HBAR Price Drops 8.46% Despite BlackRock ETF Speculation - Key Support at $0.23
Rebeca Moen Aug 15, 2025 03:08
Hedera (HBAR) trades at $0.25 amid mixed signals as BlackRock ETF rumors clash with today's bearish momentum. Technical indicators suggest critical support test ahead.

Quick Take
• HBAR currently trading at $0.25 (-8.46% in 24h) • Hedera's RSI at 51.14 signals neutral momentum despite daily decline • BlackRock ETF speculation provides potential upside catalyst amid short-term weakness
What's Driving Hedera Price Today?
The HBAR price faces conflicting forces as speculation about a potential BlackRock spot ETF filing creates buzz while immediate selling pressure dominates. Recent analysis from crypto researcher STEPH IS CRYPTO suggested BlackRock might file for a Hedera ETF, though this remains unconfirmed speculation with minimal immediate market impact.
Despite this potential institutional catalyst, HBAR has retreated from recent highs following a notable 7.72% surge earlier this week that pushed the token to $0.2635. That previous rally was driven by legitimate whale accumulation and growing institutional interest, but today's 8.46% decline suggests profit-taking or broader market weakness is currently outweighing the ETF speculation.
The timing disconnect between positive news flow and negative price action reflects typical crypto market dynamics where rumors often fail to sustain immediate rallies without concrete developments.
HBAR Technical Analysis: Mixed Signals Point to Consolidation
Hedera technical analysis reveals a market in transition as the HBAR RSI sits at 51.14, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This neutral reading suggests the current selloff may be temporary rather than the start of a major downtrend.
The HBAR MACD presents a more concerning picture with the histogram at -0.0024, signaling bearish momentum in the short term. However, Hedera's position above key moving averages tells a different story - the token trades above both its 50-day SMA at $0.23 and 200-day SMA at $0.20, maintaining its longer-term bullish structure.
Hedera's Bollinger Bands show the token at a %B position of 0.4144, indicating it's trading in the lower half of the band but not yet oversold. The daily ATR of $0.02 suggests moderate volatility, which could support a bounce if buyers step in at current levels.
Hedera Price Levels: Key Support and Resistance
The HBAR/USDT pair faces a critical test at the immediate Hedera support levels around $0.23, which coincides with the 50-day moving average and the lower Bollinger Band. A break below this level could trigger further selling toward the strong support at $0.14.
On the upside, HBAR resistance sits at $0.30, representing both immediate and strong resistance levels. This price point would need to be reclaimed for the bullish momentum to resume and potentially target the 52-week high of $0.37.
The current pivot point at $0.26 serves as a near-term reference, with the HBAR price trading slightly below this level. Today's trading range between $0.28 and $0.24 encapsulates these key technical boundaries.
Should You Buy HBAR Now? Risk-Reward Analysis
Based on Binance spot market data, different trading strategies emerge depending on risk tolerance. Conservative traders might wait for a clear break above the $0.26 pivot point before entering, as this would signal the end of the current correction.
Aggressive buyers could consider the current $0.25 level attractive, especially with the BlackRock ETF speculation providing potential catalysts. However, risk management remains crucial with a stop-loss below the $0.23 support level to limit downside exposure.
Swing traders should monitor whether HBAR price can reclaim the 20-day SMA at $0.26, as this would improve the short-term technical outlook. The 24-hour volume of $96.38 million on Binance suggests sufficient liquidity for position entries and exits.
For long-term investors, the current pullback might represent an opportunity, particularly if the broader bullish trend remains intact above the 200-day moving average at $0.20.
Conclusion
HBAR price action over the next 24-48 hours will likely determine whether the current decline represents healthy profit-taking or the start of a deeper correction. The $0.23 support level serves as the critical battleground, while any concrete developments regarding the BlackRock ETF speculation could quickly reverse the bearish sentiment. Traders should watch for volume confirmation at key levels and prepare for increased volatility as the market digests both technical signals and fundamental catalysts.
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