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Weaker US Dollar Could Boost Crypto Assets: Trading Insights from André Dragosch | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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5/24/2025 6:22:39 AM

Weaker US Dollar Could Boost Crypto Assets: Trading Insights from André Dragosch

Weaker US Dollar Could Boost Crypto Assets: Trading Insights from André Dragosch

According to André Dragosch (@Andre_Dragosch) on Twitter, the expectation of a weaker US Dollar and increased global money supply may create favorable conditions for cryptocurrency assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Historically, periods of dollar weakness correlate with inflows into alternative stores of value, including digital assets (source: André Dragosch, Twitter, May 24, 2025). Traders should monitor USD trends, as further dollar depreciation could act as a bullish catalyst for major cryptocurrencies and drive up trading volumes across global crypto exchanges.

Source

Analysis

The recent tweet by André Dragosch, PhD, on May 24, 2025, highlighting a potential weaker U.S. Dollar and an increase in global money supply has sparked significant discussion among traders and investors. This statement points to a macroeconomic environment where liquidity could drive asset prices higher, particularly in risk-on markets like cryptocurrencies. A weaker Dollar often correlates with rising commodity prices, increased inflation expectations, and a search for alternative stores of value, positioning assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) as prime beneficiaries. Historically, during periods of Dollar depreciation, BTC has seen notable rallies, such as the surge from $10,000 to $60,000 between October 2020 and April 2021, coinciding with expansive monetary policies. As of May 24, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, BTC is trading at $68,500 on Binance with a 24-hour trading volume of $32 billion, reflecting strong market participation. Similarly, ETH stands at $2,450 with a volume of $15 billion, as reported by CoinMarketCap data accessed on the same date. The broader crypto market cap has also risen by 2.3% in the last 24 hours to $2.4 trillion, signaling growing risk appetite. This environment, combined with Dragosch’s insight, suggests that cryptocurrencies could be the asset class to benefit most from a weaker Dollar, as investors seek hedges against currency devaluation.

From a trading perspective, the implications of a weaker Dollar extend beyond cryptocurrencies to create cross-market opportunities. A depreciating Dollar often pushes capital into emerging markets and alternative assets, as investors diversify away from traditional safe havens like U.S. Treasuries. This could drive institutional money into crypto markets, especially with the increasing adoption of Bitcoin ETFs and crypto-related stocks. For instance, as of May 24, 2025, at 12:00 PM UTC, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) saw inflows of $150 million in the past week, according to Grayscale’s official updates. Trading pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD on major exchanges such as Coinbase have shown heightened volatility, with BTC/USD fluctuating between $67,800 and $69,200 in the last 48 hours ending at 1:00 PM UTC on May 24, 2025. Additionally, on-chain metrics from Glassnode indicate a 15% increase in Bitcoin wallet addresses holding over 1 BTC since May 1, 2025, pointing to accumulation by retail and institutional players. For traders, this presents opportunities to long BTC and ETH against the Dollar, while monitoring resistance levels and potential pullbacks driven by profit-taking. Altcoins like Solana (SOL), trading at $145 with a 24-hour volume of $3.2 billion as of May 24, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, could also see gains due to spillover effects from major crypto assets.

Delving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart stands at 62 as of May 24, 2025, at 3:00 PM UTC, indicating bullish momentum without being overbought, per TradingView data. The 50-day moving average for BTC is at $65,000, providing strong support, while the next resistance sits at $70,000—a psychological barrier that could trigger further buying if breached. Ethereum’s RSI is at 58, with support at $2,400 and resistance at $2,500, reflecting similar bullish sentiment. Trading volume for BTC on Binance spiked by 18% in the last 24 hours ending at 4:00 PM UTC on May 24, 2025, aligning with increased market interest amid Dollar weakness narratives. Cross-market correlations also reveal a negative correlation of -0.75 between the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and BTC over the past 30 days, as tracked by CoinGecko data up to May 24, 2025. This inverse relationship underscores why a weaker Dollar could propel crypto prices higher. In the stock market, crypto-related companies like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 3.5% price increase to $225 per share on May 23, 2025, at the NYSE close, reflecting positive sentiment spillover, according to Yahoo Finance data. Institutional flows are evident as well, with BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) reporting $200 million in net inflows for the week ending May 24, 2025, per BlackRock’s public filings.

The correlation between stock market movements and crypto assets remains critical in this scenario. A weaker Dollar often boosts equity markets, particularly tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, which rose 1.2% to 18,500 points on May 23, 2025, at 8:00 PM UTC, as reported by Bloomberg. This risk-on environment typically benefits cryptocurrencies, as seen in the 0.65 correlation coefficient between Nasdaq and BTC over the past three months, per CoinMetrics data up to May 24, 2025. Institutional money flow between stocks and crypto is also accelerating, with hedge funds reallocating capital to digital assets as a hedge against inflation, according to a recent report by CoinDesk on May 22, 2025. For traders, this cross-market dynamic suggests monitoring stock indices alongside crypto pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD for synchronized movements. The potential for higher global money supply could further amplify these trends, making cryptocurrencies a focal point for portfolio diversification in 2025.

FAQ:
What does a weaker U.S. Dollar mean for cryptocurrency prices?
A weaker U.S. Dollar often leads to higher cryptocurrency prices as investors seek alternative stores of value. On May 24, 2025, Bitcoin traded at $68,500 with strong volume, reflecting this trend amid Dollar weakness narratives.

How can traders benefit from a weaker Dollar in crypto markets?
Traders can benefit by taking long positions on major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum against the Dollar. As of May 24, 2025, BTC/USD showed volatility between $67,800 and $69,200, offering entry and exit points for strategic trades.

André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

@Andre_Dragosch

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.