TON Price Prediction: Targeting $3.75 Breakout by October 2025 as Technical Indicators Signal Mixed Momentum

TON Price Prediction: Targeting $3.75 Breakout by October 2025 as Technical Indicators Signal Mixed Momentum - Blockchain.News

TON Price Prediction Summary

• TON short-term target (1 week): $3.40-$3.50 (+7-10% from current $3.18) • Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.60-$4.00 range with bias toward $3.75 • Key level to break for bullish continuation: $3.75 resistance • Critical support if bearish: $3.02 immediate support, $2.60 major support

Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts

The latest TON price prediction from analysts reveals a divided sentiment across different timeframes. CoinCodex's most recent forecast suggests a bearish short-term outlook with a $2.41 target representing a 23% decline, while their earlier prediction maintained optimism for $3.98 by September 3rd. This contradiction highlights the current uncertainty in Toncoin's immediate direction.

Blockchain.News presents a more balanced Toncoin forecast, acknowledging potential downside to $2.60 support before recovery to $3.40 resistance levels. Their medium-term bullish scenario targeting $8.00 within 4-6 weeks represents the most aggressive prediction, contingent on breaking the critical $3.75 resistance level.

The consensus among analysts points to $3.75 as the pivotal level for TON's next major move. AInvest's AI-driven analysis supports this view with their $6.00-$8.00 medium-term projection, creating a clear narrative around the importance of current resistance levels.

TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Consolidation Breakout

Current Toncoin technical analysis reveals a market in transition, with the RSI at 46.70 sitting in neutral territory but showing signs of potential reversal. The MACD histogram at -0.0065 indicates weakening bearish momentum, suggesting the recent selling pressure may be exhausting itself.

TON's position within the Bollinger Bands at 0.38 indicates the price is trading below the middle band but well above the lower boundary, suggesting neither extreme oversold nor overbought conditions. This positioning often precedes consolidation phases that can lead to significant directional moves.

The moving average structure presents mixed signals for our TON price prediction. While trading below the 20-day SMA ($3.24) and 50-day SMA ($3.31), TON remains slightly below the 200-day SMA ($3.21), indicating long-term trend uncertainty. The convergence of these moving averages near current price levels suggests an impending breakout in either direction.

Trading volume at $13.2 million on Binance represents moderate activity, insufficient for a major breakout but adequate for gradual price discovery around current levels.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

Bullish Case for TON

The primary bullish TON price target centers on the $3.75 resistance level, which aligns with analyst predictions and represents a 18% upside from current levels. A successful break above this level would likely trigger momentum buying, potentially driving Toncoin toward the $4.50-$5.00 zone.

The strongest bullish scenario, supported by Blockchain.News and AInvest forecasts, projects a Toncoin forecast reaching $6.00-$8.00 within 4-6 weeks. This scenario requires not only breaking $3.75 but maintaining momentum through the $4.50 intermediate resistance.

Technical confirmation for bullish continuation would come from RSI breaking above 55, MACD histogram turning positive, and daily trading volume exceeding $20 million consistently.

Bearish Risk for Toncoin

The immediate bearish risk focuses on the $3.02 support level, which coincides with both immediate technical support and the lower end of recent trading ranges. A break below this level would target the $2.72-$2.60 zone, aligning with Blockchain.News's downside projection.

The most pessimistic TON price prediction scenario, reflected in CoinCodex's $2.41 target, represents a 24% decline from current levels. This would require a broader crypto market selloff or Toncoin-specific negative developments.

Risk factors include sustained trading below the 20-day moving average, RSI declining below 40, and daily volume remaining below $10 million, indicating lack of buying interest.

Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy

Based on current Toncoin technical analysis, a layered entry strategy appears most prudent. Conservative buyers should wait for a pullback to the $3.02-$3.10 support zone, offering a favorable risk-reward ratio with stops below $2.90.

Aggressive traders might consider buying current levels around $3.18 with a tight stop at $3.02, targeting the $3.54 immediate resistance for a quick 10-12% gain. This approach aligns with the short-term TON price prediction favoring modest upside.

For long-term positions, dollar-cost averaging between $2.80-$3.20 provides exposure to potential medium-term upside while managing downside risk. Position sizing should remain conservative given the mixed technical signals and analyst disagreement.

The key buy or sell TON decision point will be the reaction at $3.75 resistance. A decisive break above this level with volume confirmation would justify increasing position sizes, while rejection could signal further consolidation or decline.

TON Price Prediction Conclusion

Our comprehensive TON price prediction suggests a 65% probability of testing $3.75 resistance within the next 4 weeks, with potential for $4.00+ if successful. The Toncoin forecast remains cautiously optimistic for the medium term, though short-term volatility is expected.

Key indicators to monitor include RSI behavior around the 50 level, MACD histogram progression, and volume confirmation at resistance levels. A move below $3.02 would invalidate the bullish thesis and target the $2.60-$2.70 support zone.

The prediction timeline centers on October 2025 for the primary $3.75 breakout attempt, with the broader $6.00-$8.00 targets extending into November 2025 if bullish momentum sustains. Confidence level for the base case scenario reaches MEDIUM-HIGH given the technical setup and analyst consensus around key levels.

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