Donald Trump
Trump urges US-Spain trade cutoff as Polymarket backs Starmer exit at 97.3%
On July 8, 2026, Donald Trump reportedly called for cutting off all U.S. trade with Spain, without detailing how or when it would happen.
Gaza strike report fails to move Polymarket, RFK Jr holds 49% for 2028 GOP
A report said an Israeli strike in Gaza killed an organizer of a World Cup public screening just before kickoff. Polymarket traders are watching for any ripple into U.S.
US Iran strike report jolts Polymarket 2028 race as Vance holds 20.05%
A report said the United States struck Iran after attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, with no immediate official confirmation or Iranian response.
Iran waiver revoked lifts oil, Polymarket keeps Starmer exit odds at 97.2%
Oil climbed about 5% after the United States revoked an Iran oil sanctions waiver, tightening expectations for Iranian crude flows and adding supply uncertainty.
US moves to reimpose Iran sanctions as Polymarket keeps RFK Jr at 49%
On Tuesday, a report said the United States is moving to reimpose sanctions in response to strikes involving Iran.
McMorrow exit tightens Michigan race as Polymarket keeps Vance atop at 20%
On Monday, Michigan state senator Mallory McMorrow dropped out of the state’s U.S. Senate race, leaving Rep.
Hamas Gaza handover report lifts Polymarket: Maduro 78.65% to lead Venezuela
On July 6, 2026, a report said Hamas dissolved its Gaza government and will transfer authority to a UN-backed committee.
Trump backs July 4 Mall event as Polymarket keeps Starmer exit at 96.75%
Donald Trump said he personally overruled advice to cancel a July 4 National Mall event, putting himself at the center of the decision.
Kyiv hit as Polymarket puts Maduro at 79% to lead Venezuela in 2026
A Russian missile-and-drone assault on Kyiv killed at least five people, with emergency crews responding as aerial attacks persist.
Philippine Senate impeachment trial shifts focus, Starmer 96% on Polymarket
The Philippine Senate has opened an impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, injecting fresh volatility into near-term politics.