Search Results for "interest rates"
Polymarket: September Fed hold odds slip to 64% after Warsh hearings
After two days of House and Senate questioning, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh drew few major missteps as lawmakers pressed that prices are still rising too fast and he ordered reviews of inflation gauges.
Polymarket prices 2026 Fed at 82% no cuts as yuan note fails to shift odds
A new research note titled “Chinese Yuan: Upside bias against US Dollar” pitches near-term CNY strength versus USD, framed as an FX tilt rather than a Fed forecast.
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M trades
A market note said gold fell as Iran-related tensions eased inflation-risk fears, boosting the dollar and reviving talk the Fed could stay hawkish.
Polymarket odds hold: 66.5% for September Fed no-change
Ahead of key U.S. employment data, Treasury yields ticked higher, with the 10-year at 4.573% and the 2-year at 4.158% as markets weighed fresh disinflation signals.
Polymarket prices 96% Fed hold in July as inflation fears shift odds
A market-focused report said silver fell as energy-driven inflation fears kept the Fed’s rate outlook elevated.
Polymarket odds price 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 83.75% after TV segment
A Morgan Stanley Wealth Management chief economic strategist discussed Fed expectations and long-term U.S. bonds during a financial TV segment.
Polymarket prices Sept Fed hold at 60.5% as hike odds stay elevated
A research note on the Singapore dollar says upside risk versus the US dollar is building as rate differentials and the US macro outlook shift.
Polymarket puts July Fed hold at 95.85% after 24pp jump on $66.7M
A new market note said Bitcoin’s second-half recovery hinges on four catalysts, with macro conditions a key swing factor rather than an immediate driver.
Polymarket odds jump to 96% for July Fed hold after UoM inflation expectations
A July University of Michigan survey update put 5-year consumer inflation expectations at 3.3% ahead of the Fed’s July 2026 decision.
Polymarket sees September Fed hold odds at 60.5% as CLARITY Act touted
Lawmakers are pitching the CLARITY Act as a way to boost crypto innovation while adding regulatory certainty, according to a new report.
Polymarket holds Sep 2026 Fed 'No change' at 58.5% despite hike chatter
A July 18 piece spotlights the live debate over whether the Fed will raise rates this month, nudging traders to weigh near-term chatter against September 2026 pricing.
Polymarket odds jump to 94% for no July Fed change after balance sheet note
A Deutsche Bank note this week cast the Fed’s balance-sheet runoff as bearish for the U.S. dollar, sparking fresh focus on July policy expectations.