TON Price Prediction: Toncoin Eyes $3.75 Recovery Target as Technical Indicators Signal Mixed Signals Through October 2025
Lawrence Jengar Sep 17, 2025 11:56
TON price prediction suggests potential 20% upside to $3.75 within 4 weeks, though immediate bearish risks to $2.61 remain as technical indicators show conflicting signals.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• TON short-term target (1 week): $2.90-$3.27 range (-7% to +4%) • Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.61-$3.75 range with bias toward $3.40 • Key level to break for bullish continuation: $3.27 immediate resistance, then $3.75 • Critical support if bearish: $3.00 immediate support, $2.61 if broken
Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The TON price prediction landscape shows a clear divide between short-term pessimism and medium-term optimism. CoinCodex's recent forecast paints a bearish picture with a $2.61 target representing a 23% decline from current levels, expected within the next five days. This aggressive downside prediction reflects concerns about immediate selling pressure and weak momentum.
In contrast, Blockchain.News presents a more constructive Toncoin forecast with a $3.75 medium-term target, representing nearly 20% upside from current prices. Their analysis focuses on neutral RSI conditions and key support levels holding, suggesting the recent weakness may be temporary consolidation before testing higher resistance levels.
The consensus reveals a market at an inflection point, where short-term technical damage could either accelerate into deeper losses or set up a springboard for the medium-term recovery scenario.
TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Consolidation Break
The current Toncoin technical analysis reveals a cryptocurrency caught between competing forces. At $3.13, TON trades near the critical pivot point of $3.15, with the RSI at 45.13 indicating neutral momentum that could break either direction.
The MACD histogram showing 0.0088 provides the most encouraging signal for bulls, suggesting underlying momentum may be building despite the recent 1.73% daily decline. This bullish divergence between price action and momentum indicators often precedes trend reversals.
Toncoin's position within the Bollinger Bands at 0.46 indicates the token sits closer to the lower band ($3.04) than the upper band ($3.23), suggesting oversold conditions that could attract buying interest. The daily ATR of $0.10 shows relatively contained volatility, which could support more predictable price movements in either direction.
The moving average structure presents mixed signals: while TON trades below the 50-period SMA at $3.28, it remains near the 20-period SMA at $3.14, indicating short-term equilibrium.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for TON
The optimistic TON price prediction scenario targets $3.75 within the next month, requiring a break above immediate resistance at $3.27. This level aligns with the 50-period moving average area and represents the first significant hurdle for bulls.
For this Toncoin forecast to materialize, several technical conditions must align: RSI needs to break above 50 to confirm momentum shift, MACD must continue its bullish histogram expansion, and volume should increase on any breakout above $3.27. The $3.75 target represents the next major resistance level and aligns with analyst projections based on previous support-turned-resistance dynamics.
A successful break of $3.75 could open the door to testing the $4.20-$4.50 range, though this scenario requires sustained buying pressure and broader market cooperation.
Bearish Risk for Toncoin
The bearish TON price prediction centers on the critical $3.00 support level. A decisive break below this psychological level could trigger the CoinCodex scenario targeting $2.61, representing a 17% decline from current prices.
Key risk factors include the proximity to 52-week lows at $2.52, creating limited downside buffer, and the current position below the 50-period moving average, indicating underlying weakness. If selling pressure intensifies, the next major support sits at $2.61, which aligns with previous consolidation zones from earlier in 2025.
Volume expansion on any break below $3.00 would confirm the bearish scenario and likely accelerate the move toward the $2.50-$2.60 zone.
Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy
The current setup suggests a measured approach rather than aggressive positioning. For those considering whether to buy or sell TON, the technical landscape favors waiting for clearer directional signals.
Conservative Entry Strategy: Wait for a break above $3.27 with volume confirmation before establishing long positions, targeting $3.75 with a stop-loss below $3.00.
Aggressive Entry Strategy: Current levels around $3.13 offer risk-reward opportunity for traders willing to accept the $3.00 support test risk, though position sizing should reflect the elevated uncertainty.
Stop-Loss Levels: Any position should use $2.95 as a maximum stop-loss level, as a break below $3.00 invalidates the bullish thesis and opens the door to accelerated decline toward $2.61.
TON Price Prediction Conclusion
The Toncoin forecast for the next month favors a 60% probability of testing the $3.75 resistance level, with medium confidence based on the neutral RSI and bullish MACD histogram development. However, the immediate week presents elevated risk of testing $3.00 support before any meaningful recovery begins.
Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include RSI breaking above 50 for bullish confirmation or below 40 for bearish acceleration. Volume patterns on any break of $3.27 or $3.00 will provide crucial validation of the next directional move.
The TON price target of $3.75 remains the primary objective through October 2025, though traders should prepare for potential volatility around the $3.00 support zone in the immediate term. This prediction carries medium confidence given the mixed technical signals and conflicting analyst forecasts in the current market environment.
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