Donald Trump
Hormuz strike jolts Iran-entry market as Polymarket cuts Trump odds to 15%
A report said Iran struck a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz, heightening worries about shipping security in a key chokepoint.
House Luna standoff jolts timelines as Polymarket puts Starmer out next at 89.5%
Rep. Anna Paulina Luna has effectively halted U.S. House floor activity, leaving Republicans divided over how the impasse started and what restarts business.
Iowa pesticide ruling fuels politics as Polymarket 2028 GOP odds flat
A court decision on pesticides has heightened the stakes in Iowa’s governor race, forcing candidates to sharpen positions on farm regulation and environmental oversight.
Supreme Court asylum win boosts 2028 chatter as Polymarket keeps Vance at 20%
On 2026-06-25, the Supreme Court backed Donald Trump on stricter asylum rules, reinforcing tougher immigration enforcement arguments.
Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%
In May, the PCE inflation index rose to 4.1% year over year, its hottest in three years, keeping the Fed alert to another hike if price pressures persist.
Trump battles GOP over Iran war powers as Polymarket pegs exit odds at 0.25%
After a late-night vote, Senate Republicans defeated a war powers resolution on Trump’s Iran campaign 47-50-1, after he confronted GOP holdouts including Bill Cassidy.
Ethereum Foundation cuts spur Polymarket shift as Vance climbs to 20%
EthLabs launched this week as the Ethereum Foundation announced about a 40% budget cut and layoffs for roughly 20% of staff, reviving doubts about its direction.
Cepeda concedes in Colombia as Polymarket prices Starmer exit at 91.5%
Three days after Colombia’s record-turnout run-off, leftist Ivan Cepeda conceded defeat to Abelardo de la Espriella while the final count continued.
Senate probes UAE-linked Trump crypto deal as Polymarket keeps him at 1.85%
On June 23, Senate Democrats urged immediate hearings into a reported $500 million UAE-linked stake in Trump family crypto venture World Liberty Financial, alleging potential foreign influence.
Trump cites Reflecting Pool vandalism as Polymarket keeps Starmer at 82.5%
Washington’s Reflecting Pool will be drained after Donald Trump again blamed vandalism for bright green algae and peeling paint, citing arrests and promising proof in court.