AVAX Price Drops 5% Despite $1 Billion Foundation Investment Plans
Rongchai Wang Sep 15, 2025 09:52
Avalanche trades at $28.60 after a 5.24% decline, but strong institutional backing and Toyota partnership signal potential bullish reversal ahead.

Quick Take
• AVAX currently trading at $28.60 (-5.24% in 24h) • Avalanche's RSI at 61.56 shows neutral momentum with room for upside • $1 billion institutional investment initiative from Avalanche Foundation drives long-term bullish sentiment
What's Driving Avalanche Price Today?
Despite the recent 5.24% decline in AVAX price, the fundamental backdrop for Avalanche remains exceptionally strong. The temporary pullback appears to be profit-taking following last week's rally driven by two major catalysts.
The most significant development came on September 11, when the Avalanche Foundation announced plans to raise $1 billion for discounted AVAX purchases through two U.S. crypto treasury companies. This initiative, split between a $500 million Nasdaq-listed firm managed by Hivemind Capital with Anthony Scaramucci as advisor, and another $500 million SPAC backed by Dragonfly Capital, initially pushed AVAX price up 5% before the current consolidation.
Earlier in the week, Avalanche's partnership announcement with Toyota for developing a blockchain-based robotaxi network added another 3% to the AVAX price. This collaboration positions Avalanche as the infrastructure backbone for autonomous vehicle operations, marking a crucial step in real-world blockchain adoption that could drive long-term demand for AVAX tokens.
The current price weakness appears technical rather than fundamental, as institutional interest remains robust and the Toyota partnership validates Avalanche's enterprise-grade capabilities.
AVAX Technical Analysis: Mixed Signals With Bullish Undertones
Avalanche technical analysis reveals a compelling setup despite today's decline. The AVAX RSI reading of 61.56 sits comfortably in neutral territory, providing room for upward movement without entering overbought conditions. This contrasts sharply with many altcoins currently showing exhausted momentum.
Avalanche's MACD indicator presents the strongest bullish signal, with the MACD line at 1.4266 well above the signal line at 1.0001. The positive MACD histogram of 0.4264 confirms strengthening bullish momentum for Avalanche, suggesting the current pullback may be temporary.
The moving average structure strongly favors bulls in Avalanche technical analysis. AVAX price trades above all major moving averages, with the 200-day SMA at $21.59 providing strong long-term support. The short-term 7-day SMA at $28.81 sits just above current levels, indicating immediate resistance that, once broken, could trigger renewed buying.
Avalanche's Bollinger Bands show the token trading in the upper portion with a %B reading of 0.7917, suggesting continued strength while avoiding extreme overbought conditions that typically precede sharp corrections.
Avalanche Price Levels: Key Support and Resistance
Based on Binance spot market data, Avalanche support levels and resistance zones paint a clear picture for traders. The immediate AVAX resistance sits at $31.25, which coincides with the strong resistance level. A break above this level could trigger a move toward the 52-week high of $41.38.
On the downside, Avalanche support levels provide multiple safety nets for long positions. The immediate support at $22.67 represents a 20% cushion from current prices, while the strong support at $20.57 offers additional protection. These levels align closely with the Bollinger Band lower boundary at $21.22, creating a confluence zone that should attract buyers.
For AVAX/USDT traders, the daily ATR of $1.65 suggests normal volatility, meaning today's decline falls within expected ranges. The current price action appears to be testing the middle Bollinger Band at $25.88, which previously served as resistance and should now act as support.
Should You Buy AVAX Now? Risk-Reward Analysis
The risk-reward profile for AVAX presents different opportunities based on trading timeframes and risk tolerance. Conservative investors should view the $1 billion foundation initiative as a major catalyst that provides substantial downside protection, as institutional buying at potentially discounted prices creates a natural floor.
Aggressive traders might consider the current AVAX price attractive given the positive MACD divergence and neutral RSI conditions. The proximity to the 7-day SMA at $28.81 offers a tight stop-loss level for short-term positions, while the $31.25 resistance provides a clear profit target representing 9% upside.
Swing traders should monitor the Toyota partnership development closely, as successful implementation could drive sustained demand for AVAX tokens beyond the current technical setup. The combination of institutional backing and real-world utility creates a compelling narrative that often sustains longer-term price appreciation.
Risk management remains crucial, with the $22.67 support level serving as a logical stop-loss for longer-term positions. This level provides approximately 21% downside protection while maintaining exposure to the substantial upside potential driven by institutional investment and enterprise adoption.
Conclusion
AVAX price faces a critical juncture where short-term technical pressure meets exceptionally strong fundamental catalysts. The $1 billion institutional investment initiative and Toyota partnership provide powerful tailwinds that should support prices during any temporary weakness. Traders should view the current pullback as a potential buying opportunity, particularly if AVAX holds above the $25.88 middle Bollinger Band support. The next 24-48 hours will likely determine whether Avalanche can reclaim the $31.25 resistance and continue its march toward new yearly highs.
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