XLM Price Prediction: Stellar Faces Bearish Pressure with $0.18-$0.25 Range Through February
Lawrence Jengar Jan 22, 2026 16:18
Stellar (XLM) trades at $0.21 with mixed technical signals. Short-term forecasts suggest potential decline to $0.18-$0.19 range, while analyst targets point to $0.25-$0.27 resistance zone for bulli...
XLM Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $0.18-$0.20
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.18-$0.25 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.25
• Critical support: $0.20
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Stellar
Recent analyst forecasts for Stellar present a mixed outlook. Joerg Hiller noted on January 20, 2026, that "Stellar (XLM) shows mixed signals at $0.21 with technical indicators suggesting potential move toward $0.25-$0.27 resistance zone based on recent analyst forecasts."
Jessie A Ellis provided additional insight on January 21, 2026, stating that "Stellar (XLM) trades at $0.21 with oversold RSI at 38.8. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $0.25 resistance if support at $0.20 holds through January."
However, DigitalCoinPrice's 7-day forecast presents a more bearish outlook, projecting XLM to decline progressively from $0.21 on January 23 to approximately $0.18 by January 29, representing a potential 14.74% decrease from current levels.
XLM Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current technical landscape for Stellar reveals several concerning signals for the XLM price prediction. Trading at $0.21, XLM sits below all major moving averages, with the 7-day SMA at $0.22, 20-day SMA at $0.23, and the critical 200-day SMA significantly higher at $0.32.
The RSI reading of 42.49 places XLM in neutral territory, though it's trending toward oversold conditions. This aligns with Ellis's observation of oversold RSI levels. The MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates bearish momentum, while the Stochastic oscillator readings (%K: 19.82, %D: 15.86) suggest XLM is approaching oversold territory.
Bollinger Bands analysis reveals XLM trading near the lower band support, with a %B position of 0.1504, indicating the price is closer to the lower band ($0.20) than the upper band ($0.25). The middle band sits at $0.23, representing a key resistance level.
Stellar Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
For a bullish Stellar forecast, XLM would need to reclaim the $0.22 resistance level, which currently serves as both immediate and strong resistance. A successful break above this level could target the Bollinger Band upper limit at $0.25, aligning with analyst targets from Hiller and Ellis.
The bullish case requires XLM to maintain support above $0.20 and generate sufficient buying volume to overcome the bearish MACD momentum. A move toward $0.25-$0.27 would represent an 18-28% upside from current levels.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish scenario appears more likely based on current technical indicators and DigitalCoinPrice's forecast. XLM faces immediate support at $0.21, with strong support at $0.20. A break below the $0.20 Bollinger Band lower support could accelerate selling toward the $0.18-$0.19 range, consistent with the 7-day forecast projecting prices as low as $0.18.
Risk factors include the persistent bearish momentum indicated by MACD, trading below all moving averages, and the broader crypto market sentiment affecting altcoin performance.
Should You Buy XLM? Entry Strategy
For investors considering XLM positions, the current technical setup suggests waiting for clearer directional signals. A conservative entry strategy would involve:
Bullish Entry: Wait for a confirmed break above $0.22 resistance with volume confirmation before considering long positions, targeting $0.25.
Support Play: If XLM approaches the $0.20 strong support level, it could present a risk-managed entry opportunity with tight stop-loss below $0.19.
Risk Management: Given the mixed signals, position sizing should be conservative with stop-losses set below $0.19 to limit downside exposure to the projected $0.18 levels.
Conclusion
The XLM price prediction for the coming weeks presents a challenging technical environment. While analyst targets suggest potential upside to $0.25-$0.27, near-term technical indicators and forecast models point to possible weakness toward $0.18-$0.20 levels. Traders should monitor the critical $0.20 support level closely, as a break below could trigger the bearish scenario outlined in recent forecasts.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are inherently speculative and subject to high volatility. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
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