Donald Trump
Polymarket prices Trump exit by July 31 at 0.55% amid election address
A primetime livestream address by Donald Trump, billed as election-focused, was scheduled ahead of Polymarket’s late-July cutoff.
Polymarket odds flat as RFK Jr. leads 2028 GOP nod at 49%
A report says the U.S. is expected to host the Women’s World Cup in 2031, per a Trump official, adding a new visibility datapoint.
Polymarket odds: Vance leads 2028 field at 19.85% as Iran strikes continue
A report said the United States struck Iran for a sixth straight day, keeping geopolitical risk in focus even for long-dated politics.
Polymarket: Maduro rises to 80% in Venezuela leader 2026 market
A new report says a Trump-backed Arizona candidate is struggling in a House primary amid sex-scandal allegations.
Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49% for 2028 GOP nod despite Trump claim
MSNBC founder Tom Rogers argued in a new commentary that Donald Trump is laying groundwork to invoke emergency powers to overturn the 2026 midterms.
Polymarket odds: Vance leads 2028 GOP field at 19.85% ahead of Trump address
A report says Donald Trump will give a Thursday 9 p.m. ET primetime address on elections and newly declassified 2020 intelligence, reviving debate ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Polymarket odds: Starmer exit before 2027 at 98.65% after Iran strikes
A report says the US expanded strikes into northern Iran and disabled a ship trying to run a blockade, adding fresh geopolitical volatility.
Polymarket odds flat: RFK Jr. 49% in 2028 GOP nod market, $675M traded
President Trump appeared in a “Watch Live” item while speaking at a Pennsylvania Defense & Innovation Summit, with no fresh commitments highlighted.
Polymarket odds of Trump out before 2027 tick up to 7.5% on Iran headline
A report attributed to Trump said Iran released an American detainee as U.S.-Iran tensions escalated, a headline some see as a near-term political-risk catalyst.
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tape
A report says JD Vance said the Trump administration “absolutely screwed up” the Epstein files release, thrusting his messaging back into focus.