Crypto Prediction Markets
Fed minutes loom as Polymarket lifts ETH $1,700 touch odds to 44.5%
On Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET, the Fed will publish minutes from its June 16–17 meeting, a release traders hope clarifies views on labor-market weakness after bitcoin’s rebound.
MiCA distribution squeeze hits ETH sentiment as Polymarket sees 43.5% $1,700 dip
On July 3, EU regulators updated MiCA’s interim register as transitional periods expired, pressing unlicensed crypto providers to stop onboarding and marketing to EU clients while winding down
Strategy sale disclosure jolts Bitcoin as Polymarket puts $52K at 99.5%
Bitcoin climbed to about $63,900 early this week before reversing after disclosures that Strategy sold 3,588 BTC last week, though the dip was brief and losses were muted.
Bitcoin holds $63K as Polymarket prices 99.95% chance above $50K by July 8
Over the past week, ether jumped about 12% while bitcoin stayed above $63,000 despite a firmer dollar and fading AI-stock momentum, with U.S. inflation data ahead.
Portnoy vows to hold BTC as Polymarket puts 99.95% on above $50K by July 8
On FOX Business’ Varney & Co., Dave Portnoy said he’ll keep holding Bitcoin even if it goes to zero after buying near $100,000 and taking millions in losses.
ARK’s $77M crypto-stock buys lift focus as Polymarket sees BTC >$52K at 99%
In June, ARK Invest disclosed about $77 million in crypto-stock buys, led by Coinbase and Circle, even as Bitcoin logged its worst month in four years.
Cooling inflation bets lift BTC as Polymarket prices 99.95% above $48K
In the week ended July 5, Bitcoin rose nearly 7% and hovered near $62,066 as U.S. inflation breakevens slid, with the two-year rate dipping below 2%.
Brandt eyes swapping Bitcoin for gold as Polymarket sees 99.95% above $50K
Veteran trader Peter Brandt said he may sell some Bitcoin to buy gold, citing the XAU/BTC ratio as a signal gold could lead a new macro cycle.
$124T wealth transfer fuels crypto focus as Polymarket sees BTC >$50K 99.95%
Cerulli Associates says $124 trillion in U.S. household wealth is expected to change hands by 2048, potentially lifting long-run crypto demand as younger heirs hold more digital assets.
Bitcoin tops $62K as chip rally fades, Polymarket prices 99.95% above $50K
In a live market update, Bitcoin climbed above $62,000 as the long-running semiconductor-led rally began to cool and risk-asset leadership shifted.