TIA Price Finds Support at $1.07 Despite Bitcoin Volatility as Technical Indicators Signal Mixed Momentum
Lawrence Jengar Oct 21, 2025 15:13
Celestia (TIA) trades at $1.07 with 1.52% daily gains, showing resilience amid Bitcoin's recent price swings while technical analysis reveals conflicting signals for near-term direction.
Quick Take
• TIA trading at $1.07 (up 1.5% in 24h) • Price stabilizing after Bitcoin's volatile week with 1.58% decline followed by 0.69% recovery • Testing critical zone between $0.99-$1.07 trading range • Neutral RSI suggests potential for directional breakout
Market Events Driving Celestia Price Movement
Trading on technical factors in absence of major catalysts, TIA price has shown moderate correlation with Bitcoin's recent volatility. Over the past week, Bitcoin experienced a significant 1.58% decline on October 17, dropping from $108,179 to $106,467, followed by a recovery to $107,198 on October 18 with a 0.69% gain.
No significant TIA-specific news events have emerged in the past 48 hours, leaving the token to trade primarily on technical momentum and broader crypto market sentiment. The modest 1.52% daily gain suggests Celestia is maintaining relative stability despite the absence of fundamental catalysts.
The $9.39 million in 24-hour trading volume on Binance spot market indicates steady institutional interest, though below recent peaks that typically accompany major price movements.
Celestia Technical Analysis: Consolidation Phase
Price Action Context
TIA price currently sits well below all major moving averages, with the token trading at $1.07 compared to the 20-day SMA at $1.22 and 50-day SMA at $1.46. This positioning indicates the broader downtrend remains intact despite today's modest gains.
The price action shows Celestia following Bitcoin's general direction but with less volatility, suggesting some independent strength. Current positioning near the lower Bollinger Band at $0.76 with a %B reading of 0.3357 indicates the token is in oversold territory but hasn't reached extreme levels.
Key Technical Indicators
The RSI at 38.99 sits in neutral territory, neither oversold nor overbought, providing room for movement in either direction. This reading suggests accumulation may be occurring at current levels without immediate selling pressure.
MACD remains bearish with a reading of -0.1347 versus the signal line at -0.1323, though the histogram at -0.0024 shows minimal bearish momentum. The Stochastic oscillator at 65.24 (%K) and 61.32 (%D) indicates potential upward momentum building.
Critical Price Levels for Celestia Traders
Immediate Levels (24-48 hours)
• Resistance: $1.10 (EMA 12 confluence) • Support: $0.99 (24-hour trading range low)
Breakout/Breakdown Scenarios
A break below $0.99 support could target the psychological $0.93 level, which represents the 52-week low and would signal continuation of the broader downtrend. Conversely, clearing $1.10 resistance opens the path toward $1.22 (20-day SMA), though this would require sustained buying pressure.
TIA Correlation Analysis
Bitcoin: TIA price has shown moderate positive correlation with Bitcoin's movements, though with reduced volatility. The recent Bitcoin recovery from $106,467 to $107,198 coincided with TIA's bounce from daily lows.
Traditional markets: With limited correlation data available, TIA appears to be trading primarily on crypto-specific factors rather than broader market sentiment from equities or commodities.
Sector peers: Celestia technical analysis suggests the token is underperforming relative to other layer-1 blockchain projects, which have shown stronger recovery patterns.
Trading Outlook: Celestia Near-Term Prospects
Bullish Case
A sustained move above the $1.10 EMA 12 level, coupled with Bitcoin maintaining strength above $107,000, could drive TIA price toward the $1.22 resistance zone. Volume expansion above 12 million daily would confirm renewed institutional interest.
Bearish Case
Failure to hold the $0.99 support level, particularly if Bitcoin weakens below $106,000, could trigger a test of the 52-week low at $0.93. The distance from key moving averages suggests limited technical support until these extreme levels.
Risk Management
Traders should consider stop-losses below $0.95 for long positions, representing roughly 11% downside from current levels. Given the 14-day ATR of $0.14, position sizing should account for potential 13% daily volatility swings in either direction.
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