 03:57 |
NU Holdings (NU) Q3 2025 Earnings Review: Demand, Margins, Credit Health, Valuation — Trader Takeaways
According to @StockMarketNerd, a comprehensive Q3 2025 earnings review for NU Holdings (NU) covers demand, margins, balance sheet, credit health, valuation, and earnings call/slide-deck notes, plus the author’s take for traders, offering a structured basis to assess risk-reward around NU’s post-earnings setup. Source: https://twitter.com/StockMarketNerd/status/1989180902845608011; https://www.stockmarketnerd.com/nu-holdings-q3-2025-earnings-review/ For crypto-focused traders, this is relevant because Nubank operates BTC and ETH retail trading and the Nucoin rewards program in Brazil, making NU a fintech name with direct crypto product exposure. Sources: Nubank Newsroom (May 2022 crypto launch); Nubank Blog (2023 Nucoin program). |
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2025-11-13 00:34 |
ONON Earnings Review: 7-Part Breakdown of Demand, Profits, Balance Sheet, and Actionable 2025–2026 Guidance and Valuation
According to @StockMarketNerd, the latest ONON earnings review delivers a seven-part breakdown covering key points, demand, profits, balance sheet strength, 2025 and 2026 guidance with valuation context, and earnings call and press release notes, giving traders a structured checklist to evaluate revenue momentum, margin drivers, liquidity, and forward multiples for positioning. source: @StockMarketNerd Traders can use the multi-year guidance and valuation framework in the review to plan risk and position sizing around potential guidance revisions, earnings dates, and re-rating catalysts in ONON shares. source: @StockMarketNerd The source does not discuss any direct cryptocurrency market impact. source: @StockMarketNerd |
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2025-10-23 00:41 |
Bloomberg: VCs Court Kalshi at $10–12B Valuation; CFTC OKs More Contracts as Annualized Volume Hits $50B; Polymarket Valued ~$8B
According to @PANewsCN citing Bloomberg, prediction market platform Kalshi is receiving venture capital approaches for a $10–12 billion valuation range (source: Bloomberg via @PANewsCN). Bloomberg, via @PANewsCN, reports this follows a $300 million round at a $5 billion valuation led by a16z and Sequoia a few weeks earlier and a $185 million round at a $2 billion valuation led by Paradigm in June (source: Bloomberg via @PANewsCN). Kalshi did not respond to requests for comment (source: Bloomberg via @PANewsCN). The CFTC has allowed Kalshi to list more event contracts, while state-level gambling oversight remains disputed (source: Bloomberg via @PANewsCN). Kalshi states its annualized trading volume has reached $50 billion (source: Bloomberg via @PANewsCN). Competitor Polymarket has received up to $2 billion in investment from ICE, with a valuation around $8 billion (source: Bloomberg via @PANewsCN). |
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2025-10-04 18:03 |
Reverse DCF by Dave Ahern Highlighted by @QCompounding: What Traders Should Note in 2025
According to @QCompounding, a resource titled What is a Reverse DCF by Dave Ahern was shared, highlighting trader interest in the reverse discounted cash flow valuation approach (source: @QCompounding, Oct 4, 2025). The shared post itself provides no additional metrics, tickers, or links in the quoted text, indicating readers must consult the referenced material for specifics (source: @QCompounding, Oct 4, 2025). |
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2025-09-28 20:52 |
IONQ ($IONQ) at $20B vs Bank of America’s $4B Quantum Computing TAM: 5x TAM Multiple, Trading Risks and Crypto (BTC, ETH) Angle
According to @StockMarketNerd, Bank of America estimates the quantum computing total addressable market in five years at about $4B, while IonQ’s ($IONQ) current market capitalization is about $20B. According to @StockMarketNerd, this implies a market-cap-to-TAM multiple near 5x today, and even under an $8B TAM scenario by 2030 the multiple would be roughly 2.5x, which the author characterizes as ridiculously priced. According to NIST, current public-key cryptosystems based on RSA and elliptic-curve cryptography are vulnerable to sufficiently large quantum computers, which is directly relevant to BTC and ETH security given their use of ECDSA, according to Bitcoin Core documentation and the Ethereum Yellow Paper. |
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2025-09-08 09:42 |
Lex Sokolin: Tempo Token + DAT Would Price at $10–20B Today — Trading Benchmark for Pre-Product Launches
According to @LexSokolin, if Tempo launched today as a token plus DAT without any product deployed, the market would price it at $10–20 billion, setting an implied launch valuation range for this structure, source: @LexSokolin on Twitter, Sep 8, 2025. For traders evaluating pre-product token launches, this stated range can serve as a benchmark for sizing risk and expected valuation at listing, source: @LexSokolin on Twitter, Sep 8, 2025. |
