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Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflation
federal reserve

Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflation

Bitcoin climbed above $64,000 after a report said inflation eased, with Zcash and Pump.fun among rally leaders.

Polymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimony
federal reserve

Polymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimony

On Tuesday, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faced the Senate Banking Committee after testifying to the House a day earlier, reiterating his inflation focus but offering few policy clues.

Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65K
federal reserve

Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65K

Bitcoin rose above $65,000 this week, with the move credited to easing inflation and momentum around the “Clarity Act.” Polymarket traders care because the July 2026 Fed ladder now clusters on “No

Polymarket: September Fed hold odds slip to 64% after Warsh hearings
federal reserve

Polymarket: September Fed hold odds slip to 64% after Warsh hearings

After two days of House and Senate questioning, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh drew few major missteps as lawmakers pressed that prices are still rising too fast and he ordered reviews of inflation gauges.

Polymarket prices 2026 Fed at 82% no cuts as yuan note fails to shift odds
federal reserve

Polymarket prices 2026 Fed at 82% no cuts as yuan note fails to shift odds

A new research note titled “Chinese Yuan: Upside bias against US Dollar” pitches near-term CNY strength versus USD, framed as an FX tilt rather than a Fed forecast.

Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M trades
federal reserve

Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M trades

A market note said gold fell as Iran-related tensions eased inflation-risk fears, boosting the dollar and reviving talk the Fed could stay hawkish.

Polymarket: Messi odds jump to 41% in 2026 Ballon d’Or market
federal reserve

Polymarket: Messi odds jump to 41% in 2026 Ballon d’Or market

A new video segment said an analyst expects Apple to keep growing in Q2 despite price hikes, citing pulled-forward China demand and potential regulatory approval for Apple AI and Alibaba’s model.

Polymarket odds hold: 66.5% for September Fed no-change
federal reserve

Polymarket odds hold: 66.5% for September Fed no-change

Ahead of key U.S. employment data, Treasury yields ticked higher, with the 10-year at 4.573% and the 2-year at 4.158% as markets weighed fresh disinflation signals.

Polymarket prices 96% Fed hold in July as inflation fears shift odds
federal reserve

Polymarket prices 96% Fed hold in July as inflation fears shift odds

A market-focused report said silver fell as energy-driven inflation fears kept the Fed’s rate outlook elevated.

Polymarket odds price 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 83.75% after TV segment
federal reserve

Polymarket odds price 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 83.75% after TV segment

A Morgan Stanley Wealth Management chief economic strategist discussed Fed expectations and long-term U.S. bonds during a financial TV segment.

Polymarket prices Sept Fed hold at 60.5% as hike odds stay elevated
federal reserve

Polymarket prices Sept Fed hold at 60.5% as hike odds stay elevated

A research note on the Singapore dollar says upside risk versus the US dollar is building as rate differentials and the US macro outlook shift.

Polymarket prices 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 83.8% after decoupling comments
federal reserve

Polymarket prices 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 83.8% after decoupling comments

A China-focused investor warned that finance, not AI, is China’s bigger constraint, citing reliance on U.S. capital and rising frictions around cross-border fundraising and listings.

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