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Havering shelves 'Hexit' as Polymarket keeps Bardella atop 2027 race at 25.5%

Havering shelves 'Hexit' as Polymarket keeps Bardella atop 2027 race at 25.5%

After Reform UK seized Havering in May, council leader Keith Prince ruled out pursuing “Hexit,” citing a £70 million budget gap and warning residents could end up worse off.

Reuters/Ipsos poll flags democracy fears as Polymarket fades Shepherd to 1%

Reuters/Ipsos poll flags democracy fears as Polymarket fades Shepherd to 1%

A four-day Reuters/Ipsos poll ending Monday found 38% of Americans doubt the U.S. will remain a single country in 250 years, and two-thirds say democracy is in danger.

$9M Polymarket World Cup win spotlights French race, Bardella steady at 25.5%

$9M Polymarket World Cup win spotlights French race, Bardella steady at 25.5%

A new Polymarket wallet, “fishalive,” turned about $4 million into roughly $9 million after Cabo Verde held Spain to a 0-0 draw, with the match generating around $64 million in volume.

Newsom fights billionaire tax ballot as Polymarket prices Shepherd loss at 99%

Newsom fights billionaire tax ballot as Polymarket prices Shepherd loss at 99%

Reports this week say Gov. Gavin Newsom is trying to stop a proposed California billionaire tax from qualifying for the November ballot before the June 25 deadline.

Georgia GOP runoff shock hits Polymarket as Shepherd win odds sink to 0.55%

Georgia GOP runoff shock hits Polymarket as Shepherd win odds sink to 0.55%

Billionaire Rick Jackson beat Georgia Lt. Gov. Burt Jones in Tuesday’s GOP gubernatorial runoff, 53% to 47%, despite Jones’ Trump backing.

Moore wins AL GOP runoff; Polymarket sees Fujimori +0.2–0.3% at 93%

Moore wins AL GOP runoff; Polymarket sees Fujimori +0.2–0.3% at 93%

After drawing over $12 million in backing from the crypto super PAC Fairshake, U.S. Senate candidate Barry Moore won Alabama’s Republican runoff Tuesday with nearly 56% against Jared Hudson.

Makerfield by-election heats up as Polymarket holds Bardella at 25.5%

Makerfield by-election heats up as Polymarket holds Bardella at 25.5%

With Thursday’s Makerfield by-election days away, Andy Burnham and Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon made final pitches in a tight race that could shape Labour’s leadership dynamics.

Scotland by-election podcast airs as Polymarket pegs Fujimori 0.2–0.3% at 92%

Scotland by-election podcast airs as Polymarket pegs Fujimori 0.2–0.3% at 92%

On June 17, Radio Scotland’s Politics Show ran a pub-quiz-style preview of by-elections in Aberdeen South and Arbroath and Broughty Ferry after SNP MPs moved to Holyrood.

U.S.-Iran MOU sparks backlash as Polymarket has Newsom at 23.8%

U.S.-Iran MOU sparks backlash as Polymarket has Newsom at 23.8%

Over the weekend, a U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding was agreed and later made public, criticized for lacking verification and offering sweeping sanctions relief and regional commitments.

Starmer warns Burnham as Polymarket prices Shepherd loss at 99.5%

Starmer warns Burnham as Polymarket prices Shepherd loss at 99.5%

After returning from the G7, Keir Starmer warned Andy Burnham not to rush into a leadership contest as the Makerfield by-election nears, insisting he’ll fight any challenge.

Scotland by-elections set stage as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%

Scotland by-elections set stage as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%

Scottish voters are choosing MPs today in two east-coast Westminster by-elections after SNP resignations, with results due early Friday.

South Korea ballot probe as Polymarket puts Lula at 50.5% in Brazil 2026

South Korea ballot probe as Polymarket puts Lula at 50.5% in Brazil 2026

On June 18, South Korea’s parliament approved a probe into ballot shortages that hit June 3 municipal elections and led to the election commission chief’s resignation.

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