Oil Prices
Polymarket lifts 2026 Fed hike odds to 71.5% as Brent tops $100
A TV segment this week spotlighted Brent crude crossing $100 after Houthi strikes jolted oil markets.
Polymarket odds price Fed hold at 85% for July as oil risk reshapes outlook
A July 22, 2026 BNY note warned oil risk could cap the Indian rupee’s carry appeal, a macro signal that can shape views on how restrictive policy stays into the Fed’s July meeting.
Polymarket sees 99%+ odds BTC stays above $60K by July 12 amid oil risks
On July 9, Bitcoin stayed above $62,000 as renewed US-Iran fighting disrupted Strait of Hormuz traffic and pushed oil higher, stoking inflation and rate worries.
Trump scraps Iran MoU, oil jumps as Polymarket prices Hormuz normalcy at 0.85%
U.S. President Donald Trump said the Iran memorandum to end the conflict was “over” and warned of additional strikes Wednesday night, sending oil up and stocks lower.
Oil spike hits Bitcoin near $62K as Polymarket pegs $52K at 99.9%
Tuesday’s New York Fed survey showed 12-month inflation expectations rose to 3.7% as renewed U.S.-Iran airstrikes helped drive oil up about 5%, with Bitcoin hovering near $62,000 ahead of Fed
Oil jumps on U.S.-Iran tensions as Polymarket puts Hormuz fees at 76% by Dec 31
Brent climbed over 3% to $76.48 a barrel at 06:30 GMT after renewed U.S.-Iran fighting and attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran waiver revoked lifts oil, Polymarket keeps Starmer exit odds at 97.2%
Oil climbed about 5% after the United States revoked an Iran oil sanctions waiver, tightening expectations for Iranian crude flows and adding supply uncertainty.
Middle East tensions lift oil as Polymarket sees 82.5% odds Fed holds in July
U.S. Central Command said Tuesday evening the U.S. launched powerful strikes on Iran after attacks on three commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, helping lift WTI crude more than 2% above $72.
U.S.-Iran strikes lift oil, Polymarket puts Hormuz normalization at 38.5%
Brent crude rose about 0.9% Monday to $73.21 after U.S. Central Command said it struck Iran over alleged vessel attacks in the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil jumps on U.S.-Iran strikes as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 81.5%
West Texas Intermediate rose 0.71% to $69.72 after fresh U.S.-Iran strikes and a continued Strait of Hormuz blockade stoked supply fears.