HBAR Price Prediction: Analysts Target $0.16 by January End Despite Technical Headwinds
Felix Pinkston Jan 26, 2026 17:21
Hedera (HBAR) trades at $0.11 with analysts predicting 45% upside to $0.16 by month-end, though bearish momentum and neutral RSI present near-term challenges.
Hedera (HBAR) is navigating a critical juncture as multiple analysts maintain bullish targets while technical indicators signal mixed momentum. With the cryptocurrency trading at $0.1068, several blockchain analysts have set their sights on a potential 45% rally to close out January 2026.
HBAR Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $0.11-$0.12
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.13-$0.16 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.13 (Upper Bollinger Band)
• Critical support: $0.10 (Lower Bollinger Band)
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Hedera
Recent analyst sentiment remains cautiously optimistic despite technical headwinds. Felix Pinkston noted on January 23, 2026: "HBAR price prediction shows potential 47% upside to $0.16 by January end despite current bearish momentum," setting a clear target of $0.16.
Caroline Bishop echoed similar sentiment on January 22, stating: "Hedera (HBAR) shows mixed signals at $0.11 with analyst targets of $0.16 by month-end representing 45% upside, though technical indicators reveal bearish momentum challenges."
Ted Hisokawa provided additional context on January 20: "Hedera (HBAR) faces bearish momentum at $0.11 but analysts target $0.16 by month-end. Technical indicators show consolidation phase with 45% upside potential if resistance breaks."
The consensus among these analysts points to a $0.16 target, representing significant upside from current levels, contingent upon breaking through immediate resistance zones.
HBAR Technical Analysis Breakdown
The technical picture for Hedera presents a mixed but intriguing setup. With an RSI of 40.35, HBAR sits in neutral territory, suggesting neither oversold nor overbought conditions. This positioning often precedes significant directional moves once momentum catalysts emerge.
The MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates minimal momentum in either direction, while the current price action near the lower Bollinger Band (position 0.18) suggests potential for mean reversion toward the middle band at $0.11.
Key moving averages reveal interesting dynamics: the SMA 7 and SMA 20 both align at $0.11, creating a confluence level that could act as immediate resistance. However, the SMA 50 at $0.12 and SMA 200 at $0.19 indicate longer-term resistance zones that align with analyst targets.
Trading volume of $16.7 million on Binance provides adequate liquidity for potential breakout moves, while the daily ATR of $0.01 suggests moderate volatility expectations.
Hedera Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
The bullish case for this HBAR price prediction centers on breaking above the upper Bollinger Band at $0.13. This move would likely trigger momentum toward the $0.16 analyst target, representing the 45% upside potential highlighted by recent forecasts.
Technical confirmation would require RSI moving above 50 and MACD generating positive momentum. A break above $0.13 could open the path to testing the SMA 200 at $0.19, providing even more substantial upside for the Hedera forecast.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish scenario involves a breakdown below the lower Bollinger Band support at $0.10. Given the current Bollinger Band position of 0.18, HBAR is already showing some weakness that could accelerate if buying interest fails to materialize.
A break below $0.10 could trigger stops and lead to further downside toward psychological support levels. The neutral RSI provides little cushion for oversold bounces in this scenario.
Should You Buy HBAR? Entry Strategy
For traders considering positions based on this HBAR price prediction, a layered approach appears prudent. Initial entries could be considered near current levels around $0.107, with additional accumulation on any dips toward the $0.10 Bollinger Band support.
A stop-loss below $0.095 would limit downside risk while allowing for normal volatility. For breakout traders, waiting for confirmation above $0.13 with increased volume could provide better risk-adjusted entry points for targeting the $0.16 analyst objectives.
Risk management remains crucial given the mixed technical signals and the ambitious nature of the 45% upside targets in the current Hedera forecast.
Conclusion
This HBAR price prediction suggests a potentially rewarding but challenging setup for Hedera investors. While analyst targets of $0.16 by month-end offer compelling upside, the technical picture requires careful navigation of key resistance levels.
The neutral RSI and minimal MACD momentum indicate that catalyst-driven moves will likely determine whether HBAR achieves the bullish analyst projections or faces continued consolidation. Traders should monitor the $0.13 breakout level closely, as this appears to be the gateway to realizing the optimistic Hedera forecast scenarios.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve significant risk and uncertainty. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.
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