Latest Update
8/8/2026 9:14:00 PM

XRP: Polymarket Sees 65% Chance of Sub-$1 Drop

XRP: Polymarket Sees 65% Chance of Sub-$1 Drop

XRP holds 65% odds of crashing below $1.00 by month-end on Polymarket as price sits at $1.04 amid bearish EMA structure.

Source

Analysis

Polymarket assigns a 65% probability that XRP crashes below $1.00 by month-end, directly feeding into live XRP price prediction models and broader crypto market crash sentiment. At $1.04 the 4-hour structure remains bearish with price below EMA50 at $1.06 and EMA200 at $1.08; RSI at 48.36 offers neutral momentum while MACD registers a bullish golden cross at -0.01, yet the pair trades inside Bollinger bands with upper resistance at $1.07 and lower support at $1.01, suggesting any failure to reclaim the 50-EMA could accelerate the move toward sub-dollar levels.


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