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2025-09-06 12:02 |
Fundamentals and Valuation Both Matter: 2 Core Rules for Stock Traders on Business Quality, Growth, Reinvestment, and Entry Price
According to @QCompounding, what matters most for returns is a combination of fundamentals, including business quality, growth, and reinvestment, and valuation, meaning the price you pay to enter; source: @QCompounding. Both must be considered in any buy decision, as ignoring either leads to hard lessons for investors and traders; source: @QCompounding. |
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2025-09-01 17:54 |
Justin Sun’s WLFI Presale Stake Jumps 10x to ~$750M — $75M Across Two Rounds Highlights Major Whale Profits
According to Bubblemaps, Justin Sun invested $30M in WLFI at a $1.5B valuation in November 2024 and $45M at a $5B valuation in January 2025, identifying him as a presale participant in two rounds for a combined $75M exposure, source: Bubblemaps on X, September 1, 2025. Bubblemaps reports that at current WLFI prices this stake is worth approximately $750M, indicating around a 10x return versus the reported cost basis, source: Bubblemaps on X, September 1, 2025. Based on the figures provided, this implies about $675M in unrealized gains for the presale allocations attributed to Justin Sun, source: Bubblemaps on X, September 1, 2025. |
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2025-08-28 16:05 |
Exclude Stock-Based Compensation to See True Cash Flow: Trading Impact of SBC Dilution on Valuation and FCF
According to @QCompounding, stock-based compensation dilutes shareholders and should be excluded to get a clearer view of true cash flow. According to @QCompounding, traders can improve valuation work and free cash flow analysis by removing SBC to avoid distortion from shareholder dilution. |
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2025-08-25 17:06 |
Telegram Gifts 6,140x Swap: $57 Collection Exchanged for $350,000 Porsche GT3 RS, Highlighting Telegram Stars Valuation
According to @jbfxdotme, @roxman_ton swapped his #1 Telegram Gifts collection for Lucha’s Gift wrapped Porsche GT3 RS, valuing the collection at about $350,000 while its original purchase cost was 3,880 Telegram Stars (~$57) (source: @jbfxdotme). The author states this swap demonstrates realized market value for Telegram Gifts, implying roughly a 6,140x multiple from entry cost to the stated exchange value in this transaction (source: @jbfxdotme). For traders, the post provides a concrete pricing datapoint for high-end Telegram gift collections and a benchmark for comparing similar digital collectibles within Telegram’s digital goods economy (source: @jbfxdotme). |
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2025-08-13 21:00 |
Chainlink LINK vs XRP: Miles Deutscher flags stronger institutional traction and better valuation setup for upside in 2025
According to Miles Deutscher, Chainlink LINK currently shows stronger institutional traction than XRP and offers a more favorable valuation setup to capture upside in the institutional adoption narrative, source: Miles Deutscher on X, Aug 13, 2025. For trading, this view supports a relative-value tilt toward LINK over XRP, with focus on LINK XRP relative strength, momentum confirmation, and liquidity shifts between the two assets, source: Miles Deutscher on X, Aug 13, 2025. Positioning should incorporate tight risk controls given narrative-driven volatility and potential rotation of institutional flows between large-cap altcoins, source: Miles Deutscher on X, Aug 13, 2025. |
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2025-08-13 07:39 |
OKB Tokenomics Shake-Up: 3 Trading Triggers as X Layer Gas vs OKX Exchange Buyback Debate
According to @ai_9684xtpa, the key trading question is whether OKB will function as X Layer gas or remain positioned as an OKX exchange token, as this determines its valuation framework and peer comps. Source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa, a cited announcement states the removal of mint and burn functions for OKB, prompting concerns that exchange-revenue-funded buybacks could end. Source: @ai_9684xtpa. If buybacks cease as implied by the cited notice, @ai_9684xtpa notes OKB would be valued more like a public chain gas token, making X Layer transaction counts, active addresses, and gas fee trends the primary demand indicators traders should monitor. Source: @ai_9684xtpa. If the buyback model continues, @ai_9684xtpa’s framing implies the traditional exchange-token valuation persists, so traders should track OKX trading volumes, fee income disclosures, and any official buyback statements for inferred buy-side pressure. Source: @ai_9684xtpa. The immediate catalyst is an official OKX clarification on OKB’s utility and buyback policy; traders should monitor OKX announcements and adjust positions once confirmed. Source: @ai_9684xtpa; Source: OKX official announcements. |