HBAR Price Surges 5% as Grayscale ETF Filing Sparks Institutional Interest
Lawrence Jengar Sep 12, 2025 13:53
HBAR trades at $0.24 with bullish momentum after Grayscale's ETF conversion filing. Technical indicators suggest continued upside potential for Hedera.

Quick Take
• HBAR currently trading at $0.24 (+1.57% in 24h) • Hedera's RSI at 54.63 signals neutral momentum with room for growth • Grayscale's ETF filing catalyzes 5% surge and institutional adoption
What's Driving Hedera Price Today?
The HBAR price experienced significant momentum this week following Grayscale's September 9 filing to convert its Hedera HBAR Trust into an exchange-traded fund. This institutional move represents a major validation of Hedera's technology and market position, with the SEC decision deadline set for November 12.
The ETF filing directly impacted market sentiment, triggering a 5% price surge on September 11 as HBAR price traded between $0.23 and $0.24. Trading volume spiked to 156.1 million during this volatile session, demonstrating strong investor interest in Hedera's prospects. This institutional backing signals growing confidence in HBAR's long-term potential and could pave the way for broader institutional adoption.
The timing of Grayscale's move is particularly significant, as it comes during a period when cryptocurrency ETFs are gaining regulatory clarity and market acceptance. For Hedera, this represents a potential gateway to traditional investment portfolios and increased liquidity for the HBAR/USDT trading pair.
HBAR Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Emerge
Hedera technical analysis reveals a constructive setup across multiple timeframes. The HBAR RSI currently sits at 54.63, positioned in the neutral zone with ample room for upward movement before reaching overbought conditions. This balanced RSI reading suggests that Hedera's recent price action hasn't yet reached exhaustion levels.
The MACD histogram shows a bullish divergence at 0.0027, indicating strengthening momentum for Hedera despite the negative MACD line at -0.0023. This divergence often precedes sustained price advances and supports the current bullish thesis for HBAR price action.
Hedera's moving averages paint a mixed but improving picture. The current HBAR price of $0.24 trades above the 200-day SMA at $0.20, confirming the long-term uptrend remains intact. However, the price faces near-term resistance at the 50-day SMA, also at $0.24, which could serve as a key breakout level.
The Bollinger Bands position shows HBAR trading at 77.51% of the band width, suggesting the price has room to test the upper band at $0.25 before becoming technically overbought. Hedera's stochastic indicators (%K at 81.52, %D at 83.77) indicate short-term momentum remains strong but approach overbought territory.
Hedera Price Levels: Key Support and Resistance
Based on Binance spot market data, Hedera support levels are clearly defined. The immediate HBAR support sits at $0.21, coinciding with the lower Bollinger Band and representing a critical level for maintaining the current bullish structure. A break below this level could trigger a deeper correction toward the strong Hedera support at $0.21.
On the upside, HBAR resistance faces its first test at $0.26, representing the immediate resistance level that has contained recent price action. A decisive break above this threshold would target the strong resistance at $0.30, which represents a significant psychological level and the next major hurdle for sustained Hedera price appreciation.
The current pivot point at $0.24 aligns perfectly with today's trading range, making it a crucial level for determining short-term direction. Traders should monitor how HBAR price reacts at this level, as sustained trading above the pivot supports continued bullish momentum.
Should You Buy HBAR Now? Risk-Reward Analysis
For swing traders, the current setup presents an attractive risk-reward profile. Entry near current levels around $0.24 offers a favorable setup with stop-loss placement below the immediate support at $0.21, representing approximately 12.5% downside risk. The upside target toward $0.30 provides a potential 25% gain, creating a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
Day traders should focus on the HBAR/USDT pair's reaction at key technical levels. The combination of Grayscale's ETF filing and supportive technical indicators suggests short-term momentum could continue. However, the elevated stochastic readings warrant caution for new long positions at current levels.
Long-term investors may find the current environment particularly compelling. Hedera's 52-week range from $0.13 to $0.37 shows HBAR price currently trades in the middle of its annual range, providing both upside potential and reasonable entry valuation. The institutional validation through Grayscale's ETF filing adds fundamental support to the technical picture.
Risk management remains crucial given cryptocurrency volatility. The daily ATR of $0.01 indicates typical price swings of approximately 4% daily, requiring appropriate position sizing and stop-loss discipline.
Conclusion
Hedera technical analysis suggests the recent ETF-driven momentum could extend further, with HBAR price positioned for a potential test of resistance levels in the coming sessions. The neutral RSI reading and bullish MACD histogram support continued upside potential, while the institutional catalyst from Grayscale's filing provides fundamental backing for the technical setup. Traders should monitor the $0.24 pivot level closely, as sustained trading above this threshold could signal the next leg higher toward $0.26 resistance.
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