TON Price Prediction: Targeting $2.60 Support Before Rally to $3.40 by September 2025
Timothy Morano Aug 27, 2025 07:05
TON faces potential decline to $2.60 support level before recovering to $3.40 resistance by September, with technical indicators showing mixed signals despite current neutral RSI.
Toncoin (TON) is trading at a critical juncture as technical indicators paint a mixed picture for the cryptocurrency's near-term trajectory. With the current price at $3.19, our comprehensive TON price prediction analysis suggests a potential retest of support levels before a meaningful recovery materializes.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• TON short-term target (1 week): $2.85-$3.30 range (-10.7% to +3.4%) • Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.60-$3.40 range • Key level to break for bullish continuation: $3.64 (immediate resistance) • Critical support if bearish: $2.79 (strong support level)
Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest analyst forecasts reveal a cautious consensus around our TON price prediction methodology. Blockchain.News presents the most balanced Toncoin forecast, projecting a decline to $2.60 support before recovery to $3.40 resistance by September 2025. This aligns closely with our technical analysis showing TON trading near the lower Bollinger Band at 0.14 position.
WalletInvestor's $2.546 TON price target reinforces the bearish near-term outlook, while Cryptopolitan's $2.44-$3.50 range encompasses the broader trading envelope we anticipate. The more optimistic projections from AInvest ($6.00-$8.00) and PricePredictions.com ($10.24) appear disconnected from current technical realities, though they highlight potential long-term upside if Telegram ecosystem integration accelerates significantly.
TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Consolidation
Current technical indicators support our measured TON price prediction approach. The RSI at 43.75 sits in neutral territory, suggesting neither oversold bounce potential nor overbought correction pressure. However, the MACD histogram at -0.0342 indicates bearish momentum persists, with the signal line above the main MACD line.
Toncoin's position at 0.1379 within the Bollinger Bands places it near the lower band support at $3.12, just $0.07 below current levels. This proximity suggests either a bounce from current levels or a breakdown toward the $2.79 strong support zone. The daily ATR of $0.16 indicates moderate volatility, providing reasonable risk-reward ratios for position entries.
Volume analysis shows $15.1 million in 24-hour Binance spot trading, which remains below recent peaks, suggesting institutional accumulation hasn't begun in earnest. This supports our Toncoin forecast for continued consolidation before any sustained rally attempt.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for TON
Our optimistic TON price prediction centers on a break above $3.64 immediate resistance, which would target the upper Bollinger Band at $3.58 initially, followed by the strong resistance at $3.75. A sustained move above these levels could push Toncoin toward the analyst consensus TON price target of $3.40, with potential extension to $4.00 if Telegram integration catalysts emerge.
For this bullish scenario to unfold, TON needs the RSI to push above 50, MACD to turn positive, and trading volume to increase substantially above current levels. The 20-day SMA at $3.35 represents the key reclaim level for medium-term bullish momentum.
Bearish Risk for Toncoin
The bearish case for our TON price prediction involves a breakdown below the current pivot point at $3.17, which would likely trigger selling toward immediate support at $3.09. A failure to hold this level opens the path to strong support at $2.79, representing a 12.5% decline from current levels.
This aligns with several analyst predictions targeting the $2.60-$2.61 range, including our base case Toncoin forecast. Key risk factors include continued MACD divergence, failure to reclaim moving average support, and broader cryptocurrency market weakness.
Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our TON price prediction analysis, the current level presents a challenging entry point. Conservative investors should wait for either a clear break above $3.35 (20-day SMA) for bullish confirmation or a decline to the $2.85-$2.90 zone for better risk-reward positioning.
For those implementing a dollar-cost averaging approach, current levels offer reasonable value given the 46.4% discount from the 52-week high of $5.95. However, position sizing should remain modest given the mixed technical picture and bearish momentum indicators.
Stop-loss levels should be placed below $2.75 for long positions, representing the invalidation point for our medium-term bullish Toncoin forecast. Take-profit targets align with our TON price target of $3.40 for initial exits, with runners targeting $3.75 strong resistance.
TON Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive analysis points to a TON price prediction of initial weakness toward $2.60-$2.85 support levels over the next 2-3 weeks, followed by recovery toward $3.40 by September 2025. This forecast carries medium confidence given the neutral RSI reading and mixed analyst sentiment.
Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include MACD turning positive, RSI breaking above 50, and sustained trading volume above $20 million daily. A break below $2.75 would invalidate our bullish medium-term outlook, while a move above $3.64 would accelerate the timeline for reaching our upside targets.
The Toncoin technical analysis suggests patience remains the optimal strategy, with the best buying opportunities likely emerging on any weakness toward the $2.80 strong support zone over the coming weeks.
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