Polymarket odds for July Fed hold jump to 93% after Bitcoin tops $65K
Bitcoin climbed above $65,000 as broader market sentiment turned risk-on, with VIRTUAL and UNI holding gains.
Polymarket odds rise to 85% for zero Fed rate cuts in 2026
A macro roundup said Andy Burnham is set to enter Downing Street as the U.K.’s new prime minister as North Sea oil policy debate heats up.
Polymarket odds jump to 94% for no July Fed change after balance sheet note
A Deutsche Bank note this week cast the Fed’s balance-sheet runoff as bearish for the U.S. dollar, sparking fresh focus on July policy expectations.
Polymarket holds Sep 2026 Fed 'No change' at 58.5% despite hike chatter
A July 18 piece spotlights the live debate over whether the Fed will raise rates this month, nudging traders to weigh near-term chatter against September 2026 pricing.
Polymarket sees September Fed hold odds at 60.5% as CLARITY Act touted
Lawmakers are pitching the CLARITY Act as a way to boost crypto innovation while adding regulatory certainty, according to a new report.
Polymarket odds jump to 96% for July Fed hold after UoM inflation expectations
A July University of Michigan survey update put 5-year consumer inflation expectations at 3.3% ahead of the Fed’s July 2026 decision.
Polymarket puts July Fed hold at 95.85% after 24pp jump on $66.7M
A new market note said Bitcoin’s second-half recovery hinges on four catalysts, with macro conditions a key swing factor rather than an immediate driver.
Polymarket prices Sept Fed hold at 60.5% as hike odds stay elevated
A research note on the Singapore dollar says upside risk versus the US dollar is building as rate differentials and the US macro outlook shift.
Polymarket odds price 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 83.75% after TV segment
A Morgan Stanley Wealth Management chief economic strategist discussed Fed expectations and long-term U.S. bonds during a financial TV segment.
Polymarket prices 96% Fed hold in July as inflation fears shift odds
A market-focused report said silver fell as energy-driven inflation fears kept the Fed’s rate outlook elevated.