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Avalanche (AVAX) Surges 10% to $33 as $1 Billion Treasury Plan Ignites Rally - Blockchain.News

Avalanche (AVAX) Surges 10% to $33 as $1 Billion Treasury Plan Ignites Rally

Felix Pinkston Sep 18, 2025 12:29

AVAX price soars 9.94% to $32.96 amid Avalanche Foundation's $1 billion treasury funding plan and Toyota partnership, but overbought RSI signals caution ahead.

Avalanche (AVAX) Surges 10% to $33 as $1 Billion Treasury Plan Ignites Rally

Quick Take

• AVAX currently trading at $32.96 (+9.94% in 24h) • Avalanche's RSI hits 75.53, indicating overbought conditions near $33.29 resistance • Avalanche Foundation's $1 billion treasury funding plan drives major bullish sentiment • Toyota partnership adds long-term adoption catalyst for blockchain infrastructure

What's Driving Avalanche Price Today?

The AVAX price rally is primarily fueled by the Avalanche Foundation's ambitious plan to raise $1 billion for AVAX token acquisitions announced on September 11th. This initiative involves establishing two U.S.-based digital asset treasury companies, each targeting $500 million in funding. One vehicle is led by Hivemind Capital with Anthony Scaramucci as advisor, while the other operates as a SPAC backed by Dragonfly Capital.

This treasury expansion represents a significant institutional commitment to AVAX accumulation, effectively creating sustained buying pressure. The market responded positively with approximately 5% gains following the announcement, demonstrating strong investor confidence in Avalanche's strategic direction.

Adding to the bullish momentum, Avalanche's partnership with Toyota announced on September 7th positions the blockchain as infrastructure for autonomous vehicle operations and data management. While this collaboration had minimal immediate price impact compared to the treasury news, it establishes crucial long-term adoption prospects for the Avalanche ecosystem.

The combination of immediate capital influx prospects and strategic enterprise partnerships has shifted market sentiment decisively positive for AVAX over the past week.

AVAX Technical Analysis: Overbought Signals Emerge Amid Strong Rally

Avalanche technical analysis reveals a powerful bullish trend with some concerning overbought conditions. The AVAX RSI currently sits at 75.53, well above the 70 threshold that typically indicates overbought territory. This suggests the recent rally may face near-term consolidation pressure.

However, Avalanche's MACD indicator paints a more optimistic picture with a reading of 1.9813 above its signal line of 1.4059. The positive MACD histogram of 0.5754 confirms bullish momentum remains intact despite overbought conditions.

Avalanche's moving averages strongly support the uptrend, with AVAX price trading well above all key levels. The token sits $2.51 above its 7-day SMA at $30.45 and $5.92 above the 20-day SMA at $27.04. Most importantly, AVAX trades $11.24 above its 200-day SMA at $21.72, confirming the long-term bullish structure.

The Stochastic oscillator shows extreme readings with %K at 96.50 and %D at 92.82, reinforcing overbought warnings alongside the AVAX RSI analysis.

Avalanche Price Levels: Key Support and Resistance

Based on Binance spot market data, AVAX faces immediate resistance at $33.29, which represents both the 24-hour high and a critical breakout level. The Bollinger Bands upper band at $33.11 aligns closely with this resistance, creating a significant technical barrier.

Should AVAX price break above $33.29, the next major Avalanche resistance levels emerge around the 52-week high of $41.38, representing 25% upside potential from current levels.

On the downside, Avalanche support levels provide multiple safety nets for traders. The immediate support sits at $22.67, offering a substantial buffer of nearly $10 below current prices. Stronger Avalanche support levels emerge at $20.57, which aligns closely with the Bollinger Bands lower band at $20.97.

The 20-day SMA at $27.04 represents a key intermediate support level that could provide buying opportunities on any pullback from current overbought conditions.

Should You Buy AVAX Now? Risk-Reward Analysis

For aggressive traders, the current AVAX price action offers compelling upside potential despite overbought readings. The $1 billion treasury plan provides fundamental support that could sustain momentum through technical resistance levels. However, risk management becomes crucial with AVAX resistance at $33.29 serving as a natural profit-taking zone.

Conservative investors might consider waiting for a pullback toward Avalanche support levels around $27-28, where the 20-day moving average could provide better entry points. This strategy offers improved risk-reward ratios while maintaining exposure to the treasury funding catalyst.

Swing traders should monitor the AVAX/USDT pair closely around current levels, as a break above $33.29 with volume could signal continuation toward $35-36. Conversely, rejection at resistance combined with high RSI readings could trigger a healthy correction to the $29-30 range.

Stop-loss levels should be placed below $29.38 (today's low) for short-term positions, while longer-term holders might use $25 as a wider stop given the strong fundamental backdrop.

Conclusion

AVAX price momentum remains strongly bullish supported by the Avalanche Foundation's $1 billion treasury initiative and Toyota partnership. However, technical indicators suggest caution with overbought conditions near critical resistance at $33.29. Traders should watch for either a breakout continuation or healthy pullback to Avalanche support levels for optimal entry opportunities over the next 24-48 hours.

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