Politics
Polymarket prices Lula at 60.5% in Brazil race after +11pp jump
A new AARP poll in Georgia’s 2026 Senate race shows Democrat Jon Ossoff leading Republican Mike Collins, adding to other surveys that also put Ossoff ahead.
Polymarket: Le Pen at 30.65% in 2027 France race, Philippe close
A U.S.-focused headline about a left-leaning primary challenge House Democrats seem content to ignore appeared in the feed, even as attention stays on France’s 2027 race.
Polymarket odds: Le Pen rises to 30% in 2027 France election market
Republican lawmakers voiced renewed concern about Iran as a ceasefire was reported to be unraveling, underscoring how sudden security shocks can reshape broader political risk narratives.
Polymarket odds put Starmer exit at 99.65% as US nomination news fades
A report says Troy Jackson has effectively secured the Maine Senate Democratic nomination, a U.S. campaign update that landed as Polymarket’s “next leader out” market kept trading like a near lock.
Polymarket odds peg Starmer at 99.45% in $66.9M market despite Trump news
A new report says Donald Trump urged Congress to add Iran to a Russia sanctions bill, calling it “in Graham’s honor.” Polymarket traders are watching whether geopolitical shocks move leadership-risk
Polymarket prices Starmer exit-before-2027 at 99.4% on $66.9M volume
A rolling elections news roundup this week pushed fresh leadership-turnover headlines across multiple jurisdictions.
Polymarket prices Starmer at 99.45% to be next leader out before 2027
An expert commentary warns Trump’s rhetoric may undermine public trust more than voting-machine flaws, highlighting how perceived threats can warp election confidence.
Polymarket odds: Trump out by July 31 seen as long shot despite endorsement
A report said Donald Trump backed Lindsey Graham’s sister in a Republican Senate primary, highlighting GOP endorsement maneuvering.
Polymarket odds lift Le Pen to 33% in 2027 French election market
A new poll shows Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms leading Republican Rick Jackson in Georgia’s open-seat governor’s race as turnout and crossover voting loom large.
Polymarket odds keep Starmer exit near 99% as Trump outcome stays at 0.15%
A new political commentary argues Donald Trump’s election-focused posture could backfire in the midterms.