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Hamas Gaza handover report lifts Polymarket: Maduro 78.65% to lead Venezuela

Hamas Gaza handover report lifts Polymarket: Maduro 78.65% to lead Venezuela

On July 6, 2026, a report said Hamas dissolved its Gaza government and will transfer authority to a UN-backed committee.

McMorrow exit tightens Michigan race as Polymarket keeps Vance atop at 20%

McMorrow exit tightens Michigan race as Polymarket keeps Vance atop at 20%

On Monday, Michigan state senator Mallory McMorrow dropped out of the state’s U.S. Senate race, leaving Rep.

US moves to reimpose Iran sanctions as Polymarket keeps RFK Jr at 49%

US moves to reimpose Iran sanctions as Polymarket keeps RFK Jr at 49%

On Tuesday, a report said the United States is moving to reimpose sanctions in response to strikes involving Iran.

Iran waiver revoked lifts oil, Polymarket keeps Starmer exit odds at 97.2%

Iran waiver revoked lifts oil, Polymarket keeps Starmer exit odds at 97.2%

Oil climbed about 5% after the United States revoked an Iran oil sanctions waiver, tightening expectations for Iranian crude flows and adding supply uncertainty.

US Iran strike report jolts Polymarket 2028 race as Vance holds 20.05%

US Iran strike report jolts Polymarket 2028 race as Vance holds 20.05%

A report said the United States struck Iran after attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, with no immediate official confirmation or Iranian response.

Gaza strike report fails to move Polymarket, RFK Jr holds 49% for 2028 GOP

Gaza strike report fails to move Polymarket, RFK Jr holds 49% for 2028 GOP

A report said an Israeli strike in Gaza killed an organizer of a World Cup public screening just before kickoff. Polymarket traders are watching for any ripple into U.S.

Trump urges US-Spain trade cutoff as Polymarket backs Starmer exit at 97.3%

Trump urges US-Spain trade cutoff as Polymarket backs Starmer exit at 97.3%

On July 8, 2026, Donald Trump reportedly called for cutting off all U.S. trade with Spain, without detailing how or when it would happen.

Polymarket odds show Vance leading 2028 field at 19.85%

Polymarket odds show Vance leading 2028 field at 19.85%

A published analysis featuring CNN’s Harry Enten warns a “Democratic Socialist primary revolt” could become “a new Tea Party, but it’s on steroids,” reshaping coalitions and primary outcomes.

Polymarket prices 4% chance Trump acquires Greenland by 2027 as odds dip

Polymarket prices 4% chance Trump acquires Greenland by 2027 as odds dip

A party-process story in Maine about Democrats applying 2024 lessons and a replacement process involving Platner is the latest headline tied to the Greenland question, but it offers no concrete

Polymarket prices Starmer at 98.5% in next leader out before 2027 market

Polymarket prices Starmer at 98.5% in next leader out before 2027 market

A July 9–10 HarrisX poll of 1,019 registered voters found higher self-reported 2026 midterm voting intent among Trump/MAGA Republicans than Democrats, even as ballot tests leaned Democratic.

Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as Texas poll shifts focus

Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as Texas poll shifts focus

A Texas-focused poll finds Hispanic respondents now angrier about Trump’s deportations after previously swinging toward him, putting immigration enforcement at the center of a shifting state

Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.95% as tape weakens after Graham report

Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.95% as tape weakens after Graham report

Sen. Lindsey Graham was reported dead at 71, reshaping Senate math and looming fights like Todd Blanche’s July 15–16 hearings.

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