Search Results for "Donald Trump Prediction Markets"
Polymarket pegs Starmer at 98% to be next leader out before 2027
New York is gearing up for a 2027 constitutional referendum that would allow mid-decade redistricting, with New York City turnout seen as pivotal to the outcome.
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.95% as 2028 leader, Trump at 1.35%
Donald Trump is expected to give a prime-time speech focusing on Iran and election integrity, a scheduled event that leaves room for markets to handicap expectations beforehand.
Polymarket holds at 49% for RFK Jr. in 2028 GOP nominee market
On 2026-07-14, a Trump-focused piece titled “Donald Trump Presidency - Politico” was published, though the snippet offers no contract-specific drivers.
Polymarket odds steady: RFK Jr. 49% for GOP 2028 nominee after Trump report
A report says Donald Trump backtracked on a proposed 20% toll demand tied to the Strait of Hormuz, but traders didn’t meaningfully reprice 2028 GOP nominee expectations.
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.95% as Trump stays near 1%
About a month before Florida’s GOP primary, new polling shows Rep. Byron Donalds leading the field after repeated Trump endorsements.
Polymarket: Trump out by July 31 priced at 0.55% as Senate bill fight simmers
In a Senate vote, Democrats blocked a $1.15 trillion defense authorization bill, signaling a near-term legislative standoff and procedural uncertainty.
Polymarket odds put Starmer at 97.65% in 'next leader out' market
A recent analysis titled “No end in sight for new Iran war” argues the conflict is far from ending.
Polymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jab
On July 15, Trump was quoted warning Iran the U.S. would “hit them very hard,” injecting near-term uncertainty into U.S.-Iran posture.
Polymarket odds: Vance holds 19.95% in 2028 market as Fed inflation talk hits
A new commentary quoted Kevin Warsh saying the Federal Reserve has “no tolerance” for rising inflation and that inflation “will be a thing of the past.” Polymarket traders watch how that narrative
Polymarket odds peg Starmer at 98% as next leader out before 2027
Reporting says Donald Trump’s choice to lead the CDC may face a smoother confirmation than other nominees, easing near-term political friction.
Polymarket: Trump out by July 31 odds slip to 0.45% after Iran strikes
On 2026-07-15, a report said the US launched new strikes on Iran, escalating a key geopolitical flashpoint.
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as 2028 field stays fragmented
The DCCC chair predicted Democrats will retake the House in a new report, framing Trump’s record as a central messaging target heading into 2026.