Search Results for "Macro & Fed Prediction Markets"
Screwworm risk and USMCA July 1 clock keep Polymarket at 80% for zero Fed cuts
A June report said ground beef prices are up over 20% since January 2025 as tighter cattle supplies meet a screwworm outbreak spreading from Mexico into the US and looming USMCA renewal risk ahead of
JPMAM flags midyear rebound; Polymarket puts July Fed hold odds at 74%
In its 2026 midyear outlook, JPMorgan Asset Management told investors to stay in stocks for the second half, citing AI-driven growth and resilient consumers despite lingering inflation.
Tech selloff nudges SpaceX IPO lead down as Polymarket stays at 85.5%
On Monday, U.S. stocks ended mixed as big tech slid, with the Nasdaq down 1.3% and SpaceX shares falling for a third straight day.
Tech-led stock slide as traders cut Polymarket 2026 Fed hike odds to 57.5%
U.S. stocks finished mixed Monday as big tech sank, pushing the S&P 500 down 0.37% and the Nasdaq off 1.32%, while investors awaited Thursday’s PCE inflation report.
Goldman warns SE Asia food shock as Polymarket puts July Fed hold at 74%
Goldman Sachs said rising oil and fertilizer costs plus a possible late-2026 El Nino could add 2.1 points to Southeast Asia food inflation over the next year.
BofA flags 2026 hikes; Polymarket puts July Fed hold at 73.5%
After the latest FOMC meeting, Bank of America shifted its call to three quarter-point Fed rate hikes in 2026, citing fading tolerance for above-target inflation and hawkish signals from Chair Kevin
Dollar spikes on hawkish Warsh Fed, Polymarket keeps SpaceX atop 2026 IPO
The U.S. dollar hit its strongest level since May 2025 after the Fed’s first meeting under Chair Kevin Warsh pushed traders to a more hawkish rate path.
Barclays sees USDHKD capped as Polymarket boosts July Fed hold odds to 75.5%
Barclays said USDHKD’s upside may be capped below 7.84 as rate differentials and policy expectations drive pricing.
Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cuts
A new opinion piece says inflation risks extend beyond oil, pointing to two less obvious forces that could keep prices sticky and even make the Fed weigh a hike instead of cuts.
PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%
A live update on the PCE inflation report kept investors focused on the price backdrop shaping Federal Reserve policy expectations.
Inflation gauge hits 3-year high as Polymarket pegs July Fed hold at 77.5%
The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge climbed to a new three-year high, keeping pressure on policymakers and muddying the near-term rate outlook.
Bitcoin slips under $60K as Polymarket pegs 80% odds of 0 Fed cuts in 2026
A broad selloff pushed Bitcoin below $60,000, wiping out about $1 billion as losses spread across major tokens.