Search Results for "Iran & Gulf Prediction Markets"
Oil Trusts Rally as Hormuz Traffic Forecast Near July 31 Resolution
On June 15, 2026, Tencent-backed Enflame Semiconductor readies for a China IPO amid a wave of AI chip listings, drawing investor interest that could sway tech stock dynamics.
Qatar Favored as Next US-Iran Meeting Spot Amid Rising Polymarket Odds
On Friday, talks of a potential U.S.-Iran deal signing in Switzerland emerged, fueling trader activity as odds shift toward Qatar as the likely meeting site.
Oil-driven odds shift on US-Iran pact by July 31
On July 31, 2026, Washington and Tehran reportedly agreed to a framework for a peace deal, sending volatility through energy and geopolitics.
Iran Regime Change Odds Hold Lean No Ahead of June 30
On June 30, traders weigh ongoing Iran negotiations as regional tensions influence energy and risk, with volatility in markets before any deal is confirmed.
Framework Deal Keeps Invasion Odds Low as Markets Digest Iran Ties
Oil prices and equities moved after reports that the US and Iran agreed a framework deal to end the war, signaling potential easing of tensions and a reopening of key shipping routes.
Market sees high odds No invasion of Iran before 2027
On 2026-06-15, a CNBC-related segment on AI, diplomacy and Iran policy circulated, signaling volatility in regional security expectations.
June 30 Deadline Odds Shift Against Iran Enrichment Pact
On June 30, tensions surged as a peace deal developments arrived ahead of the deadline for uranium enrichment commitments, prompting Polymarket traders to reassess probabilities.
G7 floats Hormuz escort plan as Polymarket puts normal traffic odds at 20.5%
At the G7 summit in France, U.S. allies advanced plans for a Hormuz naval mission to clear mines and potentially escort ships, even as Trump said a tentative Iran deal means the strait will be open.
US-Iran peace deal signing shifts focus to next talks as Switzerland at 73%
On Tuesday, the Bank of Japan lifted its benchmark rate 25 basis points to 1%, the highest since 1995, as inflation pressures linger despite a US-Iran peace deal.
Austria–Jordan preview circulates as Polymarket puts Hormuz normalcy at 60.5%
A World Cup 2026 viewing guide set Austria vs Jordan for 17 Jun 2026 at 05:00 in the San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, with projected lineups and no confirmed absences.
Gulf war truce talk cools Iran collapse bet, Polymarket Yes slips to 9.5%
Trump said the United States and Iran had already signed a preliminary agreement to end the Gulf war, sending oil to a three-month low and lifting global stocks and bonds.
Ceasefire report lifts Switzerland to 63% on Polymarket for next US-Iran talks
On Monday, bitcoin and ether climbed about 2% after reports said a U.S.-Iran ceasefire is in place and a formal peace agreement could be signed this week.