What Awaits Bitcoin in 2025: a Rate Below $100,000 or a Plunge to the Bottom?

News Publisher Sep 18, 2025 09:45

Bitcoin is no longer merely a digital asset; it stands for the world's leading cryptocurrency with immense potential.

Bitcoin is no longer merely a digital asset; it stands for the world's leading cryptocurrency with immense potential. Experts and various market participants predict a massive accumulation in the value of this cryptocurrency. Even so, since the spring of 2022, its price has fluctuated within a narrow range, with no drastic transformations on the way. 

In this guide, we have made a bold attempt to analyze market factors and make a forecast for Bitcoin’s rate for the foreseeable future. To get the latest crypto news, subscribe to bitcoin news today to keep on track as a trader. 

Cutting-Edge Trends in the Crypto Market 

Have you ever considered the signs that Bitcoin serves as a store of value for future generations? To get the hang of this topic, we must delve deeper into present-day market tendencies. After all, the absence of a bull market at the moment is a consequence of several different factors. 

First and foremost, it appeals to the tightening of regulatory requirements. In developed countries such as the USA, EU nations, Canada, and Great Britain, work is actively underway on the legislative framework for cryptocurrencies. There are already a few laws that equate digital assets to securities, meaning that exchanges, wallets, and exchangers cannot operate without a proper license.

These strict regulatory requirements hinder direct crypto-to-fiat exchanges and make it practically impossible to withdraw EUR or USD to bank cards. Accordingly, the utilization of digital assets has noticeably decreased. Not everyone can effortlessly find a way to replenish cryptocurrency accounts or cash out their cryptocurrency deposits. 

Since the global capitalization of cryptocurrencies has exceeded $1 trillion, many central Banks are cautious about dealing with these types of assets outside the law. Equating cryptocurrencies to securities negates their uniqueness: decentralization and anonymity. Now you can’t open a cryptocurrency account without verification and identity checks. While this reduces market volatility and neutralizes dubious schemes, it surges predictability and security for participants.

The second factor holding back cryptocurrency growth is the series of high-profile scandals and bankruptcies across the industry. In 2022, there were several major collapses of large-scale cryptocurrency exchanges. In particular, several cryptocurrency exchanges collapsed, including the failures of TerraUSD and LUNA, the Celsius crypto exchange, the hack of the Ronin Bridge of Axie Infinity, and the bankruptcy of Alameda Research. These incidents eroded confidence among crypto market participants. Consequently, multiple governments introduced even stricter requirements and also banned specific types of transactions, taking into account notorious futures trading and CFDs.

The third crucial factor contributing to the current situation is the rise of the dollar index, the U.S. key interest rate, and growing interest in conventional securities. Due to the rise in the US Federal Reserve rate, the yield on government bonds continues to spiral. Therefore, large investors or so-called whales prefer safe, but less profitable investment types. Why risk with cryptocurrency if you can earn 2 to 4.5% per annum with zero risk?

Despite these factors, cryptocurrencies have persistently shown signs of stabilization recently. Due to a series of bankruptcies, unscrupulous participants and exchanges lacking real monetary backing have left the market. Strengthening security measures has led to the fact that the weakest players are no longer reshaping the landscape. Trust is gradually returning, but cryptocurrency is no longer associated with a speedy way to earn money, but rather as a long-term investment instrument.

Hence, Bitcoin's prospects are improving significantly, particularly for medium- to long-term investors. 

Factors Impacting Bitcoin Price 

To conduct a more accurate analysis of Bitcoin's growth, it is necessary to take into consideration all the factors affecting its value.

• Supply and Demand

The price of Bitcoin is basically determined by supply and demand. If there are more sellers than buyers, the price tends to drop, and vice versa. Fast-growing interest from ventures and investors contributes to its market value, although the price is frequently volatile. 

• Regulation

It's common knowledge that cryptocurrencies technically operate outside of government regulation, but their prices and transaction volumes are responsive to news about legislative changes. Bans on cryptocurrencies, control over securities, the fight against money laundering, and restrictions on interaction with regulated markets have a particular impact on pricing. 

The more countries with strict regulations, the less actively the Bitcoin price can grow. For instance, China has introduced a comprehensive ban on the mining and use of cryptocurrencies. In the US and the EU, in particular, digital assets are also heavily regulated, and fiat transactions, futures trading, and many other types of operations are prohibited there.

• Competition

Despite Bitcoin's dominance, many other cryptocurrencies are fighting for their market share. In 2024, despite its leading position, Bitcoin's share has decreased to 37% compared to 80% in 2017, thanks to the rise of alternative coins such as Ethereum and others.

• Mining Costs

The price of Bitcoin reflects the costs associated with mining, such as equipment and energy. The mining difficulty is adjusted every two weeks to maintain the block mining speed of about 10 minutes. The higher the difficulty, the more resources are required, and the higher the minimum cost for Bitcoin is. 

• Trading Exchanges 

The Bitcoin cost can vary depending on the exchange due to discrepancies in liquidity and trading volume. According to The Crypto Basic, exchanges such as Coinbase, ByBit, Binance, or KuCoin, offer the coin's price at a range higher compensated by skyrocketing liquidity. On less popular exchanges, the prices may be lower but suffer from low liquidity, making it challenging to purchase or sell large volumes of digital gold. 

What Does the Future Hold for Bitcoin?

The future perspectives for Bitcoin are becoming more transparent when evaluating several factors that can either support or hinder its growth. 

           Pros:

• Reduction in emissions
• Rising mining costs
• Implementation of DeFi in the global economy 
• Development of blockchain ecosystems
• Investment attractiveness
• Legislative framework for investors

            Cons: 

• Strict regulations
• Ambiguous reputation
• Rising yield in gold and securities

As observed, most of the factors operate in favor of Bitcoin gaining advantages in the future and growing in price. In the long term for 2025 and 2026, the value of this core cryptocurrency may grow further, breaking the $60,000-75,000 mark. Nonetheless, there are no indicators that would lead the price to surge to $100,000, or even $1 million.

Currently, Bitcoin is trading at a range of $109 803.42, which aligns with the present market conditions. 

Final Thoughts 

Given how and when Bitcoin might flourish, we recommend viewing it as a long-term investment. While the yield is unlikely to reach the staggering levels, Bitcoin has turned into a more predictable and understandable investment tool for today. 

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