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Polymarket prices 4% chance Trump acquires Greenland by 2027 as odds dip

Polymarket prices 4% chance Trump acquires Greenland by 2027 as odds dip

A party-process story in Maine about Democrats applying 2024 lessons and a replacement process involving Platner is the latest headline tied to the Greenland question, but it offers no concrete

Polymarket prices Starmer at 98.5% in next leader out before 2027 market

Polymarket prices Starmer at 98.5% in next leader out before 2027 market

A July 9–10 HarrisX poll of 1,019 registered voters found higher self-reported 2026 midterm voting intent among Trump/MAGA Republicans than Democrats, even as ballot tests leaned Democratic.

Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as Texas poll shifts focus

Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as Texas poll shifts focus

A Texas-focused poll finds Hispanic respondents now angrier about Trump’s deportations after previously swinging toward him, putting immigration enforcement at the center of a shifting state

Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.95% as tape weakens after Graham report

Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.95% as tape weakens after Graham report

Sen. Lindsey Graham was reported dead at 71, reshaping Senate math and looming fights like Todd Blanche’s July 15–16 hearings.

Polymarket pegs Starmer at 98% to be next leader out before 2027

Polymarket pegs Starmer at 98% to be next leader out before 2027

New York is gearing up for a 2027 constitutional referendum that would allow mid-decade redistricting, with New York City turnout seen as pivotal to the outcome.

Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.95% as 2028 leader, Trump at 1.35%

Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.95% as 2028 leader, Trump at 1.35%

Donald Trump is expected to give a prime-time speech focusing on Iran and election integrity, a scheduled event that leaves room for markets to handicap expectations beforehand.

Polymarket holds at 49% for RFK Jr. in 2028 GOP nominee market

Polymarket holds at 49% for RFK Jr. in 2028 GOP nominee market

On 2026-07-14, a Trump-focused piece titled “Donald Trump Presidency - Politico” was published, though the snippet offers no contract-specific drivers.

Polymarket odds steady: RFK Jr. 49% for GOP 2028 nominee after Trump report

Polymarket odds steady: RFK Jr. 49% for GOP 2028 nominee after Trump report

A report says Donald Trump backtracked on a proposed 20% toll demand tied to the Strait of Hormuz, but traders didn’t meaningfully reprice 2028 GOP nominee expectations.

Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.95% as Trump stays near 1%

Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.95% as Trump stays near 1%

About a month before Florida’s GOP primary, new polling shows Rep. Byron Donalds leading the field after repeated Trump endorsements.

Polymarket: Trump out by July 31 priced at 0.55% as Senate bill fight simmers

Polymarket: Trump out by July 31 priced at 0.55% as Senate bill fight simmers

In a Senate vote, Democrats blocked a $1.15 trillion defense authorization bill, signaling a near-term legislative standoff and procedural uncertainty.

Polymarket odds put Starmer at 97.65% in 'next leader out' market

Polymarket odds put Starmer at 97.65% in 'next leader out' market

A recent analysis titled “No end in sight for new Iran war” argues the conflict is far from ending.

Polymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jab

Polymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jab

On July 15, Trump was quoted warning Iran the U.S. would “hit them very hard,” injecting near-term uncertainty into U.S.-Iran posture.

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