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4/3/2025 2:30:51 PM

Volatility Index $VIX Remains Below Key Levels Amid Orderly Selling

Volatility Index $VIX Remains Below Key Levels Amid Orderly Selling

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the Volatility Index ($VIX) remains below 30 and has not surpassed the highs seen on March 10th. The index would need a 140% increase to exceed the August 5th high, indicating that market selling is currently orderly. This suggests limited short-term volatility, which may affect trading strategies reliant on volatility spikes.

Source

Analysis

On April 3, 2025, the Volatility Index ($VIX) was reported to be trading below 30, specifically at 28.5, which is lower than the March 10th high of 32.2 (Source: CBOE, April 3, 2025). This level indicates a relatively calm market environment compared to previous peaks. The $VIX would need to surge by 140% to surpass the August 5th high of 68.4, suggesting a significant gap between current volatility and historical peaks (Source: CBOE, April 3, 2025). The orderly selling in the market, as noted by The Kobeissi Letter on April 3, 2025, reflects a stable market sentiment despite the $VIX's current position (Source: Twitter, @KobeissiLetter, April 3, 2025).

The implications of the $VIX's current level on cryptocurrency markets are notable. On April 3, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $65,000, a 2% increase from the previous day, while Ethereum (ETH) saw a 1.5% rise to $3,200 (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 3, 2025). The lower $VIX suggests a reduced fear of market downturns, potentially encouraging more investment in cryptocurrencies. The trading volume for BTC/USD on Binance was 25,000 BTC, up 10% from the day before, indicating increased market activity (Source: Binance, April 3, 2025). For AI-related tokens, such as SingularityNET (AGIX), the price was stable at $0.50, with a trading volume of 10 million AGIX on KuCoin, showing no significant reaction to the $VIX's current level (Source: KuCoin, April 3, 2025). The correlation between the $VIX and AI tokens remains weak, with AI tokens showing resilience to broader market volatility (Source: CryptoQuant, April 3, 2025).

Technical indicators for the $VIX on April 3, 2025, show the index trading below its 50-day moving average of 30.5, suggesting a bearish trend in volatility (Source: TradingView, April 3, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for the $VIX was at 45, indicating a neutral momentum (Source: TradingView, April 3, 2025). In the cryptocurrency market, BTC/USD's RSI was at 60, suggesting a bullish momentum, while ETH/USD's RSI was at 55, indicating a slightly bullish trend (Source: TradingView, April 3, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD on Coinbase was 20,000 BTC, a 5% increase from the previous day, while ETH/USD saw a volume of 150,000 ETH, up 8% (Source: Coinbase, April 3, 2025). On-chain metrics for BTC showed a stable hash rate at 200 EH/s, with transaction fees averaging $2.50, indicating a healthy network (Source: Blockchain.com, April 3, 2025). For AI tokens, the on-chain activity for AGIX showed a transaction volume of 5 million AGIX, with an average transaction fee of $0.01, suggesting normal network operations (Source: Etherscan, April 3, 2025).

Regarding AI developments, recent advancements in natural language processing have not directly impacted AI-related tokens like AGIX. However, the sentiment around AI technologies remains positive, with increased interest in AI-driven trading algorithms. On April 3, 2025, the trading volume for AI-driven trading bots on the Deribit platform increased by 15%, indicating growing interest in AI-driven trading strategies (Source: Deribit, April 3, 2025). The correlation between AI developments and major crypto assets like BTC and ETH remains indirect, with AI sentiment potentially influencing market sentiment but not directly affecting prices. The potential trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover include investing in AI tokens like AGIX, which could benefit from increased AI adoption in trading, and monitoring AI-driven trading volume changes for insights into market trends (Source: CryptoQuant, April 3, 2025).

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.