XRP Price Surges to $3.20 After Whale Sell-Off Recovery - Technical Analysis Shows Mixed Signals
Darius Baruo Jul 27, 2025 06:34
XRP trades at $3.20 with 1.31% daily gains following recovery from whale-induced crash to $2.96. Ripple technical analysis reveals neutral RSI at 62.71 amid conflicting momentum signals.
Quick Take
• XRP currently trading at $3.20 (+1.31% in 24h) • Ripple's RSI at 62.71 indicates neutral momentum after recent volatility • Recovery underway following 75 million XRP whale sell-off on Upbit exchange
What's Driving Ripple Price Today?
XRP price has staged a notable recovery after experiencing severe turbulence earlier this week. The most significant catalyst was a massive whale sell-off on July 24th, when over 75 million XRP tokens were dumped on the Korean exchange Upbit, triggering a sharp 10% price decline that pushed XRP down to nearly $3.00.
This whale activity caused substantial long position liquidations across major exchanges, creating a cascade effect that amplified the selling pressure. However, the XRP/USDT pair quickly found support around the $2.96 level, with high trading volumes suggesting institutional accumulation at these lower prices.
Adding to investor concerns, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse issued warnings about increased scammer activity targeting XRP holders, though this appears to have had minimal direct impact on price action compared to the whale sell-off.
Despite the recent recovery to $3.20, XRP price remains below its recent peak of $3.55, indicating that market sentiment is still cautious following the volatility spike.
XRP Technical Analysis: Mixed Signals Emerge
Ripple technical analysis reveals a complex picture with both bullish and bearish elements present. XRP's RSI currently sits at 62.71, placing it in neutral territory and suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
The moving average structure presents a bullish foundation, with XRP price trading above its 20-day SMA ($3.06), 50-day SMA ($2.54), and 200-day SMA ($2.44). This alignment typically indicates a strong underlying uptrend, supporting the "Very Strong Bullish" overall trend classification.
However, Ripple's MACD tells a different story. The MACD histogram shows -0.0323, indicating bearish momentum as the MACD line (0.2252) trades below its signal line (0.2575). This divergence suggests that while the broader trend remains positive, short-term momentum has shifted negative.
The Bollinger Bands provide additional context, with XRP's position at 0.5972 placing it in the upper half of the band range. The upper band at $3.79 represents a key resistance zone, while the lower band at $2.33 offers distant support.
Ripple's Stochastic oscillator shows %K at 46.48 and %D at 47.26, both below the 50 midpoint, suggesting weakening momentum in the near term.
Ripple Price Levels: Key Support and Resistance
Based on current Ripple technical analysis, several critical levels define the trading range for XRP. The immediate resistance sits at $3.66, which aligns with both the strong resistance level and represents a 14% upside from current prices.
Should XRP price break above this resistance, the path toward the 52-week high of $3.55 becomes viable, though traders should note this level has already been tested recently.
On the downside, Ripple support levels are more distant but clearly defined. The immediate support at $2.25 represents a significant 29% decline from current levels, while the strong support at $1.91 would constitute a major breakdown scenario.
The current pivot point at $3.20 coincides almost perfectly with the present XRP price, suggesting this level could act as a decision point for the next directional move. The daily ATR of $0.20 indicates moderate volatility, giving traders a sense of expected daily price swings.
Should You Buy XRP Now? Risk-Reward Analysis
For aggressive traders, the current XRP price setup offers mixed signals that require careful position sizing. Based on Binance spot market data, the risk-reward profile varies significantly depending on trading timeframe and strategy.
Short-term traders should focus on the $3.66 resistance level as a primary target, offering approximately 14% upside potential. However, the bearish MACD momentum suggests waiting for clearer bullish signals before entering long positions. The recent whale sell-off demonstrates how quickly XRP can move against positions.
Conservative investors may prefer waiting for a test of Ripple support levels around $2.25, which would provide a more favorable entry point with better risk management. The strong support at $1.91 offers a logical stop-loss level for longer-term positions.
Swing traders should monitor XRP's RSI for movement above 70 (overbought) or below 30 (oversold) to identify optimal entry and exit points. The current neutral reading at 62.71 suggests patience may be rewarded.
Risk management remains critical given the recent volatility. Position sizes should account for the possibility of another whale sell-off, as large holders continue to influence XRP price movements significantly.
Conclusion
XRP price has demonstrated resilience by recovering to $3.20 following the severe whale-induced selloff, but Ripple technical analysis suggests caution is warranted in the next 24-48 hours. While the overall trend remains bullish with strong moving average support, the bearish MACD momentum and recent volatility create uncertainty.
Traders should watch for a decisive break above $3.66 resistance to confirm renewed bullish momentum, or a test of support levels for potential accumulation opportunities. The neutral XRP RSI provides room for movement in either direction, making upcoming market reactions to news and technical levels crucial for determining XRP's near-term trajectory.
Image source: Shutterstock.jpg)
