Polymarket odds steady: RFK Jr. 49% for GOP 2028 nominee after Trump report
A report says Donald Trump backtracked on a proposed 20% toll demand tied to the Strait of Hormuz, but traders didn’t meaningfully reprice 2028 GOP nominee expectations.
Polymarket holds at 49% for RFK Jr. in 2028 GOP nominee market
On 2026-07-14, a Trump-focused piece titled “Donald Trump Presidency - Politico” was published, though the snippet offers no contract-specific drivers.
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.95% as 2028 leader, Trump at 1.35%
Donald Trump is expected to give a prime-time speech focusing on Iran and election integrity, a scheduled event that leaves room for markets to handicap expectations beforehand.
Polymarket pegs Starmer at 98% to be next leader out before 2027
New York is gearing up for a 2027 constitutional referendum that would allow mid-decade redistricting, with New York City turnout seen as pivotal to the outcome.
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.95% as tape weakens after Graham report
Sen. Lindsey Graham was reported dead at 71, reshaping Senate math and looming fights like Todd Blanche’s July 15–16 hearings.
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as Texas poll shifts focus
A Texas-focused poll finds Hispanic respondents now angrier about Trump’s deportations after previously swinging toward him, putting immigration enforcement at the center of a shifting state
Polymarket prices Starmer at 98.5% in next leader out before 2027 market
A July 9–10 HarrisX poll of 1,019 registered voters found higher self-reported 2026 midterm voting intent among Trump/MAGA Republicans than Democrats, even as ballot tests leaned Democratic.
Polymarket prices 4% chance Trump acquires Greenland by 2027 as odds dip
A party-process story in Maine about Democrats applying 2024 lessons and a replacement process involving Platner is the latest headline tied to the Greenland question, but it offers no concrete
Polymarket odds show Vance leading 2028 field at 19.85%
A published analysis featuring CNN’s Harry Enten warns a “Democratic Socialist primary revolt” could become “a new Tea Party, but it’s on steroids,” reshaping coalitions and primary outcomes.
Trump urges US-Spain trade cutoff as Polymarket backs Starmer exit at 97.3%
On July 8, 2026, Donald Trump reportedly called for cutting off all U.S. trade with Spain, without detailing how or when it would happen.