Search Results for "Iran & Gulf Prediction Markets"
US says Hormuz flows near normal; Polymarket July 15 return odds jump to 42.5%
Oil prices slid to pre-war levels on June 25 as the United States said Strait of Hormuz shipping was nearing normal, even as Iran’s Revolutionary Guards warned vessels to follow Tehran-designated
Hormuz ship hit lifts risk as Polymarket normal-traffic odds jump to 55%
A maritime agency said a vessel was hit by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz, underscoring ongoing security risks in the vital shipping corridor.
Trump cites Iran funds for farm buys as Polymarket holds deal-by-Aug 31 at 25.5%
Donald Trump was reported saying the US would soon buy farm goods with unfrozen Iranian funds.
Hormuz vessel attack lifts oil as Polymarket puts July 15 normalcy at 29.5%
Brent crude jumped up to 4% after the UN maritime agency halted an evacuation plan for ships near the Strait of Hormuz following a cargo-vessel attack.
Hormuz ship strike stalls UN evacuation as Polymarket Yes rises to 54.5%
After a cargo ship was struck near Oman, the UN’s maritime agency paused plans to evacuate over 11,000 sailors from the Strait of Hormuz pending safety guarantees.
UAE-Iran security call lifts Polymarket 'normal Hormuz traffic' odds to 33.5%
The UAE held a rare security-focused call with Iran as tensions put Strait of Hormuz shipping safety under scrutiny.
Trump alleges Iran Hormuz breach as Polymarket puts Jul 31 talks at 72%
Former President Donald Trump said Iran broke a ceasefire by firing on ships in the Strait of Hormuz, stoking new concern over maritime security.
US strikes Iran; Polymarket lifts Dec. 31 nuclear deal odds to 54%
On Friday, the U.S. hit Iranian missile, drone, and radar sites after a drone strike on a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz.
Reports of US strikes in Iran push Polymarket regime-fall odds to 0.15%
Reports said the United States carried out strikes in Iran after an attack on a cargo ship, and Iran’s Revolutionary Guards threatened a response.
Iran strike report lifts Polymarket Hormuz normalization odds to 31.5%
A report said Iran targeted U.S. military positions in retaliation for earlier American airstrikes, raising fears of wider escalation and shipping disruptions.
Bolton guilty plea dents Polymarket odds for US-Iran nuclear deal by Dec 2026
Former U.S. national security adviser John Bolton pleaded guilty to illegally retaining classified information, renewing focus on how sensitive documents are handled.
Iran cites retaliation strikes as Polymarket pegs July 7 shipping hit at 89.5%
Iran said it struck US-linked targets in retaliation for earlier US attacks, underscoring a readiness to answer pressure with force and widening concerns about escalation beyond military sites.