Polymarket
Polymarket sees 73% odds of July Fed hold as volatility stays high
A new explainer breaks down why some people say a promised “free $1,000” tied to a “Trump account” still hasn’t arrived and what to check next.
Polymarket keeps 2028 GOP nominee odds flat as Trump Iran warning hits news
In a new report, Donald Trump warned Iran would be held responsible for any future Houthi attacks.
Polymarket odds peg Anthropic at 98% to top AI model by July end
The White House OSTP’s “Science: A New Golden Age” report calls for major changes in how federally funded research is run, even as it pairs pro-science rhetoric with proposed cuts.
Polymarket 2028 odds stay split as Vance leads 19.95% amid Trump tariff jitters
A new report says Trump has reignited a tariff fight despite legal setbacks, spooking GOP allies and rivals as they reposition.
Polymarket: Le Pen holds 30% in 2027 France race as reversal signal hits tape
A polling headline showed Democrats up 11 points on the U.S. generic congressional ballot, highlighting how cross-country political signals can spill into prediction markets.
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yields
A recent report pointed to surging oil prices and rising global bond yields, reviving inflation worries ahead of the Fed’s September meeting.
Polymarket: Hormuz normal-traffic odds stuck at 13.5% amid lawsuit fallout
On July 23, 2026, a report said sailors from a Thai cargo ship attacked in the Strait of Hormuz sued the ship’s owners, alleging ignored Iran warnings.
Polymarket prices Trump exit by July 31 at 0.25% despite tariff turmoil
A new report says Trump’s latest tariff push has entered an “ugly phase,” fueling voter backlash and friction with U.S. allies.
Polymarket prices 10.5% Iran regime fall odds before 2027 amid US strikes
A July 23 report says the US military completed a 12th straight night of strikes on Iran.
Polymarket lifts Iran invasion odds to 29.5% after 12th night of US strikes
U.S. forces carried out a 12th straight night of strikes on Iran, extending what’s being framed as a continuing campaign rather than a one-off action.