Yen steadies on intervention talk as Polymarket sees 67.5% Fed hold
The Japanese yen steadied as traders weighed rising risks of official currency-market intervention and softer expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike.
AUD/JPY steadies near 112 as Polymarket tilts 53.5% to no Fed hike in 2026
A July 3 technical note said AUD/JPY hovered around 112.00 but stayed below key moving averages, keeping a bearish tilt despite the pause.
Cooler June jobs report lifts Polymarket Fed hold odds to 90.5%
On Thursday, U.S. stocks split after June payrolls rose just 57,000 and jobless rate hit 4.2%, cooling expectations for the Fed’s next move.
Strategist backs quieter Fed as Polymarket hold odds jump to 79.5%
In a recent segment, strategist Kenny Polcari said a less vocal Federal Reserve would foster more disciplined markets and expects Kevin Warsh to keep rates steady.
Banxico survey cools inflation view as Polymarket puts 2026 Fed no-cuts at 78%
Mexico’s central bank survey showed private economists now expect lower inflation, reinforcing a softer price outlook that can ripple into global rate assumptions.
Kocher flags easing inflation as Polymarket cuts 2026 Fed hike odds to 54.5%
At 08:42 on July 1, 2026, Austrian central bank governor Martin Kocher said European inflation is stabilizing as Middle East tensions ease, but uncertainty remains high.
Euro slips on cooler inflation as Polymarket boosts Fed hold odds to 79.5%
After fresh euro zone inflation data signaled cooling prices, the euro extended its reversal and slipped below 1.1400.
Crypto rebound lifts risk focus as Polymarket sees 78% odds of 0 Fed cuts
Stellar and Pyth Network extended a rebound even as the broader crypto market stayed stressed, offering a rare bright spot in a risk-off tape.
Warsh speaks after hawkish debut as Polymarket no-cuts bet slips to 78%
On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will appear at an ECB forum panel in Portugal, his first public remarks since his policy-meeting debut.
Global crypto rules near July shift Polymarket to 79.5% Fed hold in 2026
Late June and early July bring new crypto rule deadlines in the EU, UK, Australia and California, with Europe’s MiCA transition ending July 1 and firms facing authorization pressure.