AVAX Price Prediction: Targeting $35-40 Range Within 4-6 Weeks on Strong Momentum
Zach Anderson Sep 11, 2025 01:33
AVAX shows bullish momentum with RSI at 68.34 and MACD confirming uptrend. Technical analysis suggests $35-40 target range within 4-6 weeks if $29.52 resistance breaks.

Avalanche (AVAX) has demonstrated impressive price action with a 12.83% surge in the past 24 hours, currently trading at $29.20. With the token approaching critical resistance levels and showing strong technical momentum, this AVAX price prediction examines whether the bullish trend can sustain and push toward higher targets.
AVAX Price Prediction Summary
• AVAX short-term target (1 week): $32.50 (+11.3%) • Avalanche medium-term forecast (1 month): $35-40 range (+20% to +37%) • Key level to break for bullish continuation: $29.52 (current strong resistance) • Critical support if bearish: $25.01 (SMA 20 level)
Recent Avalanche Price Predictions from Analysts
Recent analyst forecasts present a mixed but generally optimistic outlook for this AVAX price prediction cycle. Blockchain.News provides the most conservative medium-term target of $27-32, aligning closely with current technical levels and showing medium confidence. Their analysis identifies the critical $25.99 resistance level, which AVAX has already surpassed in today's trading.
CoinLore's short-term forecast of $24.37 appears outdated given AVAX's current price of $29.20, suggesting their model hasn't captured the recent momentum. The most aggressive Avalanche forecast comes from PricePredictions.com, targeting $78.30, though this carries low confidence and seems unrealistic given current market conditions.
Coinbase's long-term projection of $31.53 based on a 5% annual growth rate appears conservative compared to AVAX's recent performance, which has already exceeded this target. The analyst consensus points toward moderate bullish sentiment, with most targeting the $27-32 range that AVAX is already approaching.
AVAX Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Breakout
The current Avalanche technical analysis reveals several bullish indicators supporting higher price targets. AVAX trades above all major moving averages, with the price at $29.20 significantly outperforming the SMA 200 at $21.44, indicating a strong uptrend structure.
The MACD histogram at 0.4966 confirms bullish momentum, while the MACD line at 0.9769 sits well above the signal line at 0.4803. This technical setup typically precedes continued upward movement when combined with volume confirmation.
AVAX's position relative to Bollinger Bands at 1.1273 indicates the price is trading above the upper band at $28.35, suggesting either strong momentum continuation or potential short-term pullback. The daily ATR of $1.49 shows moderate volatility, providing room for significant moves in either direction.
The RSI at 68.34 remains in neutral territory, avoiding overbought conditions that would typically trigger selling pressure. This technical positioning supports the bullish AVAX price prediction while leaving room for additional upside movement.
Avalanche Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for AVAX
The primary bullish scenario targets the $35-40 range within 4-6 weeks, representing a 20-37% upside from current levels. This AVAX price target requires breaking the immediate resistance at $29.52, followed by a sustained move above $32.
Technical confluence supports this Avalanche forecast through the alignment of moving averages in bullish formation and MACD momentum confirmation. The 24-hour trading volume of $223,687,468 on Binance provides sufficient liquidity to support a breakout move.
For the bullish case to materialize, AVAX needs to maintain support above the SMA 20 at $25.01 and show continued momentum through the $30-32 resistance zone. A break above $32 would likely trigger algorithmic buying and target the $35-40 range.
Bearish Risk for Avalanche
The bearish scenario would unfold if AVAX fails to hold support at $25.01, potentially triggering a decline toward $22.67 (immediate support) and ultimately $20.57 (strong support level). This represents a 14-30% downside risk from current prices.
Key risk factors include a rejection at current resistance levels combined with RSI divergence or MACD momentum loss. The elevated position above Bollinger Bands creates vulnerability to mean reversion toward the middle band at $25.01.
A break below $25.01 would invalidate the bullish AVAX price prediction and suggest consolidation or correction toward the $20-22 range, aligning with the 52-week low area at $16.04 as ultimate support.
Should You Buy AVAX Now? Entry Strategy
The current technical setup suggests a measured approach to buying AVAX rather than aggressive accumulation at current levels. For new positions, consider scaling in on any pullback toward $27-28, which would provide better risk-reward ratios.
Stop-loss levels should be placed below $25.01 for swing trades, representing the key SMA 20 support level. This provides approximately 14% downside protection while maintaining upside potential toward the $35-40 target range.
Position sizing should account for the 14% stop-loss distance, suggesting smaller position sizes than typical trades. The answer to "buy or sell AVAX" depends on individual risk tolerance, but the technical setup favors buyers on pullbacks rather than at current resistance levels.
AVAX Price Prediction Conclusion
This comprehensive Avalanche forecast points toward a medium-term target of $35-40 within 4-6 weeks, supported by strong technical momentum and bullish moving average alignment. The prediction carries medium-high confidence based on current technical indicators and volume confirmation.
Key indicators to monitor include the RSI maintaining levels below 75 to avoid overbought conditions, MACD histogram remaining positive, and volume sustaining above recent averages during any breakout attempts. A daily close above $30 would provide additional confirmation for the bullish AVAX price prediction.
The timeline for this prediction centers on the next 4-6 weeks, with initial confirmation expected within 1-2 weeks if AVAX can break and hold above $29.52 resistance. Failure to break this level within the next week would suggest consolidation and potentially delay the bullish timeline.
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