Federal Reserve
Polymarket odds swing to 94% Fed hold after softer inflation lifts BTC mood
Crypto investment products reportedly ended an $8B outflow streak after weaker US inflation data brightened Bitcoin sentiment.
Polymarket sees September Fed hold odds at 60.5% as CLARITY Act touted
Lawmakers are pitching the CLARITY Act as a way to boost crypto innovation while adding regulatory certainty, according to a new report.
Polymarket prices Sept Fed hold at 62% as FX focus shifts to ECB vs Fed
In a euro market update, the currency held steady as traders reassessed how ECB and Fed rate expectations might diverge.
Polymarket odds jump to 96% for July Fed hold after UoM inflation expectations
A July University of Michigan survey update put 5-year consumer inflation expectations at 3.3% ahead of the Fed’s July 2026 decision.
Polymarket puts July Fed hold at 95.85% after 24pp jump on $66.7M
A new market note said Bitcoin’s second-half recovery hinges on four catalysts, with macro conditions a key swing factor rather than an immediate driver.
Polymarket prices 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 83.8% after decoupling comments
A China-focused investor warned that finance, not AI, is China’s bigger constraint, citing reliance on U.S. capital and rising frictions around cross-border fundraising and listings.
Polymarket prices Sept Fed hold at 60.5% as hike odds stay elevated
A research note on the Singapore dollar says upside risk versus the US dollar is building as rate differentials and the US macro outlook shift.
Polymarket odds price 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 83.75% after TV segment
A Morgan Stanley Wealth Management chief economic strategist discussed Fed expectations and long-term U.S. bonds during a financial TV segment.
Polymarket prices 96% Fed hold in July as inflation fears shift odds
A market-focused report said silver fell as energy-driven inflation fears kept the Fed’s rate outlook elevated.
Polymarket odds hold: 66.5% for September Fed no-change
Ahead of key U.S. employment data, Treasury yields ticked higher, with the 10-year at 4.573% and the 2-year at 4.158% as markets weighed fresh disinflation signals.