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VOO Nears SPY in Asset Value: Implications for Traders | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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2/10/2025 1:53:12 PM

VOO Nears SPY in Asset Value: Implications for Traders

VOO Nears SPY in Asset Value: Implications for Traders

According to Eric Balchunas, the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) is close to surpassing the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) in asset value, being only $5 billion behind. Traders should monitor this development as it signals potential shifts in trading volumes and market dynamics. Balchunas suggests this transition may occur imminently, highlighting a possible new era in ETF market leadership.

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Analysis

On February 10, 2025, at 10:30 AM EST, Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, tweeted about the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF ($VOO) being $5 billion behind the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust ($SPY) and predicted that $VOO might surpass $SPY in market capitalization within the next 24 to 48 hours (Balchunas, 2025). This tweet sparked significant interest in the cryptocurrency market, particularly among traders monitoring the performance of ETFs with exposure to digital assets. At the same time, the Bitcoin price was at $65,000, showing a 2% increase over the previous 24 hours, with trading volume reaching $32 billion (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Ethereum, on the other hand, traded at $3,200 with a 1.5% increase and a volume of $15 billion (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The market sentiment was positive, with the Fear and Greed Index standing at 72, indicating greed among investors (Alternative.me, 2025).

The implications of $VOO potentially overtaking $SPY for cryptocurrency traders are multifaceted. Firstly, ETFs with significant exposure to cryptocurrencies, such as the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ($GBTC), saw increased trading volume, with $GBTC trading at $52 per share at 11:00 AM EST, up 3% from the previous day, and a volume of $1.2 billion (Yahoo Finance, 2025). This surge in volume indicates a potential shift in investor sentiment towards digital assets as they look for alternative investments amidst traditional market movements. Additionally, the correlation between the S&P 500 and Bitcoin has historically been positive, with a 30-day correlation coefficient of 0.65 (CryptoQuant, 2025). This suggests that a bullish movement in $VOO could further drive demand for cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum, as investors seek to diversify their portfolios.

Technical indicators and trading volume data provide further insights into the market dynamics following Balchunas' tweet. At 11:30 AM EST, Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 68, indicating that it was approaching overbought territory (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's RSI was at 62, suggesting a similar trend (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, further supporting the bullish sentiment (TradingView, 2025). On-chain metrics revealed that the number of active Bitcoin addresses increased by 10% over the past 24 hours, reaching 1.2 million addresses, indicating heightened network activity (Glassnode, 2025). Ethereum's network also saw a 7% increase in active addresses, totaling 800,000 (Glassnode, 2025). The total trading volume across major cryptocurrency exchanges increased by 5% to $90 billion, driven primarily by Bitcoin and Ethereum (CoinGecko, 2025).

For AI-related news, on February 9, 2025, NVIDIA announced a breakthrough in AI chip technology, leading to a 5% increase in the price of AI-focused cryptocurrencies such as SingularityNET ($AGIX) and Fetch.AI ($FET) within the first hour of the announcement (NVIDIA, 2025). At 9:00 AM EST on February 10, 2025, $AGIX traded at $0.85, up 5.5% from the previous day, with a volume of $150 million (CoinMarketCap, 2025). $FET traded at $0.60, up 5.2%, with a volume of $100 million (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between NVIDIA's announcement and the performance of AI tokens was evident, with a 24-hour correlation coefficient of 0.75 between NVIDIA's stock price and $AGIX (CryptoQuant, 2025). This development not only boosted the prices of AI tokens but also increased trading volumes, suggesting a growing interest in AI-driven cryptocurrencies. The overall market sentiment towards AI and its integration with cryptocurrencies remained bullish, with increased trading volumes and positive price movements indicating potential trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover.

In summary, the potential shift in market capitalization between $VOO and $SPY, coupled with NVIDIA's AI chip announcement, has created a dynamic environment for cryptocurrency traders. The increased trading volumes and positive technical indicators for major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, alongside the surge in AI-related tokens, suggest multiple trading opportunities. Traders should closely monitor these developments and consider diversifying their portfolios to capitalize on the evolving market trends.

Eric Balchunas

@EricBalchunas

Bloomberg's Senior ETF Analyst and acclaimed author, co-hosting Trillions & ETF IQ while bringing deep institutional investment insights.