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Drone strikes hit Chernihiv as Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2027 odds to 19%

Drone strikes hit Chernihiv as Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2027 odds to 19%

On July 6, Russian drones hit two enterprises in Ukraine’s Chernihiv region, igniting fires in Koriukivka district that responders later put out with no reported casualties.

Omsk refinery hit trims Polymarket odds for United Russia lead to 54.5%

Omsk refinery hit trims Polymarket odds for United Russia lead to 54.5%

On Monday, industry sources said Ukraine’s drone strike halted Gazprom Neft’s Omsk refinery after damaging key crude distillation units, with repairs underway and no injuries reported.

Kyiv hit before NATO Ankara summit as Polymarket puts Putin exit by 2027 at 18%

Kyiv hit before NATO Ankara summit as Polymarket puts Putin exit by 2027 at 18%

A Russian missile strike destroyed a residential building in Kyiv as crews cleared debris after an overnight barrage that killed at least 22 people, with Ukraine saying 68 missiles and 351 drones

Polymarket odds: United Russia slips to 53.5% as Ukraine strikes reported

Polymarket odds: United Russia slips to 53.5% as Ukraine strikes reported

Ukraine’s General Staff said it struck Russia’s Syzran oil refinery in Samara and hit Sea of Azov maritime targets, with fires reported and damage under assessment.

Polymarket odds: Putin out by June 2027 rises to 18% amid Ukraine war escalation

Polymarket odds: Putin out by June 2027 rises to 18% amid Ukraine war escalation

Russian missiles and drones struck Kyiv and Odesa this week, with Ukraine reporting injuries and deaths, as Zelenskyy pressed NATO on commitments amid dwindling munitions.

Polymarket lifts Putin exit-by-2027 odds to 20% amid Russia fuel shortages

Polymarket lifts Putin exit-by-2027 odds to 20% amid Russia fuel shortages

Across Russia, drivers are facing hours-long and even multi-day gas lines as shortages worsen, with some stations closing after reported drone strikes hit refineries as far as Omsk on July 6.

Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2027 odds to 19.5% after Iran escalation

Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2027 odds to 19.5% after Iran escalation

The US carried out a third straight night of strikes in Iran, as Donald Trump warned Tehran it would be “hit hard” and a naval blockade was reinstated.

Polymarket prices 18% odds Putin is out by June 2027 on $17M volume

Polymarket prices 18% odds Putin is out by June 2027 on $17M volume

In a recent report, President Donald Trump said Congress could soon approve a new Russia sanctions bill and was asked if he might sign it within a week or two.

Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 18% on $17.5M volume

Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 18% on $17.5M volume

A Mexico updates feed this week featured South Texas flood warnings, ICE-custody death probes, and 2026 World Cup ticket and fan-event items, with no mention of Russian leadership.

Polymarket puts Putin-out-by-2027 at 17% after Arizona election settlement

Polymarket puts Putin-out-by-2027 at 17% after Arizona election settlement

Maricopa County election officials agreed to a joint oversight framework after mediation, setting an interim plan for the July 21 primary as early voting began in late June.

Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 18.5%

Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 18.5%

At 9 p.m. ET, President Donald Trump is expected to deliver a primetime address on elections and voting machines, as some networks reportedly skip live airing.

Polymarket puts Putin-out-by-2027 at 18.5% as ladder prices tilt later

Polymarket puts Putin-out-by-2027 at 18.5% as ladder prices tilt later

A fact-check report reviewed a primetime speech in which President Donald Trump repeated unverified 2020 election claims, saying official assessments found no vote totals were technically altered.

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